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View Full Version : ECAC Playoff Scenarios-4 games left



klumpmypants
02-16-2010, 08:25 PM
If the season ended today:

1. Yale 26 (2 Ws vs. Cornell)
2. Cornell 26
3. Union 24
4. SLU 20 (W and T vs. RPI)
5. RPI 20
6. Colgate 19
7. QU 18
8. Harvard 17
9. Princeton 14
10. Brown 13
11. Dartmouth 11
12. Clarkson 8

Clarkson/RPI would be sweet first round.

Remaining games:
SLU/Clarkson @ Yale/Brown
Cornell/Colgate @ Harvard/Dartmouth
QU/Princeton @ RPI/Union

Yale/Brown @ Princeton/Quinnipiac
Union/RPI @ Cornell/Colgate
Dartmouth/Harvard @ SLU/Clarkson

So everyone has one home and one away weekend left. You will notice those teams on the road this weekend are traveling much farther than those away the last weekend. Of the teams fighting for that last bye (SLU, RPI, Colgate, QU), I would say SLU has the easiest schedule, but if they lose to Yale this Friday then RPI controls its own destiny.

Anyone see any big moves happening?

Rainman
02-16-2010, 08:32 PM
SLU and RPI need 2 pts to clinch at least a 1st-round home series. Colgate needs 3 pts to do the same. Clarkson is locked into finishing in the bottom 4 and will be on the road in the 1st round.

I can realistically see SLU, RPI, and Colgate locking up top-8 finishes this weekend.

klumpmypants
02-16-2010, 08:40 PM
SLU and RPI need 2 pts to clinch at least a 1st-round home series. Colgate needs 3 pts to do the same. Clarkson is locked into finishing in the bottom 4 and will be on the road in the 1st round.

I can realistically see SLU, RPI, and Colgate locking up top-8 finishes this weekend.

Technically, RPI just needs the 1 point against Princeton, but if they lose to Princeton, then they need a win, not just 2 points. I realize that's nitpicking.

QU can also clinch home ice with a sweep in the Capital District if they pull it off.

Kepler
02-18-2010, 08:09 AM
Magic numbers (http://www.playoffstatus.com/ecachockey/ecacwinmagicnumbers.html).

Post season probabilities (http://www.playoffstatus.com/ecachockey/ecachockeypostseasonprob.html).

% chance of finish (http://www.playoffstatus.com/ecachockey/ecacstandings.html).

Does not include Cornell-Colgate.

LTsatch
02-18-2010, 04:34 PM
Thats a great website, thanks

klumpmypants
02-18-2010, 06:27 PM
Thats a great website, thanks

True, yet useless until updated. We know who runs it?

Kepler
02-19-2010, 08:39 AM
True, yet useless until updated. We know who runs it?
Hardly useless. There's a contact link right on the page.

rodney
02-19-2010, 11:34 AM
My personal favorite...

http://slack.net/~whelan/tbrw/2010/ecac.cgiframe.shtml

Rainman
02-19-2010, 10:16 PM
Update with 3 games left:

-Cornell and Yale have locked up byes.
-Union needs 1 point to clinch a bye. They have locked up home ice though.
-RPI has locked up home ice, and can still get a bye.
-Colgate can finish between 3rd and 9th, SLU between 4th and 9th. Both teams can clinch home ice with 1 point.
-Quinnipiac can finish between 4th and 10th. 3 points gives them home ice.
-Harvard can finish between 4th and 11th. 4 points gives them home ice.
-Brown can finish between 5th and 11th.
-Princeton can finish between 7th and 12th.
-Dartmouth can finish between 8th and 12th.
-Clarkson can finish between 10th and 12th. Will be on the road for the playoffs.

ADK11
02-19-2010, 11:20 PM
Update with 3 games left:

-Cornell and Yale have locked up byes.
-Union needs 1 point to clinch a bye. They have locked up home ice though.
-RPI has locked up home ice, and can still get a bye.
-Colgate can finish between 3rd and 9th, SLU between 4th and 9th. Both teams can clinch home ice with 1 point.
-Quinnipiac can finish between 4th and 10th. 3 points gives them home ice.
-Harvard can finish between 4th and 11th. 4 points gives them home ice.
-Brown can finish between 5th and 11th.
-Princeton can finish between 7th and 12th.
-Dartmouth can finish between 8th and 12th.
-Clarkson can finish between 10th and 12th. Will be on the road for the playoffs.Actually Union clinched a bye tonight :)
- RPI is only team below them that can finish with more points
- Since RPI still has to play Gate, could be a 3 way tie at 26 points. Gate would get 3rd, U 4th & RPI 5th because of head-to-head
- 4 way tie including SLU would have U 3rd