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Thread: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of letters

  1. #101
    #SOAR TonyTheTiger20's Avatar
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    Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

    Quote Originally Posted by FiveHoleFrenzy View Post
    A chip, and a chair...
    The Pairwise is pretty weird this year. Look at the comparisons won --

    If BC jumps Cornell, we'll STILL be 8th and out. We'll have 29 comparisons won and BU/Cornell will both have 30.
    If Ohio State jumps BU, we're STILL 8th and out. We'll have 28, and BU/OSU will both have 29.

    It would take BU getting passed by both teams below them for us to move up into 7th. It would surprise me if BU lost two of their last four regular season games, so BC really has to hope to get that BC/BU semifinals matchup.

  2. #102
    Fan of chipmunk-like mascots. ARM's Avatar
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    Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

    Quote Originally Posted by TonyTheTiger20 View Post
    ... BC really has to hope to get that BC/BU semifinals matchup.
    BC owes it to the hockey gods to win the HEA, or it really just belongs at home with the other 11 loss teams. Given the 2-3 record against mid-tier teams from the WCHA and ECAC, they don't look to be any more deserving than a team like last year's Cornell.
    "... And lose, and start again at your beginnings
    And never breathe a word about your loss;" -- Rudyard Kipling

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    Quote Originally Posted by ARM View Post
    BC owes it to the hockey gods to win the HEA, or it really just belongs at home with the other 11 loss teams. Given the 2-3 record against mid-tier teams from the WCHA and ECAC, they don't look to be any more deserving than a team like last year's Cornell.
    I don't know about that. If BC runs the table and loses to the #3 team in the country in the conference final, it would be hard to argue that BC isn't at least a top 7 team.

  4. #104
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    Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

    Quote Originally Posted by TonyTheTiger20 View Post
    ... it would be hard to argue that BC isn't at least a top 7 team.
    Cornell was a top 7 team; didn't do the Big Red much good. Northeastern didn't look like the No. 3 team in the country today. Really sloppy with the puck. At least BU seemed more interested in playing defense, other than the first PP goal, where they kept backing up and just gave away the first shot.

    I fully understand that BC has top-5 talent. It just doesn't play like it very often.
    "... And lose, and start again at your beginnings
    And never breathe a word about your loss;" -- Rudyard Kipling

  5. #105
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    Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

    Jesus, I have no idea what USCHO is doing. They have BC ahead of BU and they're including all the games. And none of the RPIs are even close.

    Their Pairwise is just a disaster this year. w t f.
    Last edited by TonyTheTiger20; 02-13-2019 at 12:15 PM.

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    Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

    What a ridiculous weekend. Legitimate four way battle for that home-ice quarterfinal spot now.

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    Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

    Quote Originally Posted by TonyTheTiger20 View Post
    What a ridiculous weekend. Legitimate four way battle for that home-ice quarterfinal spot now.
    There's plenty of time for all of them to lose another 2-3 games.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Still Eeyore View Post
    There's plenty of time for all of them to lose another 2-3 games.
    We all might!

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    Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

    Clarkson, Cornell, BC, BU and Princeton - one of them is going to get home ice for the NCAAs, and one of them (at least) won't make the tournament at all. And we have no idea which is which.

    Crazy.

    (Adding, if you were ever going to argue for a 12 team tournament, this would be your year.)
    Last edited by robertearle; 02-17-2019 at 09:53 AM.

  10. #110
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    Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

    I did a bracketology even though things are changing with pretty much every game played, because why not: https://www.bcinterruption.com/bosto...a-northeastern

  11. #111
    Fan of chipmunk-like mascots. ARM's Avatar
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    Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

    Quote Originally Posted by TonyTheTiger20 View Post
    I did a bracketology even though things are changing with pretty much every game played, because why not: https://www.bcinterruption.com/bosto...a-northeastern
    What? We don't get ice cream with our bracketology??? I'm going to blame the NCAA for that!!! Otherwise, thanks Grant.
    "... And lose, and start again at your beginnings
    And never breathe a word about your loss;" -- Rudyard Kipling

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    Quote Originally Posted by ARM View Post
    What? We don't get ice cream with our bracketology??? I'm going to blame the NCAA for that!!! Otherwise, thanks Grant.
    Your Bracketology Ice Cream of the Week is STRAWBERRY

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    Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

    Quote Originally Posted by TonyTheTiger20 View Post
    Your Bracketology Ice Cream of the Week is STRAWBERRY
    I see that the USCHO Pairwise/RPI numbers now match yours. Attention to detail wins again!

  14. #114
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    Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

    Quote Originally Posted by robertearle View Post
    I see that the USCHO Pairwise/RPI numbers now match yours. Attention to detail wins again!
    Yes! Nicole Haase did some harassing to the powers that be to finally get them to correct their numbers -- they even have the eligible teams right!

  15. #115
    Fan of chipmunk-like mascots. ARM's Avatar
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    Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

    But they don't even mention ice cream, so your place will always be secure.
    "... And lose, and start again at your beginnings
    And never breathe a word about your loss;" -- Rudyard Kipling

  16. #116
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    Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

    Quote Originally Posted by ARM View Post
    But they don't even mention ice cream, so your place will always be secure.
    Well that's a relief

  17. #117
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    Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

    Conference tournament odds!

    Based on KRACH and factoring in reseeding rules:

    WHEA:
    46.68% Northeastern
    21.81% Boston College
    15.00% Boston University
    11.23% Providence
    3.45% Merrimack
    1.02% New Hampshire
    0.63% Connecticut
    0.19% Vermont

    WCHA:
    51.27% Minnesota
    41.26% Wisconsin
    4.71% Ohio State
    2.09% Minnesota Duluth
    0.51% Bemidji State
    0.16% Minnesota State
    0.01% St. Cloud State
    0.00% Bye

    ECAC:
    31.90% Cornell
    16.39% Colgate
    31.38% Clarkson
    16.81% Princeton
    2.01% St Lawrence
    0.41% Quinnipiac
    0.84% Harvard
    0.26% RPI

    CHA:
    35.08% Robert Morris
    36.95% Mercyhurst
    9.92% Syracuse
    3.22% RIT
    13.76% Penn State
    1.05% Lindenwood

  18. #118
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    Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

    Just for kicks, here's another hypothetical BCS Rankings:

    Rank | USCHO | USA | Computer | BCS Rating | Team Name
    1 | 0.9867 | 0.9895 | 0.9500 | 0.9754 | Minnesota
    2 | 0.9133 | 0.9105 | 0.9500 | 0.9246 | Wisconsin
    3 | 0.7800 | 0.8000 | 0.8000 | 0.7933 | Northeastern
    4 | 0.6400 | 0.6158 | 0.6500 | 0.6353 | Clarkson
    5 | 0.6800 | 0.6842 | 0.5250 | 0.6297 | Cornell
    6 | 0.3800 | 0.4526 | 0.5750 | 0.4692 | Boston College
    7 | 0.3600 | 0.4053 | 0.3000 | 0.3551 | Princeton
    8 | 0.3067 | 0.3158 | 0.4000 | 0.3408 | Boston University
    9 | 0.2133 | 0.1263 | 0.2000 | 0.1799 | Ohio State
    10 | 0.2267 | 0.1842 | 0.0500 | 0.1536 | Colgate
    11 | 0.0133 | 0.0158 | 0.0750 | 0.0347 | Providence
    12 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0250 | 0.0083 | Minnesota Duluth

    The top 5 are the same as the PairWise, but turn of the century college football would switch around the logjam of teams from 6-12.
    2005 Piston Cup Champion

  19. #119
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    Re: Fun With Numbers 2019: PWR, RPI, KRACH, GRaNT, WCHODR, & other assortments of let

    The bracket is updated with final results, which should cut down on a ton of input: https://www.bcinterruption.com/bosto...ton-college-bc

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    Quote Originally Posted by TonyTheTiger20 View Post
    The bracket is updated with final results, which should cut down on a ton of input: https://www.bcinterruption.com/bosto...ton-college-bc
    Grant - isn't #8 1st out due to CHA AQ?

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