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View Full Version : RPI 2010-2011 V: The "Chase" to AC & Beyond



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lugnut92
03-14-2011, 10:18 AM
You considered that your scenario allows Colgate to get in?

I doubt that he did. It is possible that his scenario puts us at 14th or higher though.

jmhusker
03-14-2011, 10:35 AM
You considered that your scenario allows Colgate to get in?
Yes. Colgate or Cornell/Dartmouth. Two more Colgate wins with a ale consolation victory would put 4 ECAC teams in with one not having played in 3 weeks and another with a record << .500. I can hear all of the HE and WCHA fans screaming now. :D

jmhusker
03-14-2011, 10:36 AM
I doubt that he did. It is possible that his scenario puts us at 14th or higher though.

Try 11th!

engineerhockeyfan
03-14-2011, 10:36 AM
I doubt that he did. It is possible that his scenario puts us at 14th or higher though.

I have ben watching this all weekend, and my head is spinning.
I will root for Yale and against Cornell next weekend, because that will be easy for me.
I will check on Sunday to see if we made it or not.

DrDemento
03-14-2011, 11:03 AM
I have ben watching this all weekend, and my head is spinning.
I will root for Yale and against Cornell next weekend, because that will be easy for me.
I will check on Sunday to see if we made it or not.

I am finding myself all caught up in this PWR stuff. I will play with the What If Generator today. I will probably want to check things late friday when we might already know much more than we do now. It is a little comfort to know we still stand a chance but it appears that we do not want any real upsets in the other major conferences. I have waited 16 years for a chance to see us in the NCAA tournament-it has been long enough. I don't care where or who we play-I just want us to play and gain some experience for next year and the following years and we start to make a habit of this.:)

Ralph Baer
03-14-2011, 11:27 AM
I am finding myself all caught up in this PWR stuff. I will play with the What If Generator today. I will probably want to check things late friday when we might already know much more than we do now. It is a little comfort to know we still stand a chance but it appears that we do not want any real upsets in the other major conferences. I have waited 16 years for a chance to see us in the NCAA tournament-it has been long enough. I don't care where or who we play-I just want us to play and gain some experience for next year and the following years and we start to make a habit of this.:)

I also expect our first tourney goal since 1985. :)

FlagDUDE08
03-14-2011, 11:45 AM
There's still a way to get in if clutch-and-grab-and-flop wins the EZAC, but we'd need a lot of help from the west, specifically lower seeds to win in the play-in games for the WCHA.

Wholin1
03-14-2011, 11:51 AM
Good luck to RPI getting in the tourney. The scenarios must be driving you nuts. Can anyone confirm that the selection show is Sunday at 11:30 a.m. on ESPN? I read that in the TU but considering the source, confirmation would be nice.

jmhusker
03-14-2011, 12:00 PM
Try 11th!

Actually that should have said tied for 12th - to get to 11th we need a couple of other things to happen. I must admit I was pessimistic after seeing all of the OT game go against us yesterday but now I am gaining some optimism from playing with the predictor. Among the positive possibilities:
- Favorites win every game and we are in
- Colgate or Yale wins the ECAC consolation we either flip our comparison with Dartmouth or Cornell falls out of the TUC (huge)
- CC loses WCHA play-in and we flip the comparison with them
- CC wins and upsets ND - flipping our comparison with Maine
- CCHA favorites win and we flip the comparison with WM

Lot's of good possibilities there. WE just have to hope the big 4 champs are for the most part the higher ranked teams.

turk181
03-14-2011, 12:01 PM
Good luck to RPI getting in the tourney. The scenarios must be driving you nuts. Can anyone confirm that the selection show is Sunday at 11:30 a.m. on ESPN? I read that in the TU but considering the source, confirmation would be nice. according to the TV schedule on DirecTV; Sun. 3/20 at 11:30 am on ESPN2...College Hockey Special...I'm assuming that's the selection show

lugnut92
03-14-2011, 12:01 PM
Good luck to RPI getting in the tourney. The scenarios must be driving you nuts. Can anyone confirm that the selection show is Sunday at 11:30 a.m. on ESPN? I read that in the TU but considering the source, confirmation would be nice.

I think it's ESPN2.

turk181
03-14-2011, 12:10 PM
http://www.seniorclassaward.com/vote/hockey_2010-11/

Ralph Baer
03-14-2011, 12:22 PM
http://www.seniorclassaward.com/vote/hockey_2010-11/

Thanks for the reminder.

DrDemento
03-14-2011, 01:19 PM
I also expect our first tourney goal since 1985. :)

The last NCAA tournament game involving RPI that we attended was in Albany in 1994. And yes we were shut out.:( I listened to the following year's game and again we were shut out. :mad:

AspyDad
03-14-2011, 01:43 PM
TV schedule for all major events and games courtesy of paul kelly's group

http://www.collegehockeyinc.com/view/ncaa/links/national-tv-schedule

DrDemento
03-14-2011, 01:53 PM
TV schedule for all major events and games courtesy of paul kelly's group

http://www.collegehockeyinc.com/view/ncaa/links/national-tv-schedule

Thands AD-good work. Now all I have to do is figure out which of these games will be carried by Comcast Cable here in NJ.

RHamilton
03-14-2011, 02:21 PM
I've gotten RPI to 10th (outright, no tie) with 20 comparisons won. I'm pretty sure that's the limit, has anyone done better?

FlagDUDE08
03-14-2011, 02:26 PM
I'm not going to do this while at work, but assuming each team has an equal chance of winning each game in which they play, what is the probability that RPI will make the tournament?

johnk
03-14-2011, 02:34 PM
Someone who has run more numbers than I have correct me if I'm wrong but the combination of a CC loss in their play in game and no bids stolen in the conf tourneys should give RPI a great chance of getting in. There are many other ways but if there is any one team we want to go down I would think CC followed by Western Michigan and then Dartmouth.

redhead18
03-14-2011, 03:08 PM
I've gotten RPI to 10th (outright, no tie) with 20 comparisons won. I'm pretty sure that's the limit, has anyone done better?Working on it a good portion of the day and 11th is the best I could come up with:

11 Rensselaer (RP) 17 .5240

Atlantic Hockey
Semifinal #2: Air Force defeats Holy Cross
Semifinal #1: RIT defeats Connecticut
Championship game: RIT defeats Air Force
CCHA
Semifinal #2: Miami defeats Notre Dame
Semifinal #1: Michigan defeats Western Michigan
Championship game: Michigan defeats Miami
Consolation game: Notre Dame defeats Western Michigan
ECAC
Semifinal #2: Dartmouth defeats Cornell
Semifinal #1: Colgate defeats Yale
Championship game: Colgate defeats Dartmouth
Consolation game: Yale defeats Cornell
Hockey East
Semifinal #2: Merrimack defeats New Hampshire
Semifinal #1: Boston College defeats Northeastern
Championship game: Boston College defeats Merrimack
WCHA
Play-in #2: Minnesota-Duluth defeats Bemidji State
Play-in #1: Alaska-Anchorage defeats Colorado College
Semifinal #2: Denver defeats Minnesota-Duluth
Semifinal #1: North Dakota defeats Alaska-Anchorage
Championship game: North Dakota defeats Denver