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Thread: 2019 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

  1. #1
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    2019 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

    A local sportswriter from the Star Tribune takes a shot at projecting a bracket for the NCAA Tourney:

    https://www.startribune.com/bracketo...-up/507029102/
    Minnesota Golden Gopher Hockey

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    Re: 2019 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

    In my opinion bracketology even a couple weeks early is just clickbait.

    Only posting because I also want to say the regional locations suck this year with three east of Ohio...

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    Re: 2019 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

    Quote Originally Posted by Bonin21 View Post
    In my opinion bracketology even a couple weeks early is just clickbait.
    I thought it would be interesting to put Johnson's bracket up here if for no other reason to compare how the final bracket compares to his admittedly very early attempt. His rational in building it does appear to be solid.

    Quote Originally Posted by Bonin21 View Post
    Only posting because I also want to say the regional locations suck this year with three east of Ohio...
    Eastern bias, plain and simple!
    Minnesota Golden Gopher Hockey

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    Quote Originally Posted by D2D View Post
    I thought it would be interesting to put Johnson's bracket up here if for no other reason to compare how the final bracket compares to his admittedly very early attempt. His rational in building it does appear to be solid.


    Eastern bias, plain and simple!
    More then half the field, probably 10 out of 16, will be from east of Ohio? Why would that not be appropriate here??? Lol

    Although 3 of the top 4 are midwest schools, so i see your guys point after all.

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    Re: 2019 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

    What was the bracket?
    I'm not a subscriber and can't see it.

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    Re: 2019 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

    Quote Originally Posted by First Time, Long Time View Post
    What was the bracket?
    I'm not a subscriber and can't see it.
    Here you go:

    Bracketology: NCAA field taking shape, Minnesota State moves up
    By Randy Johnson March 12, 2019 — 8:29am

    We’re less than two weeks until Selection Sunday – March 24 – and the NCAA tournament picture is starting to take shape. There will be some changes, especially if there are upsets in conference tournaments and teams outside of the top 16 of the PairWise Ratings secure automatic NCAA bids, but the top four especially is taking shape.

    College Hockey News' PairWise Probability Matrix lists St. Cloud State's chances of being the No. 1 overall seed at 100 percent. It also has Massachusetts at 97 percent, Minnesota State at 80 percent and Minnesota Duluth at 49 percent in being one of the top four overall seeds. Quinnipiac, No. 5 in the PairWise, has the best chance to jump into the top four, with a 60 percent chance, according to the matrix.

    Over the weekend, there were some slight alterations in the PairWise, with the most significant being Minnesota State moving up to No. 3, one spot ahead of Minnesota Duluth, which dropped a spot to No. 4 after being swept at No. 1 St. Cloud State. The three Minnesota teams remain in line to be No. 1 NCAA seeds. Here is the latest top 16 in the PairWise Ratings, plus others of note:

    1. St. Cloud State
    2. Massachusetts
    3. Minnesota State
    4. Minnesota Duluth
    5. Quinnipiac
    6. Ohio State
    7. Denver
    8. Northeastern
    9. Providence
    10. Arizona State
    11. Clarkson
    12. Cornell
    13. Western Michigan
    14. Harvard
    15. Notre Dame
    16. Bowling Green (deleted)
    16. American International
    18. North Dakota
    19. Penn State
    21. Gophers

    Once again, the No. 16 team in the PairWise, Bowling Green, is bumped by projected Atlantic Hockey tournament champion American International, which is No. 33.

    The NCAA tries to avoid intraconference pairings in the first round, and we have two if we go strictly by bracket integrity: No. 4 Minnesota Duluth vs. No. 13 Western Michigan, and No. 5 Quinnipiac vs. No. 12 Cornell. That calls for adjustment. Plus, the NCAA selection committee will consider attendance in assigning teams. One case of this is placing Providence in the East Regional in Providence, even though the Friars are not the host school; Brown is the host.

    Here’s my projected bracket:

    West Regional (Fargo)

    1. St. Cloud State vs. 16. American International
    7. Denver vs. 10. Arizona State

    Comment: Strictly by bracket integrity, it would be No. 8 Northeastern vs. No. 9 Providence in Fargo. But Denver and Northeastern are swapped to help attendance in the Northeast Regional, and Providence moves to the East. Arizona State is moved to Fargo so No. 11 Clarkson can go to Manchester.

    Northeast Regional (Manchester, N.H.)

    2. Massachusetts vs. 15. Notre Dame
    8. Northeastern vs. 11. Clarkson

    Comment: With three Eastern teams in Manchester, attendance should get a boost.

    Midwest Regional (Allentown, Pa.)

    3. Minnesota State vs. 14. Western Michigan
    6. Ohio State vs. 11. Cornell

    Comment: All four No. 3 regional seeds are moved, and Cornell landing in Allentown helps attendance. Western Michigan ends up here instead of Providence to avoid an intraconference matchup with Minnesota Duluth.

    East Regional (Providence, R.I.)

    4. Minnesota Duluth vs. 14. Harvard
    5. Quinnipiac vs. 9. Providence

    Comment: A 5-9 matchup isn’t balanced well, but the NCAA has shown it’ll put Providence in Providence.

    Keep an eye on North Dakota and Penn State. Both are regional hosts and would be placed in Fargo and Allentown, respectively, if they qualify. Those would be challenging first-round matchups for No. 1 St. Cloud State and No. 3 Minnesota State.
    Minnesota Golden Gopher Hockey

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    Re: 2019 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

    Go AIC. Yes, I'm serious. That would be awesome. They've sucked so long. Let them win a game or two.
    Never really developed a taste for tequila. Kind of hard to understand how you make a drink out of something that sharp, inhospitable. Now, bourbon is easy to understand.
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    Re: 2019 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

    Quote Originally Posted by D2D View Post
    Here you go:

    Bracketology: NCAA field taking shape, Minnesota State moves up
    By Randy Johnson March 12, 2019 ó 8:29am

    Weíre less than two weeks until Selection Sunday Ė March 24 Ė and the NCAA tournament picture is starting to take shape. There will be some changes, especially if there are upsets in conference tournaments and teams outside of the top 16 of the PairWise Ratings secure automatic NCAA bids, but the top four especially is taking shape.

    College Hockey News' PairWise Probability Matrix lists St. Cloud State's chances of being the No. 1 overall seed at 100 percent. It also has Massachusetts at 97 percent, Minnesota State at 80 percent and Minnesota Duluth at 49 percent in being one of the top four overall seeds. Quinnipiac, No. 5 in the PairWise, has the best chance to jump into the top four, with a 60 percent chance, according to the matrix.

    Over the weekend, there were some slight alterations in the PairWise, with the most significant being Minnesota State moving up to No. 3, one spot ahead of Minnesota Duluth, which dropped a spot to No. 4 after being swept at No. 1 St. Cloud State. The three Minnesota teams remain in line to be No. 1 NCAA seeds. Here is the latest top 16 in the PairWise Ratings, plus others of note:

    1. St. Cloud State
    2. Massachusetts
    3. Minnesota State
    4. Minnesota Duluth
    5. Quinnipiac
    6. Ohio State
    7. Denver
    8. Northeastern
    9. Providence
    10. Arizona State
    11. Clarkson
    12. Cornell
    13. Western Michigan
    14. Harvard
    15. Notre Dame
    16. Bowling Green (deleted)
    16. American International
    18. North Dakota
    19. Penn State
    21. Gophers

    Once again, the No. 16 team in the PairWise, Bowling Green, is bumped by projected Atlantic Hockey tournament champion American International, which is No. 33.

    The NCAA tries to avoid intraconference pairings in the first round, and we have two if we go strictly by bracket integrity: No. 4 Minnesota Duluth vs. No. 13 Western Michigan, and No. 5 Quinnipiac vs. No. 12 Cornell. That calls for adjustment. Plus, the NCAA selection committee will consider attendance in assigning teams. One case of this is placing Providence in the East Regional in Providence, even though the Friars are not the host school; Brown is the host.

    Hereís my projected bracket:

    West Regional (Fargo)

    1. St. Cloud State vs. 16. American International
    7. Denver vs. 10. Arizona State

    Comment: Strictly by bracket integrity, it would be No. 8 Northeastern vs. No. 9 Providence in Fargo. But Denver and Northeastern are swapped to help attendance in the Northeast Regional, and Providence moves to the East. Arizona State is moved to Fargo so No. 11 Clarkson can go to Manchester.

    Northeast Regional (Manchester, N.H.)

    2. Massachusetts vs. 15. Notre Dame
    8. Northeastern vs. 11. Clarkson

    Comment: With three Eastern teams in Manchester, attendance should get a boost.

    Midwest Regional (Allentown, Pa.)

    3. Minnesota State vs. 14. Western Michigan
    6. Ohio State vs. 11. Cornell

    Comment: All four No. 3 regional seeds are moved, and Cornell landing in Allentown helps attendance. Western Michigan ends up here instead of Providence to avoid an intraconference matchup with Minnesota Duluth.

    East Regional (Providence, R.I.)

    4. Minnesota Duluth vs. 14. Harvard
    5. Quinnipiac vs. 9. Providence

    Comment: A 5-9 matchup isnít balanced well, but the NCAA has shown itíll put Providence in Providence.

    Keep an eye on North Dakota and Penn State. Both are regional hosts and would be placed in Fargo and Allentown, respectively, if they qualify. Those would be challenging first-round matchups for No. 1 St. Cloud State and No. 3 Minnesota State.
    If this scenario holds up, nobody will show-up in Allentown. (But, that was an awful site in the first place, lacking the flyer on Penn State.)

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    Quote Originally Posted by The Rube View Post
    Go AIC. Yes, I'm serious. That would be awesome. They've sucked so long. Let them win a game or two.
    No.

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    Re: 2019 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

    If North Dakota qualifies and hosts then St Cloud and Mankato will swap.

    For future reference copying and pasting entire stories is frowned upon, particularly if the article is behind a paywall.

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    The thing that blows me away now is that 10/15 years ago asa1 seed you got a highly favorable match up. Would it surprise anyone if West mich harvard or Notre Dame won? The is so little separating 1 -20 now

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    Re: 2019 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

    I think the WCHA has a good chance to get 2 teams in. I hope it's Lake State as the second team, but it will be admittedly tough for them this weekend. Realistically I'm not going to count out Bowling Green. If both BGSU and Minnesota State advance to the WCHA final, I like BG's chances. They swept Minnesota State this year.

  13. #13
    Quote Originally Posted by ticapnews View Post
    If North Dakota qualifies and hosts then St Cloud and Mankato will swap.

    For future reference copying and pasting entire stories is frowned upon, particularly if the article is behind a paywall.
    What are the chances that North Dakota would be a three seed? I would think getting to 12 would be realistic (probable?) if they win the conference tournament, which is the most likely way they get in. Then SCSU could still get to Fargo.

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    Re: 2019 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

    Quote Originally Posted by Fighting Sioux 23 View Post
    What are the chances that North Dakota would be a three seed? I would think getting to 12 would be realistic (probable?) if they win the conference tournament, which is the most likely way they get in. Then SCSU could still get to Fargo.
    Magic 8-ball says "Future hazy; ask again later."

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    Quote Originally Posted by Fishman'81 View Post
    If this scenario holds up, nobody will show-up in Allentown. (But, that was an awful site in the first place, lacking the flyer on Penn State.)
    Western or Notre Dame, OSU and Cornell is the best you can do for Allentown. Cornell is surprisingly close to Allentown and would still bring a good crew.

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    Quote Originally Posted by ticapnews View Post
    For future reference copying and pasting entire stories is frowned upon, particularly if the article is behind a paywall.
    Don't put it behind a paywall then

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    Quote Originally Posted by MavsFan19 View Post
    The thing that blows me away now is that 10/15 years ago asa1 seed you got a highly favorable match up. Would it surprise anyone if West mich harvard or Notre Dame won? The is so little separating 1 -20 now
    I would be surprised if Harvard beat a team like UMD but your overall point is fair. There have been a lot of "upsets" but in a one game format there are rarely shocking upsets. Atlantic Hockey winning is still a pretty big upset though.

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    Re: 2019 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

    Amherst is closer to Providence. The commuter rail goes to Providence so itís easier to get to for the alumni base in Eastern MA. Itís a flight to Providence or Manchester for the western 1 seeds. However every single prediction has UMass in Manchester :?

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    Re: 2019 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

    Quote Originally Posted by J.D. View Post
    Don't put it behind a paywall then
    Buy a subscription.

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    Quote Originally Posted by ticapnews View Post
    Buy a subscription.
    To read someone's bracketology? I might be dumb but I am not that dumb.

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