RPI 2010-2011 V: The "Chase" to AC & Beyond

[burgie12]

Re: RPI 2010-2011 V: The "Chase" to AC & Beyond

But if H2H is used as a tiebreaker, you guys are 15th and in.\

Actually, we'd lose the tie with Dartmouth based on head-to-head, too. Sure, we beat them in the head-to-head games, but they win RPI, TUC, and Common Opponents. So, the Big Green win the comparison. A Harvard win tonight goes a long way towards flipping the comparison back towards the Engineers. The #1 priority, though, is definitely Quinnipiac beating Cornell.

[lugnut92]

Re: RPI 2010-2011 V: The "Chase" to AC & Beyond

Well, Dartmouth put Harvard away, so thats one game gone the wrong way. Keeping an eye on the other 8...

[burgie12]

Re: RPI 2010-2011 V: The "Chase" to AC & Beyond

Well, Dartmouth put Harvard away, so thats one game gone the wrong way. Keeping an eye on the other 8...

Dartmouth can still drop like a rock if they lose both games in AC, but they drop further if they have to play Colgate.

[fr joe]

Re: RPI 2010-2011 V: The "Chase" to AC & Beyond

(As of 9:30 pm) Score updates:
Yale, 4-0, over SLU
Union & Colgate, 3-3, in OT
Cornell & Quinnipiac, 2-2, in OT
Dartmouth, 4-3, over Harvard

Notre Dame, 4-2, over Lake Superior
Western Mich & Ferris State, 4-4, in OT (FS was down, 4-1)

Northeastern 5, Boston U 4
Wisconsin & Colorado Coll, 0-0, in 1st

...some interesting results out there so far!

[lugnut92]

Re: RPI 2010-2011 V: The "Chase" to AC & Beyond

And Cornell wins in OT. Luckily Northeastern beat BU. I need some WaP analysis...

[jericho]

Re: RPI 2010-2011 V: The "Chase" to AC & Beyond

Dartmouth can still drop like a rock if they lose both games in AC, but they drop further if they have to play Colgate.

Northeastern downed BU, so there's one game that's our way. Now if all the OT games go the way that RPI wants them to, the Engineers are right back in the thick of things.

[NYhockeyguy]

Re: RPI 2010-2011 V: The "Chase" to AC & Beyond

Gate takes down Union in OT

[fr joe]

Re: RPI 2010-2011 V: The "Chase" to AC & Beyond

Colgate 4, Union 3 in OT
Western Mich 5, Ferris State 4, in OT

[lugnut92]

Re: RPI 2010-2011 V: The "Chase" to AC & Beyond

So after a fantastic Friday and an okay Saturday, we are not having the greatest Sunday.

[jericho]

Re: RPI 2010-2011 V: The "Chase" to AC & Beyond

OK, RPI fans: You have just become the BIGGEST Yale fans in the ECAC. Yes, even bigger than actual Yale fans.

[lugnut92]

Re: RPI 2010-2011 V: The "Chase" to AC & Beyond

OK, RPI fans: You have just become the BIGGEST Yale fans in the ECAC. Yes, even bigger than actual Yale fans.

And even bigger Badger fans.

[burgie12]

Re: RPI 2010-2011 V: The "Chase" to AC & Beyond

And even bigger Badger fans.

And, sadly, Cornell fans. I need to double-check my maths, but I don't think that the Big Red can drop from TUC status (if they can, it will be by ten-thousandths of a point). So, they need to take down Dartmouth and Colgate also has to take down Dartmouth in the consolation game.

[fr joe]

Re: RPI 2010-2011 V: The "Chase" to AC & Beyond

Wisconsin 1, Coloado College 0, early in the 3rd

[burgie12]

Re: RPI 2010-2011 V: The "Chase" to AC & Beyond

And, sadly, Cornell fans. I need to double-check my maths, but I don't think that the Big Red can drop from TUC status (if they can, it will be by ten-thousandths of a point). So, they need to take down Dartmouth and Colgate also has to take down Dartmouth in the consolation game.

Upon further inspection, Cornell can drop out of TUC status. If they get swept, then I got them down to 0.4986. Everyone can breathe easily, we don't have to cheer for the Faux Red.

The following set of games got the Engineers into 13th place, with the only non-top 15 auto-bid going to the AHA:

ECAC:
20110318 Cg 0 Ya 1 NC
20110318 Cr 0 Da 1 NC
20110319 Cg 2 Cr 1 NC
20110319 Da 0 Ya 1 NC

WCHA:
20110313 Wi 1 CC 0 NC
20110317 BS 0 MD 1 NC
20110317 AA 0 Wi 1 NC
20110318 MD 0 DU 1 NC
20110318 Wi 0 ND 1 NC
20110319 DU 0 ND 1 NC

CCHA:
20110318 Mm 0 Nt 1 NC
20110318 WM 0 Mi 1 NC
20110319 WM 0 Mm 1 NC
20110319 Mi 0 Nt 1 NC

HEA:
20110318 NE 0 BC 1 NC
20110318 Mr 0 NH 1 NC
20110319 NH 0 BC 1 NC

AHA:
20110318 Ct 0 RT 1 NC
20110318 HC 0 AF 1 NC
20110319 AF 0 RT 1 NC

I think there are a number of these things (such as the DU / UND result or the entire AHA weekend) that is fairly variable and doesn't have much, if any impact on our PWR standing.

But, I'm going to take my leave and let Tom handle the in-depth analysis of this. He's been doing it much longer than I have. I'm just having fun plugging in numbers.

[burgie12]

Re: RPI 2010-2011 V: The "Chase" to AC & Beyond

Alright, I lied. One more point of interest that I found. The ECAC might be able to squeak in 5 teams to the tournament.

Keep the same game results as above, but change the ECAC games to:

20110318 Cg 0 Ya 1 NC
20110318 Cr 2 Da 1 NC
20110319 Cg 0 Da 1 NC
20110319 Cr 2 Ya 1 NC

Yale stays as the overall #1 seed, Union finishes the season at #9, RPI jumps all the way up to a tie for 12th with UNO (wins the head-to-head, loses RPI), and Dartmouth finishes in a tie with BU at #14 (wins head-to-head, wins RPI by less than 0.0001). And, Cornell would get an autobid (#15, displacing BU). So, there you go, folks. 5 ECAC teams in the NCAAs.