Re: Brexit - Should I stay or should I go??
The road ahead for Boris is actually pretty easy. He takes the UK out of Europe without a deal. There is a vote of no confidence. If he wins, case closed. If he loses (incredibly likely) then either Jeremy Corbyn becomes the temporary PM until the election or Boris remains in charge if the coalition can't agree on Corbyn. In the new election, he appeals to the Brexit Party by pointing to the fact that he's already taken the UK out of Europe, thus dampening the party's effectiveness at challenging him. Labour and the Lib Dems split the vote on the left + the Tories are the only option left on the right = Conservative House of Commons and Boris remaining as PM. The only way Boris fails is if the Brexit Party is able to maintain relevancy even though Boris has already taken them out and the vote on the right is split too. That could lead to a very interesting election and resulting Parliament.
It should be pointed out that legal experts differ on whether the UK will even be out if 31 October passes without a deal, but it will be tied up in court for ages - and which court will even have jurisdiction? Meanwhile, the UK breaks the Good Friday Agreement and becomes a rogue nation. Will that have ramifications? The United States can get away with committing war crimes because we're a huge economy and a military powerhouse. An independent UK? Notsomuch.
The road ahead for Boris is actually pretty easy. He takes the UK out of Europe without a deal. There is a vote of no confidence. If he wins, case closed. If he loses (incredibly likely) then either Jeremy Corbyn becomes the temporary PM until the election or Boris remains in charge if the coalition can't agree on Corbyn. In the new election, he appeals to the Brexit Party by pointing to the fact that he's already taken the UK out of Europe, thus dampening the party's effectiveness at challenging him. Labour and the Lib Dems split the vote on the left + the Tories are the only option left on the right = Conservative House of Commons and Boris remaining as PM. The only way Boris fails is if the Brexit Party is able to maintain relevancy even though Boris has already taken them out and the vote on the right is split too. That could lead to a very interesting election and resulting Parliament.
It should be pointed out that legal experts differ on whether the UK will even be out if 31 October passes without a deal, but it will be tied up in court for ages - and which court will even have jurisdiction? Meanwhile, the UK breaks the Good Friday Agreement and becomes a rogue nation. Will that have ramifications? The United States can get away with committing war crimes because we're a huge economy and a military powerhouse. An independent UK? Notsomuch.
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