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Thread: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

  1. #121
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    Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

    Quote Originally Posted by Ralph Baer View Post
    48 saves by Lovisa Selander in a 1-1 tie against Yale. She needs 188 in 10 games.
    41 saves in a 1-0 shutout of Brown. Now she needs just 147 in 9 games, 16.33 per game. She gave up one goal in 90 shots over the weekend -- not bad.

  2. #122
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    Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

    Lovisa will smash the record. I predicted another Swedish goaltender wanting to follow in the footsteps of Lovisa and joila a Norwegian. Who knew it would be so soon?
    Last edited by Reddington; 01-27-2019 at 07:46 AM.

  3. #123
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    Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

    Quote Originally Posted by Reddington View Post
    Lovisa will smash the record. I predicted another Swedish goaltender wanting to follow in the footsteps of Lovisa and joila. Who knew it would be so soon.
    Ena Nystorm is Norwegian, but that is close to Sweden.

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    Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

    Lovisa Selander has moved into first place in the NCAA in save percentage (.948), second in total saves (727) and first in saves per game (33).

    In the 23 year history of the Patty Kazmaier award three goaltenders have won: Ann-Renee Desbiens (Wisconsin 2017); Jessie Vetter (Wisconsin 2009) and Ali Brewer (Brown 2000). All were great goaltenders, but all had the benefit of playing on dominant teams.

  5. #125
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    Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

    Quote Originally Posted by hab View Post
    Lovisa Selander has moved into first place in the NCAA in save percentage (.948), second in total saves (727) and first in saves per game (33).

    In the 23 year history of the Patty Kazmaier award three goaltenders have won: Ann-Renee Desbiens (Wisconsin 2017); Jessie Vetter (Wisconsin 2009) and Ali Brewer (Brown 2000). All were great goaltenders, but all had the benefit of playing on dominant teams.
    A better comparison might be someone like Chanda Gunn who finished in the top 3 for the Kaz with a losing record, and a higher goals against and a lower save percentage than Selander has. Mankato's Shari Vogt made the final 10 that year as a goalie for a non-dominant team, although she finished a couple games over .500. It wasn't like there weren't offensive options: Krissy Wendell didn't make the top 3 even though she led Minnesota to the title with 78 points.

    I think Selander should at least make the top 10, but as the years have gone on, IMO the voting has swung more and more toward high-scoring forwards.
    "... And lose, and start again at your beginnings
    And never breathe a word about your loss;" -- Rudyard Kipling

  6. #126
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    Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

    Quote Originally Posted by ARM View Post
    as the years have gone on, IMO the voting has swung more and more toward high-scoring forwards.
    They're even stingier toward defensemen with Ruggiero still the only one winning in 2004. I could be wrong, but I think Megan Bozek is the only other defensemen finalist in 2013. That was a tough year for a defenseman to win.
    Last edited by bluffrinkrat; 01-27-2019 at 10:57 PM. Reason: Maybe Megan Keller this year?
    "Everything that rises must converge." Pierre Teilhard de Chardin

  7. #127
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    Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

    Quote Originally Posted by bluffrinkrat View Post
    They're even stingier toward defensemen with Ruggiero still the only one winning in 2004. I could be wrong but I think Megan Bozek is the only other defensemen finalist.
    Tara Mounsey, Courtney Kennedy, and Ronda Curtin were all D. Lara Stalder two years ago was hard to classify, because she played both F and D at different times.
    "... And lose, and start again at your beginnings
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    Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

    I should have been clearer. I was just referring to the top 3 finalists. So Stalder then, too.
    Last edited by bluffrinkrat; 01-27-2019 at 11:11 PM. Reason: How about an Angela Ruggiero Award?
    "Everything that rises must converge." Pierre Teilhard de Chardin

  9. #129
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    Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

    Mid-"weekend" update! Taking three points on the road was a perfectly fine outcome (let's not look too closely at how we got the points), but there's no time to rest. We simply have to beat Union on Tuesday. We'll probably make the playoffs regardless, but that's a game we have to win, and hopefully we don't make Lovisa stop another 45 shots to get there.

    I haven't run the simulations on the effect the coming weekend will have yet, but my gut says that anything more than 1 point will be a net positive. If we dare to dream of a home playoff series, we need to over-perform current expectations by 4 or 5 points, and that would likely start with 3 or 4 points in Central NY.

    RPI KRACH (RRWP): 63.96 (0.4109)

    MCTs (Mean/Median/Mode/Range):
    Points - 22.30 / 23 / 23 / 15 - 32
    Rank - 6.04 / 6 / 6 / 2 - 10
    Playoffs - 98.7% (Home - 3.1%)
    Most likely opponent - at Colgate (31.1%)

    Conference Rankings:
    1. Princeton
    2. Cornell
    3. Clarkson
    4. Colgate
    5. SLU
    6. RPI
    7. Quinnipiac
    8. Harvard

    9. Yale
    10. Brown
    11. Dartmouth
    12. Union


    This Tuesday's Playoff Implications:
    Code:
    @Union - Mayor's Cup
    | W |>99%|
    | T | 98%|
    | L | 96%|
    RPI Points vs. Position:
    Code:
       |     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12
    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------    
    15 |                                             0.0   0.0   0.0            
    16 |                                       0.0   0.1   0.1   0.0            
    17 |                                 0.0   0.1   0.6   0.4   0.0            
    18 |                                 0.0   0.4   1.4   0.4                  
    19 |                                 0.4   2.4   2.8   0.3                  
    20 |                           0.0   1.9   4.6   2.2   0.1                  
    21 |                           0.5   6.6   6.2   1.1   0.0                  
    22 |                           2.0   9.5   3.5   0.2   0.0                  
    23 |                     0.0   5.4  10.3   1.3   0.0                        
    24 |                     0.1   6.7   6.1   0.2   0.0                        
    25 |                     0.3   7.3   2.9   0.0                              
    26 |               0.0   0.5   4.4   0.9   0.0                              
    27 |               0.0   0.9   2.4   0.2                                    
    28 |               0.0   0.7   0.7   0.0                                    
    29 |               0.0   0.4   0.1   0.0                                    
    30 |               0.0   0.1   0.0                                          
    31 |         0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0                                          
    32 |               0.0   0.0                                                
    33 |
    RPI Pep Band
    GO GO GO YOU RED RED RED!!! and I guess Yale?
    🎶🎺🎺🎺 LET'S GO BLUES!

    2017-2018 RPI Pick to Click Champion
    2013-2016 RPI Pick to Click Back-to-Back-to-Back Runner-Up
    2014-15, 2018-19 ECAC Pick the Standings Last Place

  10. #130
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    Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

    Quote Originally Posted by bluffrinkrat View Post
    I should have been clearer. I was just referring to the top 3 finalists. So Stalder then, too.
    So was I.
    "... And lose, and start again at your beginnings
    And never breathe a word about your loss;" -- Rudyard Kipling

  11. #131
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    Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019


  12. #132
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    Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

    Quote Originally Posted by ARM View Post
    So was I.
    I see now.
    Last edited by bluffrinkrat; 01-28-2019 at 09:14 PM. Reason: Rule #2. Always go to the Kaz Award site first before posting.
    "Everything that rises must converge." Pierre Teilhard de Chardin

  13. #133
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    Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

    My question is this. RPI woman's hockey team is having one of their best seasons to date. Yes I agree, far from a powerhouse team but exceeding expectations by a long shot. Yet when you look at the attendance numbers at being at the bottom of the pack, it would be somewhat disheartening to the players. Just wondering why other schools support their female hockey programs better than RPI. One would think that since the woman's hockey program is the only div 1 program for female sports at RPI, attendance would be much higher. Just a comment!!

  14. #134
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    Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

    Quote Originally Posted by 99hockey View Post
    My question is this. RPI woman's hockey team is having one of their best seasons to date. Yes I agree, far from a powerhouse team but exceeding expectations by a long shot. Yet when you look at the attendance numbers at being at the bottom of the pack, it would be somewhat disheartening to the players. Just wondering why other schools support their female hockey programs better than RPI. One would think that since the woman's hockey program is the only div 1 program for female sports at RPI, attendance would be much higher. Just a comment!!
    Regardless of the program attendance ALWAYS LAGS an improving season. Men's, women's, hockey, football, basketball all follow that trend.

  15. #135
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    Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

    Quote Originally Posted by Ralph Baer View Post
    41 saves in a 1-0 shutout of Brown. Now she needs just 147 in 9 games, 16.33 per game. She gave up one goal in 90 shots over the weekend -- not bad.
    A surprisingly high 29 saves in a 2-1 win over Union in the Mayor's Cup means that Selander needs 118 in 8 games, 14.75 per game.

  16. #136
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    Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

    RPI wins the Mayors Cup again, 2-1 over Union. Even the Dutchwomen outshoot the Engineers, but can only get one past Selander. RPI now moves ahead of SLU into fifth, and somewhat improbably, could move into fourth with a win over the Raiders on Friday.

  17. #137
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    Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

    Quote Originally Posted by hab View Post
    RPI now moves ahead of SLU into fifth, and somewhat improbably, could move into fourth with a win over the Raiders on Friday.
    If this was a movie ("The Natural" maybe? "Miracle" is too obvious, and the USA didn't start out low enough), then you guys would win the NCAA title this year.
    "... And lose, and start again at your beginnings
    And never breathe a word about your loss;" -- Rudyard Kipling

  18. #138
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    Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

    Quote Originally Posted by ARM View Post
    If this was a movie ("The Natural" maybe? "Miracle" is too obvious, and the USA didn't start out low enough), then you guys would win the NCAA title this year.
    Or maybe, the worst hockey movie ever made "Mystery Alaska". I hear the Rangers are coming to Troy.
    "This is hockey, okay. It's not rocket surgery".

  19. #139
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    Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

    Or maybe, "Slap Shot."
    Last edited by bluffrinkrat; 01-29-2019 at 08:32 PM. Reason: I kind of liked "Mystery, Alaska."
    "Everything that rises must converge." Pierre Teilhard de Chardin

  20. #140
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    Re: RPI Engineers 2018-2019

    Not gonna post the whole thing, but we're up to a 99.3% chance to qualify, with a 3.8% chance of hosting.

    This Weekend's Playoff Implications:
    Code:
           |      Cg      |
    _______|  W |  T |  L |
    |  | W |100%|>99%|>99%|
    |Cr| T |>99%|>99%|>99%|
    |  | L |>99%|>99%| 99%|
    Note: Two wins would not actually clinch the playoff spot, but the the simulation didn't find a situation where 21 points left us outside the bracket in 10,000 runs.

    RPI Points vs. Position:
    Code:
       |     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12
    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------    
    17 |                                       0.0   0.3   0.2   0.0            
    18 |                                 0.0   0.2   0.7   0.2                  
    19 |                                 0.2   1.6   2.3   0.3                  
    20 |                           0.0   1.3   3.6   2.0   0.1                  
    21 |                           0.4   6.0   5.9   1.1   0.0                  
    22 |                     0.0   1.8   9.2   3.5   0.2                        
    23 |                     0.0   6.0  11.0   1.4   0.0                        
    24 |                     0.0   7.4   6.6   0.3   0.0                        
    25 |                     0.3   8.7   3.2   0.0                              
    26 |                     0.6   5.5   1.0                                    
    27 |               0.0   1.2   2.9   0.2                                    
    28 |               0.0   0.9   0.8   0.0                                    
    29 |               0.0   0.6   0.2   0.0                                    
    30 |         0.0   0.0   0.2   0.0                                          
    31 |         0.0   0.0   0.0                                                
    32 |               0.0   0.0                                                
    33 |         0.0   0.0
    RPI Pep Band
    GO GO GO YOU RED RED RED!!! and I guess Yale?
    🎶🎺🎺🎺 LET'S GO BLUES!

    2017-2018 RPI Pick to Click Champion
    2013-2016 RPI Pick to Click Back-to-Back-to-Back Runner-Up
    2014-15, 2018-19 ECAC Pick the Standings Last Place

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