Re: >>> RIT Tigers 2018/2019 - Time For The Tigers to Roar <<<
Sure, but I counted a loss in the playoffs in there, because if we win out, we're in the tournament anyway.
EDIT: Ah, I see, that's only taking into account already scheduled games, not the ones that we will have to play in the AHA playoffs (which you did explicitly say...DOH!). And to be clear, even there he has us at only a combined 19.2% chance to be top 16 even if we win all 10 regular season games remaining. (0.3% to be 13, 1.6% to be 14, 4.9% to be 15, and 12.4% to be 16). So even with the 10 game winning streak, we'd have about a 2% chance to be in the top 14, and a 7% chance to be top 15.
Originally posted by Ed Trefzger
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EDIT: Ah, I see, that's only taking into account already scheduled games, not the ones that we will have to play in the AHA playoffs (which you did explicitly say...DOH!). And to be clear, even there he has us at only a combined 19.2% chance to be top 16 even if we win all 10 regular season games remaining. (0.3% to be 13, 1.6% to be 14, 4.9% to be 15, and 12.4% to be 16). So even with the 10 game winning streak, we'd have about a 2% chance to be in the top 14, and a 7% chance to be top 15.
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