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Captain Obvious
01-11-2011, 08:08 AM
http://www.uscho.com/womens-d3-blog/2011/01/10/weekend-rewind-and-20-predictions/

I do not think Derek is far off with his predictions. Let's get the conversation going.

I will set the over/under at 13. Who is taking the under and who is taking the over?:D

Thanks Derek, this is well thought out. I could not find last year's predictions to see how many you got correct. So, maybe I set the over/under too high or too low.:cool:

Discuss!

OnMAA
01-11-2011, 09:06 AM
http://www.uscho.com/womens-d3-blog/2011/01/10/weekend-rewind-and-20-predictions/

I do not think Derek is far off with his predictions. Let's get the conversation going.

I will set the over/under at 13. Who is taking the under and who is taking the over?:D

Thanks Derek, this is well thought out. I could not find last year's predictions to see how many you got correct. So, maybe I set the over/under too high or too low.:cool:

Discuss!

This will be under 13. I predict that at best 50% are right. For starters, the max is only 19, as #2 and #8 are in direct conflict, and only one of those can come through.

Russell Jaslow
01-11-2011, 09:29 AM
For starters, the max is only 19, as #2 and #8 are in direct conflict, and only one of those can come through.

Not necessarily. You can lead the country in goals but not in scoring. Remember, scoring is goals AND assists.

nyi19
01-11-2011, 09:34 AM
Who's Amhest? ;)

Captain Obvious
01-11-2011, 09:39 AM
Who's Amhest? ;)

Oh you know, the Lord Geoff's.

nyi19
01-11-2011, 09:40 AM
Oh you know, the Lord Geoff's.

haha well played

Derek Dunning
01-11-2011, 09:56 AM
This will be under 13. I predict that at best 50% are right. For starters, the max is only 19, as #2 and #8 are in direct conflict, and only one of those can come through.


Not necessarily. You can lead the country in goals but not in scoring. Remember, scoring is goals AND assists.

This.

I guess I wasn't clear enough though.

Russell is correct with what I was predicting though. Taffe will lead the country in freshman points and Charron will lead the nation in goals.

Here's last year's picks:

20. Chatham beats Plymouth State at the St. Michaels Tournament leaving the Panthers and Wesleyan as the only winless D-III teams (Correct)

19. Plattsburgh wins the Panther-Cardinal Classic (Wrong)

18. Trinity hands Lake Forest its first loss of the season at the Codfish Bowl (1/2 right)

17. Oswego wins the Rutland-Herald Invitational (Wrong)

16. Manhattanvilles Katie Little wins the scoring title with over 50 points. (Wrong)

15. Elmira beats Amherst on Jan. 20 in a rematch of last years National Championship (Wrong)

14. Two of the Plattsburgh, Elmira, RIT, Amherst, or Middlebury combo lose to unranked teams (Correct)

13. St. Catherine gets ranked in the USCHO.com Poll (I don't remember..but I think wrong)

12. Holy Cross beats Middlebury on Jan. 26 and goes unbeaten. (Wrong)

11. Trinitys Isabelle Iwachiw wins the Laura Hurd Award. (Correct)

10. Adrian makes the NCHA Championship game (Wrong)

9. Norwich wins the ECAC East (Correct)

8. Wis.-River Falls comes back to win the NCHA (Correct)

7. St. Thomas wins the MIAC (Wrong)

6. RIT wins the ECAC West (Wrong)

5. Amherst wins the NESCAC (Correct)

4. Plattsburgh and Middlebury get at-large bids (1/2 correct)

3. The West hosts the Frozen Four despite the conspiracy theorists thinking its headed East again. (Correct)

2. Middlebury, Wis.-River Falls, Plattsburgh, Norwich make it to the Frozen Four (1/4th correct)

1. Middlebury wins the National Championship (Wrong)

8.25 correct


Read more: http://www.uscho.com/2010/01/09/firsthalf-recap-diii-women/#ixzz1Ajzoex3D

5 4 Fighting
01-11-2011, 10:44 AM
I'd bet a hockey sock full of beer that #10 is pasted on the dressing room door at the Murray Athletic Center by now...

er...Thanks!

Derek Dunning
01-11-2011, 10:52 AM
I'd bet a hockey sock full of beer that #10 is pasted on the dressing room door at the Murray Athletic Center by now...

er...Thanks!

I hope it is. That's fine.

These predictions have done exactly what I wanted, spark interst and discussion involving D-III women's hockey.

Outside of the poll thread and the score update thread, there has been very little discussion of D-III women's hockey this year. Maybe it's my fault for not doing the beat justice, I don't know. I try to do my best to balance my main job on the USCHO gig.

These predictions are not meant to slight anyone. Simply one writer's bold predictions on how things might shake out.

If I was trying to guarantee I'd get all 20 right I would have said, at least one of Elmira, Amherst, Plattsburgh, RIT, Middlebury, Trinity, or Norwich will make the Frozen Four.

:) Happy second half everyone. Enjoy my predictions as locker room poster board material if you so choose.

5 4 Fighting
01-11-2011, 11:06 AM
I hope it is. That's fine.

These predictions have done exactly what I wanted, spark interst and discussion involving D-III women's hockey.

Outside of the poll thread and the score update thread, there has been very little discussion of D-III women's hockey this year. Maybe it's my fault for not doing the beat justice, I don't know. I try to do my best to balance my main job on the USCHO gig.

These predictions are not meant to slight anyone. Simply one writer's bold predictions on how things might shake out.

If I was trying to guarantee I'd get all 20 right I would have said, at least one of Elmira, Amherst, Plattsburgh, RIT, Middlebury, Trinity, or Norwich will make the Frozen Four.

:) Happy second half everyone. Enjoy my predictions as locker room poster board material if you so choose.

No worries Derek...I like most of your predictions but will take under 13.

The only ones I really take exception to are # 10 cause I'm a homer and # 3. Laura Hurd's accomplishments were captured in 4 years...not 5.

OnMAA
01-11-2011, 11:15 AM
No worries Derek...I like most of your predictions but will take under 13.

The only ones I really take exception to are # 10 cause I'm a homer and # 3. Laura Hurd's accomplishments were captured in 4 years...not 5.

Or Six

5 4 Fighting
01-11-2011, 11:19 AM
Or Six

Ya or six. It's a moving target.

Not sure a 25 year old sticking around to garner awards is in the spirit of what was intended...at least for the Laura Hurd.

OnMAA
01-11-2011, 11:21 AM
I'd bet a hockey sock full of beer!

Hmmm....Don't sound that tasty to me. Seen used hockey socks used for many reasons, but not as a beer cooler. Those new synthetic sock may be comfy and thin, but they are useless compared to the old woollies for reuse around the garage.

Top five uses for old woolly hockey socks:

#5: Emergency Tuque or mitts when stuck on the road.

#4: Plug holes in hockey bag (specially side pockets)

#3: Floor mat on cold garage floor for work underneath the car

#2: Use as traction to get stuck car out of snowbank.

#1: Cheap Skate guard

Mania
01-11-2011, 11:51 AM
http://www.uscho.com/womens-d3-blog/2011/01/10/weekend-rewind-and-20-predictions/

I do not think Derek is far off with his predictions. Let's get the conversation going.

I will set the over/under at 13. Who is taking the under and who is taking the over?:D

I'm going to take the under. Here are the ones I predict will happen (in bold).

1. RIT or Wis. River Falls will finish the regular season undefeated.

2. Elmira’s Tori Charron will lead the country in goals.
(Don't know much about her so I'm going to go with the odds and say she doesn't)

3. Norwich’s Sophie Leclerc will lead the country in total points and win the Laura Hurd Award.
(Same as above)

4. Norwich beats Plattsburgh on Jan. 12. at the Stafford. (This actually is a bold statement. Trust me.)

5. Finlandia gets its first win of the season before Marian.

6. Adrian’s Emily Michelin breaks Wis. Stevens Point’s Amy Statz’s record for shutouts in a single season. Michelin has 6, the record is 13.

7. Amherst doesn’t lose again until the NCAA Tournament.

8. Concordia-Moorhead’s Abby Taffe leads the country in freshman scoring.
(Same as 2 and 3)

9. Bowdoin makes the NESCAC finals.

10. Elmira and Middlebury do not make the NCAA Tournament.

11. RIT’s Scott McDonald wins Coach of the Year.

12. St. Norbert makes the NCHA Final Four.

13. St. Mary’s makes the MIAC championship game.

14. Manhattanville doesn’t make the ECAC East championship game.

15. Oswego wins an ECAC West playoff game.

16. Plattsburgh wins the ECAC West.

17. One of the conference tournament championships goes to double overtime.

18. RIT hosts the Frozen Four.

19. RIT, Plattsburgh, Norwich, and River Falls make the Frozen Four.

20. RIT wins the national championship.

gojackets
01-11-2011, 11:55 AM
13. St. Catherine gets ranked in the USCHO.com Poll (I don't remember..but I think wrong)


I believe they snuck in at 10 the week before the MIAC title game

gojackets
01-11-2011, 12:03 PM
1. RIT or Wis. River Falls will finish the regular season undefeated.


I think River Falls has a definite shot of finishing undefeated. There biggest(only) test will be up in Superior where I bet they take at least 3 points. A tie still counts as undefeated right?



5. Finlandia gets its first win of the season before Marian.

It will happen on Feb. 5 when Finlandia beats Marian. Then Marian will beat Finlandia on the 6th.



6. Adrian’s Emily Michelin breaks Wis. Stevens Point’s Amy Statz’s record for shutouts in a single season. Michelin has 6, the record is 13.

There's no way she gets 8 shut outs against Stevens Point, River Falls, Lake Forest, St Norbert and Finlandia. I'll give you 2 against the Finn's...maybe 1 against Norbert's but judging from last weekend, highly doubtful.


St. Norbert makes the NCHA Final Four.


Very possible. I predict they will win 5 of their last 10...with sweeps of Finlandia, CSS, and a split with Adrian. Putting them somewhere 4-6 in the final standings.


St. Mary’s makes the MIAC championship game.


I think this is a given.


20. RIT wins the national championship.


I think you meant River Falls. Cassi Campbell will shut RIT down!!

Russell Jaslow
01-11-2011, 12:12 PM
I think you meant River Falls. Cassi Campbell will shut RIT down!!

I don't know much about River Falls, but RIT has a great goaltender. She is the missing link that RIT has been looking for the past few years.

I'd love to see RIT and River Falls duke it out in the national final. Especially if they both come in undefeated. That would be a championship for the ages.

Derek Dunning
01-11-2011, 12:28 PM
A tie still counts as undefeated right?



Ties I usually say a team has a unbeaten streak if they are involved but yes I think undefeated is the same.

nyi19
01-11-2011, 12:55 PM
For what it's worth, Utica has one more appearance in an ECAC-West championship game than RIT. I'd say RIT should worry about even getting to the championship game before making the NCAA final four or winning a national chip because historically, if you don't make the ECACW chip game, you have no shot at NCAAs (see RIT 08-09 going 21-2-2 and losing in ECACW semis to Plattsburgh).

Plugger
01-11-2011, 02:42 PM
For what it's worth, Utica has one more appearance in an ECAC-West championship game than RIT. I'd say RIT should worry about even getting to the championship game before making the NCAA final four or winning a national chip because historically, if you don't make the ECACW chip game, you have no shot at NCAAs (see RIT 08-09 going 21-2-2 and losing in ECACW semis to Plattsburgh).

I agree that RIT needs to worry about getting to Finals. They have never made it there (much less even make it into the NCAA's), and experience is very important in these pressure packed games. I am not saying they won't, but I would not be surprised to see them have a problem in the playoffs their very first year. Just my opinion.