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ECAC Playoff Scenarios-4 games left

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  • ECAC Playoff Scenarios-4 games left

    If the season ended today:

    1. Yale 26 (2 Ws vs. Cornell)
    2. Cornell 26
    3. Union 24
    4. SLU 20 (W and T vs. RPI)
    5. RPI 20
    6. Colgate 19
    7. QU 18
    8. Harvard 17
    9. Princeton 14
    10. Brown 13
    11. Dartmouth 11
    12. Clarkson 8

    Clarkson/RPI would be sweet first round.

    Remaining games:
    SLU/Clarkson @ Yale/Brown
    Cornell/Colgate @ Harvard/Dartmouth
    QU/Princeton @ RPI/Union

    Yale/Brown @ Princeton/Quinnipiac
    Union/RPI @ Cornell/Colgate
    Dartmouth/Harvard @ SLU/Clarkson

    So everyone has one home and one away weekend left. You will notice those teams on the road this weekend are traveling much farther than those away the last weekend. Of the teams fighting for that last bye (SLU, RPI, Colgate, QU), I would say SLU has the easiest schedule, but if they lose to Yale this Friday then RPI controls its own destiny.

    Anyone see any big moves happening?
    Last edited by klumpmypants; 02-16-2010, 08:30 PM.

  • #2
    Re: ECAC Playoff Scenarios-4 games left

    SLU and RPI need 2 pts to clinch at least a 1st-round home series. Colgate needs 3 pts to do the same. Clarkson is locked into finishing in the bottom 4 and will be on the road in the 1st round.

    I can realistically see SLU, RPI, and Colgate locking up top-8 finishes this weekend.
    Colgate '09

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: ECAC Playoff Scenarios-4 games left

      Originally posted by Rainman View Post
      SLU and RPI need 2 pts to clinch at least a 1st-round home series. Colgate needs 3 pts to do the same. Clarkson is locked into finishing in the bottom 4 and will be on the road in the 1st round.

      I can realistically see SLU, RPI, and Colgate locking up top-8 finishes this weekend.
      Technically, RPI just needs the 1 point against Princeton, but if they lose to Princeton, then they need a win, not just 2 points. I realize that's nitpicking.

      QU can also clinch home ice with a sweep in the Capital District if they pull it off.

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: ECAC Playoff Scenarios-4 games left

        Magic numbers.

        Post season probabilities
        .

        % chance of finish.

        Does not include Cornell-Colgate.
        Cornell University
        National Champion 1967, 1970
        ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
        Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: ECAC Playoff Scenarios-4 games left

          Thats a great website, thanks
          YALE HOCKEY
          2013 National Champions

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: ECAC Playoff Scenarios-4 games left

            Originally posted by LTsatch View Post
            Thats a great website, thanks
            True, yet useless until updated. We know who runs it?

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: ECAC Playoff Scenarios-4 games left

              Originally posted by klumpmypants View Post
              True, yet useless until updated. We know who runs it?
              Hardly useless. There's a contact link right on the page.
              Cornell University
              National Champion 1967, 1970
              ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
              Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: ECAC Playoff Scenarios-4 games left

                My personal favorite...

                http://slack.net/~whelan/tbrw/2010/ecac.cgiframe.shtml

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: ECAC Playoff Scenarios-4 games left

                  Update with 3 games left:

                  -Cornell and Yale have locked up byes.
                  -Union needs 1 point to clinch a bye. They have locked up home ice though.
                  -RPI has locked up home ice, and can still get a bye.
                  -Colgate can finish between 3rd and 9th, SLU between 4th and 9th. Both teams can clinch home ice with 1 point.
                  -Quinnipiac can finish between 4th and 10th. 3 points gives them home ice.
                  -Harvard can finish between 4th and 11th. 4 points gives them home ice.
                  -Brown can finish between 5th and 11th.
                  -Princeton can finish between 7th and 12th.
                  -Dartmouth can finish between 8th and 12th.
                  -Clarkson can finish between 10th and 12th. Will be on the road for the playoffs.
                  Colgate '09

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: ECAC Playoff Scenarios-4 games left

                    Originally posted by Rainman View Post
                    Update with 3 games left:

                    -Cornell and Yale have locked up byes.
                    -Union needs 1 point to clinch a bye. They have locked up home ice though.
                    -RPI has locked up home ice, and can still get a bye.
                    -Colgate can finish between 3rd and 9th, SLU between 4th and 9th. Both teams can clinch home ice with 1 point.
                    -Quinnipiac can finish between 4th and 10th. 3 points gives them home ice.
                    -Harvard can finish between 4th and 11th. 4 points gives them home ice.
                    -Brown can finish between 5th and 11th.
                    -Princeton can finish between 7th and 12th.
                    -Dartmouth can finish between 8th and 12th.
                    -Clarkson can finish between 10th and 12th. Will be on the road for the playoffs.
                    Actually Union clinched a bye tonight
                    - RPI is only team below them that can finish with more points
                    - Since RPI still has to play Gate, could be a 3 way tie at 26 points. Gate would get 3rd, U 4th & RPI 5th because of head-to-head
                    - 4 way tie including SLU would have U 3rd
                    UNIONNY HOCKEY - Not in Kentucky anymore..

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