PDA

View Full Version : 2011-12 DIII Rutter Computer Rankings



Pages : [1] 2

LakersFan
11-01-2011, 02:14 PM
For games played through October 30, 2011


Team Rating
1 RIT 3.0132
2 Plattsburgh 2.1643
3 Middlebury 1.9683
4 Norwich 1.8548
5 Amherst 1.7891
6 Wis-River Falls 1.7240
7 Adrian 1.6237
8 Trinity 1.4814
9 Gustavus Ad. 1.3014
10 Elmira 1.1042

My ranking system is based on result only, no margin of victory. Home ice is not included, but strength of schedule is. I use a Bayesian approach, using last years results as a prior for this year's ratings. As more games are played, the less the impact of the prior. For my information, and the rest of the rankings, check out http://math.bd.psu.edu/faculty/rutter/D3_Rankings.html.

LakersFan
11-07-2011, 03:00 PM
For games played through November 6, 2011


Team Rating
1 RIT 3.1284
2 Wis-RF 2.4547
3 Middlebury 1.9660
4 Norwich 1.9368
5 Gustavus Adol. 1.8734
6 Plattsburgh 1.8512
7 Amherst 1.7867
8 Trinity 1.4845
9 Saint Anselm 1.3982
10 Adrian 1.1931

5 4 Fighting
11-08-2011, 04:55 PM
For games played through November 6, 2011


Team Rating
1 RIT 3.1284
2 Wis-RF 2.4547
3 Middlebury 1.9660
4 Norwich 1.9368
5 Gustavus Adol. 1.8734
6 Plattsburgh 1.8512
7 Amherst 1.7867
8 Trinity 1.4845
9 Saint Anselm 1.3982
10 Adrian 1.1931


Ugh... :(

gojackets
11-08-2011, 04:57 PM
Ugh... :(

Maybe I wasn't wrong! :D

5 4 Fighting
11-08-2011, 05:13 PM
Maybe I wasn't wrong! :D

Well...you normally are. ;)

SeymoreHockey
11-08-2011, 06:11 PM
Remember...surveys are for chumps...especially one this early in the season when some "ranked" teams havent even played yet.

LakersFan
11-15-2011, 07:55 AM
For games played through November 13, 2011


Team Rating
1 RIT 3.1287
2 Wis-R.F. 2.6202
3 Norwich 2.0161
4 Gustavus Adol. 2.0060
5 Middlebury 1.9677
6 Amherst 1.7865
7 Plattsburgh 1.6601
8 Trinity 1.4799
9 Holy Cross 1.4468
10 Elmira 1.3343

Steve Day
11-15-2011, 11:16 PM
Not quite sure what all those numbers mean
But sure did enjoy Derik Dunnings Weekend Rewind

LakersFan
11-21-2011, 05:46 PM
For games played through November 20, 2011


Team Rating
1 RIT 3.2426
2 Wis-River Falls 2.6424
3 Middlebury 2.1847
4 Norwich 2.1834
5 Gustavus Adol. 2.1784
6 Amherst 2.0903
7 Plattsburgh 1.8399
8 Holy Cross 1.6363
9 Elmira 1.5643
10 Trinity 1.0515

LakersFan
11-28-2011, 06:35 PM
For games played through November 27, 2011


Team Rating
1 RIT 3.2301
2 Wis-River Falls 2.6918
3 Middlebury 2.3277
4 Norwich 2.3074
5 Gustavus Ado. 2.1889
6 Elmira 2.0455
7 Amherst 1.8864
8 Holy Cross 1.4891
9 Plattsburgh 1.3266
10 Concordia (MN) 0.8326

CanHockGuy
11-28-2011, 06:50 PM
For games played through November 27, 2011


Team Rating
1 RIT 3.2301
2 Wis-River Falls 2.6918
3 Middlebury 2.3277
4 Norwich 2.3074
5 Gustavus Ado. 2.1889
6 Elmira 2.0455
7 Amherst 1.8864
8 Holy Cross 1.4891
9 Plattsburgh 1.3266
10 Concordia (MN) 0.8326

Last year's news. Is Holy Cross D3 or are they one of those convenience type schools? :)

OnMAA
11-28-2011, 09:31 PM
Last year's news. Is Holy Cross D3 or are they one of those convenience type schools? :)

They are in there since they play a D3 schedule. It helps with ranking of others, specially early in the season, as it adds data points for the teams HC faces. For the purposes of D3 rankings, you can kind of ignore them. Similarly they are not eligible for D3 playoffs.

PrezdeJohnson09
11-28-2011, 09:38 PM
They are in there since they play a D3 schedule. It helps with ranking of others, specially early in the season, as it adds data points for the teams HC faces. For the purposes of D3 rankings, you can kind of ignore them. Similarly they are not eligible for D3 playoffs.

Not eligible for D-III playoffs yet eligible for Division III All-American awards...go figure...:rolleyes:

Phil D. Stands
11-28-2011, 11:25 PM
Not eligible for D-III playoffs yet eligible for Division III All-American awards...go figure...:rolleyes:
..Hey, God needs a little love too...can't always be about guns, cannons, bling, pomp and pennants...character counts and is measured by more than the chevrons on one's sleeve...

LakersFan
12-05-2011, 09:11 PM
For games played through December 4th


Team Rating
1 RIT 3.0853
2 Middlebury 2.3590
3 Gustavus Adol. 2.2363
4 Elmira 2.0465
5 Wis-River Falls 2.0440
6 Amherst 1.9145
7 Norwich 1.8443
8 Plattsburgh 1.2022
9 Holy Cross 1.1581
10 Concordia (MN) 1.1107

PrezdeJohnson09
12-05-2011, 09:43 PM
For games played through December 4th


Team Rating
1 RIT 3.0853
2 Middlebury 2.3590
3 Gustavus Adol. 2.2363
4 Elmira 2.0465
5 Wis-River Falls 2.0440
6 Amherst 1.9145
7 Norwich 1.8443
8 Plattsburgh 1.2022
9 Holy Cross 1.1581
10 Concordia (MN) 1.1107

Wow...guess that tie against Salve really hurt Norwich...

5 4 Fighting
12-05-2011, 11:02 PM
Wow...guess that tie against Salve really hurt Norwich...

Correct me if I'm wrong but this is about the time where the Rutter kicks in (save NESCAC due to its schedy)... for the most part it's purged itself of last years results.

Clinical from here on in...pure math as no people/emotions are involved.

I kinda like that and so will River Falls :),

Open the pod doors...Hal. ;)

LakersFan
12-12-2011, 01:04 PM
For games played through December 11, 2012


Team Rating
1 RIT 3.2928
2 Gustavus Adol. 2.1258
3 Wis-River Falls 2.0889
4 Norwich 2.0164
5 Elmira 1.9662
6 Amherst 1.8228
7 Middlebury 1.8182
8 Concordia (MN) 1.1700
9 Plattsburgh 1.1507
10 Holy Cross 0.9193

5_4_Fighting, the impact of the prior is starting to become minimized at this point in the season, but it is still having some influence since RIT is undefeated. Without the prior, RIT's rating would approach infinity (well, more likely some random really large number) since it is undefeated. This tends to happen every year in DIII as one or two teams have perfect records for a long stretch and their ratings start to balloon compared to the DI ratings.

5 4 Fighting
12-12-2011, 01:11 PM
For games played through December 11, 2012


Team Rating
1 RIT 3.2928
2 Gustavus Adol. 2.1258
3 Wis-River Falls 2.0889
4 Norwich 2.0164
5 Elmira 1.9662
6 Amherst 1.8228
7 Middlebury 1.8182
8 Concordia (MN) 1.1700
9 Plattsburgh 1.1507
10 Holy Cross 0.9193

5_4_Fighting, the impact of the prior is starting to become minimized at this point in the season, but it is still having some influence since RIT is undefeated. Without the prior, RIT's rating would approach infinity (well, more likely some random really large number) since it is undefeated. This tends to happen every year in DIII as one or two teams have perfect records for a long stretch and their ratings start to balloon compared to the DI ratings.

Thanks LF for the explanation and all you do. Much appreciated...

LtPowers
12-15-2011, 11:46 AM
Without the prior, RIT's rating would approach infinity

And that's a problem how? ;)


Powers &8^]