Uh what happened in the offseason? Going off of last year, this should be their best team in three years and an NCAA tournament team. Problem now is they basically have compiled the same start they did last year. While they overcame that in league play and can probably do the same this year, that ultimately left them on the outside looking in.
It's a talent and chemistry issue. Some talent but not enough and the talent they do have hasn't been able to figure it out yet.