Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2018-19
A little shake-up at the top has Cornell just ahead of Quinnipiac, though they're basically tied. Further, while the bye line is seeing a little separation, the home-road line is separated by just about half a point, as Colgate and Princeton fight for the right to host.
Simulated Final Standings (Monte Carlo simulation of 10^35.78 possibilites; n=1,000,000):
Reminder: KRACH doesn't do ties. KRACH doesn't do prediction, it does retrodiction. KRACH cares not about your momentum, injuries, home-ice, etc. KRACH thinks you're exactly as good as your record.
Rank and Points breakdown:
Playoff Matchups:
A little shake-up at the top has Cornell just ahead of Quinnipiac, though they're basically tied. Further, while the bye line is seeing a little separation, the home-road line is separated by just about half a point, as Colgate and Princeton fight for the right to host.
Simulated Final Standings (Monte Carlo simulation of 10^35.78 possibilites; n=1,000,000):
- Cornell
- Quinnipiac
- Yale
- Clarkson
————— - Harvard
- Dartmouth
- Union
- Colgate
————— - Princeton
- Brown
- RPI
- SLU
Reminder: KRACH doesn't do ties. KRACH doesn't do prediction, it does retrodiction. KRACH cares not about your momentum, injuries, home-ice, etc. KRACH thinks you're exactly as good as your record.
Rank and Points breakdown:
Code:
| KRACH | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cr | 240.9 | 40.4 28.2 15.6 8.5 4.3 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 x | 2.19 | 30.45 Qu | 352.2 | 35.8 32.0 17.6 9.0 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 x | 2.19 | 29.93 Ya | 140.7 | 10.1 15.5 22.1 20.3 14.8 9.2 4.8 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 | 3.79 | 27.16 Ck | 210.0 | 10.4 14.0 19.3 19.6 15.6 10.5 6.0 2.9 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 | 3.96 | 26.72 Ha | 164.6 | 1.5 4.9 11.6 17.2 20.5 19.1 13.7 7.1 3.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 | 5.26 | 24.63 Da | 82.3 | 1.2 3.3 8.0 12.7 17.3 19.6 17.2 11.1 6.2 2.6 0.7 0.0 | 5.86 | 23.58 Un | 164.6 | 0.6 1.8 4.5 8.8 14.6 18.9 19.7 14.8 10.2 4.8 1.4 0.0 | 6.50 | 22.43 Cg | 63.3 | 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.2 4.9 9.3 15.8 22.3 21.5 14.6 7.9 0.4 | 8.12 | 19.73 Pr | 83.5 | 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.0 6.8 13.3 22.0 26.4 19.1 7.6 0.3 | 8.46 | 19.13 Br | 64.7 | 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.8 6.4 12.5 19.7 32.4 22.9 1.6 | 9.42 | 17.11 RP | 44.4 | x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.9 4.8 10.5 24.3 55.2 2.5 | 10.31 | 14.94 SL | 17.9 | x x x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 4.0 95.1 | 11.94 | 8.20 | KRACH | 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 |AvgPts --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cr | 240.9 | x x x x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.5 2.7 4.4 6.6 8.9 11.2 12.5 13.0 11.8 10.0 7.1 4.7 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 | 30.45 Qu | 352.2 | x x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.3 4.3 7.6 10.8 14.7 15.6 16.2 12.0 9.1 3.8 1.8 | 29.93 Ya | 140.7 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.9 3.3 5.4 7.5 10.0 11.5 12.7 11.9 10.9 8.4 6.3 3.9 2.4 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 | 27.16 Ck | 210.0 | x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.6 2.7 4.4 6.3 8.5 10.2 11.7 11.9 11.5 9.7 7.8 5.4 3.5 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 | 26.72 Ha | 164.6 | 0.0 x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.2 4.1 6.2 9.0 11.1 13.1 12.9 12.5 9.9 7.6 4.6 2.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 | 24.63 Da | 82.3 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.6 4.6 6.7 9.4 11.1 12.7 12.3 11.6 9.2 7.1 4.7 3.0 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 23.58 Un | 164.6 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.5 2.9 4.6 7.1 9.1 11.6 12.3 12.8 11.1 9.6 6.7 4.7 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 | 22.43 Cg | 63.3 | 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.6 4.2 6.7 8.8 11.1 12.1 12.5 11.2 9.5 7.2 5.1 3.2 1.9 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 x | 19.73 Pr | 83.5 | 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.3 2.5 5.1 7.4 11.3 12.7 14.8 13.2 11.9 8.1 5.7 3.0 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 | 19.13 Br | 64.7 | 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.9 3.3 5.7 8.0 10.8 12.0 13.0 12.0 10.5 8.0 5.8 3.6 2.2 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 x x | 17.11 RP | 44.4 | 0.4 1.1 3.3 5.4 9.4 11.5 14.2 13.7 13.0 10.1 7.6 4.8 2.9 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 x x | 14.94 SL | 17.9 | 1.6 4.1 8.6 12.3 15.2 15.4 13.9 10.9 7.7 4.8 2.8 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 x x x x x x x x x | 8.20 Bold is each team's most likely outcome. 0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times. x means the outcome never occurred. A blank space means the outcome is impossible.
Code:
| Cr Qu Ya Ck Ha Da Un Cg Pr Br RP SL | BYE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Cr | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.4 4.1 | 92.6 Qu | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.9 3.7 | 94.5 Ya | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.2 1.9 4.5 6.9 14.5 | 67.9 Ck | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.4 2.6 5.4 8.1 15.3 | 63.4 Ha | 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.2 5.6 6.4 10.8 15.1 20.4 | 35.2 Da | 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.8 7.0 8.8 12.6 16.8 17.4 | 25.2 Un | 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.5 9.2 10.0 14.7 16.8 14.7 | 15.7 Cg | 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 2.2 3.7 14.9 13.3 11.6 5.1 | 3.4 Pr | 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.4 2.3 5.0 9.3 12.5 10.4 3.3 | 1.5 Br | 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.6 2.4 6.0 6.3 4.5 1.2 | 0.5 RP | 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 2.1 1.8 1.5 0.2 | 0.0 SL | x x 0.0 x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 Hosts on the left, visitors across the top.
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