PDA

View Full Version : 2009-2010 DIII Rutter Computer Rankings Thread



Pages : [1] 2 3 4

LakersFan
11-02-2009, 01:38 PM
For games played through 11/1/2009


Team Rating
1 RIT 2.1874
2 Elmira 2.1090
3 Plattsburgh 2.0939
4 Amherst 1.9163
5 Middlebury 1.8746
6 Gust.Adolphus 1.8448
7 St. Thomas 1.2617
8 Wis-River Falls 1.2587
9 Holy Cross 1.1266
10 Adrian 1.0826

It is very early and only a handful of games have been played, but my rankings for D-III teams is up and running. http://math.bd.psu.edu/faculty/rutter/D3_Rankings.html

Each team has a prior rating based on last year's results, which is why RIT is number 1 without playing a game. The effect of this prior decreases with every game played. See my web page for more information. I will try to answer any questions posted in this thread with the disclaimer that I watch 0 +/- 1 DIII games a year and I am not familiar with individual teams.

Yet I still believe leaving RIT out of the NCAA tournament was a bad decision.

Say What?
11-02-2009, 05:47 PM
For games played through 11/1/2009


Team Rating
1 RIT 2.1874
2 Elmira 2.1090
3 Plattsburgh 2.0939
4 Amherst 1.9163
5 Middlebury 1.8746
6 Gust.Adolphus 1.8448
7 St. Thomas 1.2617
8 Wis-River Falls 1.2587
9 Holy Cross 1.1266
10 Adrian 1.0826

It is very early and only a handful of games have been played, but my rankings for D-III teams is up and running. http://math.bd.psu.edu/faculty/rutter/D3_Rankings.html.

Say What? Wins by powerhouses Lake Forest and Finlandia do not garner enough "love" to even be considered in your RPI calculations?? Ouch! :confused:


Yet I still believe leaving RIT out of the NCAA tournament was a bad decision. Yeh but. Yeh but? Yeh but! So, I am still upset that my team MIT gave up hockey. What is this world coming to? Let the debates, squabbles, east/west drivel, hand ringing, etc begin, it's hockey time!!!:)

ps: And before anyone gets to wondering to much about where the FF will be this year. In the east of course!! As they say, 'IT'S THE ECONOMY STUPID. GET OVER IT ALREADY'!!!

PrezdeJohnson09
11-02-2009, 06:09 PM
ps: And before anyone gets to wondering to much about where the FF will be this year. In the east of course!! As they say, 'IT'S THE ECONOMY STUPID. GET OVER IT ALREADY'!!!

Sadly....I'm waiting for this very same announcement.:eek: :(

gojackets
11-02-2009, 09:46 PM
ps: And before anyone gets to wondering to much about where the FF will be this year. In the east of course!! As they say, 'IT'S THE ECONOMY STUPID. GET OVER IT ALREADY'!!!

I don't buy the economy excuse...flying two teams west is just as expensive, maybe cheaper, than flying two teams east.

PrezdeJohnson09
11-03-2009, 12:36 PM
I don't buy the economy excuse...flying two teams west is just as expensive, maybe cheaper, than flying two teams east.

It's basically impossible now with Adrian's two losses to Neumann but...

The NCAA could have had a dream Frozen Four in the "west" without having to fly any teams.

Adrian, Stevens Point, Elmira, RIT

Just some food for thought :)

PS: I'm not saying these are even close to the four best teams in the country, just saying i'd find it hilarious if this was the Frozen Four and the NCAA found a way to make it happen.

gojackets
11-03-2009, 10:44 PM
It's basically impossible now with Adrian's two losses to Neumann but...

The NCAA could have had a dream Frozen Four in the "west" without having to fly any teams.

Adrian, Stevens Point, Elmira, RIT

Just some food for thought :)

PS: I'm not saying these are even close to the four best teams in the country, just saying i'd find it hilarious if this was the Frozen Four and the NCAA found a way to make it happen.

I'm banking on Adrian winning the Peters Cup....the other NCHA team upsetting Gustavus in the quarters(once again) and then the FF being "west" in Adrian

LakersFan
11-09-2009, 02:18 PM
Rutter Rankings for game played through November 8, 2009


Team Rating
1 Elmira 2.1312
2 Plattsburgh 2.0864
3 RIT 1.9858
4 Amherst 1.9111
5 Middlebury 1.8687
6 Gustavus A. 1.8344
7 Wis-River Falls 1.8117
8 Holy Cross 1.5224
9 Wis-Stevens Pt. 1.2611
10 Neumann 1.2349

Thanks to Art for pointing out a couple of mistakes that I think have been corrected. Sorry to Marian for not including them and I missed some Saint Mary's games due to a switch from St. to Saint on http://collegehockeystats.net.

MNhockeyfan09
11-14-2009, 10:33 AM
I'm banking on Adrian winning the Peters Cup....the other NCHA team upsetting Gustavus in the quarters(once again) and then the FF being "west" in Adrian


DId you mean the O' Brien Cup?

gojackets
11-14-2009, 11:19 AM
DId you mean the O' Brien Cup?

haha yah

LakersFan
11-16-2009, 12:55 PM
D-III Rutter Rankings for games played through November 15, 2009.

Note, the server that my web page was down from Saturday until this morning. Visit the site if you want the latest full list.

http://math.bd.psu.edu/faculty/rutter/D3_Rankings.html


Team Rating
1 Elmira 2.3916
2 Plattsburgh 2.1028
3 RIT 2.0888
4 Amherst 1.9078
5 Middlebury 1.8690
6 Holy Cross 1.8345
7 Gust. Adolphus 1.8264
8 Wis-River Falls 1.8105
9 Norwich 1.5284
10 Neumann 1.4059

spwood
11-16-2009, 01:21 PM
D-III Rutter Rankings for games played through November 15, 2009.



Team Rating
1 Elmira 2.3916
2 Plattsburgh 2.1028


Setting up the classic #1 vs. #2 this weekend in Plattsburgh!

LakersFan
11-23-2009, 12:18 PM
D-III Rutter Rankings for games played through November 23, 2009.


Team Rating
1 Plattsburgh 2.8633
2 RIT 2.2086
3 Middlebury 2.0804
4 Amherst 1.9999
5 Holy Cross 1.8908
6 Elmira 1.6636
7 Neumann 1.4867
8 Wis-River Falls 1.4357
9 Norwich 1.4168
10 Lake Forest 1.3748

Big tumble for Elmira. Would like to point out that these ratings are very volatile and change a lot based on one came. The more games played, the better the results. For example, the 2nd ranked team in RPI has only played two games, which explains why I have them 17th.

LakersFan
11-30-2009, 10:33 AM
D-III Rutter Rankings for games played through November 29, 2009


Team Rating
1 Plattsburgh 2.8343
2 Middlebury 2.2896
3 Amherst 2.0481
4 Holy Cross 1.9796
5 RIT 1.8758
6 Wis-River Falls 1.5870
7 Elmira 1.5670
8 Norwich 1.5264
9 Lake Forest 1.4167
10 Gust. Adolphus 1.3195

LakersFan
12-07-2009, 01:02 PM
For games played through December 6, 2009.


Team Rating
1 Plattsburgh 3.0562
2 Middlebury 2.2736
3 RIT 2.0121
4 Holy Cross 1.8523
5 Elmira 1.7499
6 Amherst 1.5729
7 Manhattanville 1.4951
8 Lake Forest 1.4637
9 Norwich 1.3563
10 Wis-River Falls 1.1549

LakersFan
12-14-2009, 11:47 AM
For games played through December 13, 2009


Team Rating
1 Plattsburgh 3.0719
2 Middlebury 2.2891
3 Amherst 1.9811
4 Elmira 1.9005
5 Holy Cross 1.8256
6 RIT 1.7040
7 Lake Forest 1.4710
8 Manhattanville 1.3767
9 Norwich 1.3104
10 Wis-River Falls 1.0943

5 4 Fighting
12-14-2009, 10:24 PM
For games played through December 13, 2009


Team Rating
1 Plattsburgh 3.0719
2 Middlebury 2.2891
3 Amherst 1.9811
4 Elmira 1.9005
5 Holy Cross 1.8256
6 RIT 1.7040
7 Lake Forest 1.4710
8 Manhattanville 1.3767
9 Norwich 1.3104
10 Wis-River Falls 1.0943

Hard not to notice the top 4 in the Rutters this week. What an unbeleivable set up for the Cardinal-Panther gathering early in the New Year. I mean this is math and you probably could not have scripted it any better for the kick off of the second half of the season....

LakersFan
01-03-2010, 10:28 AM
So the web server at Penn State Erie is not allowing updates, so here are all the rankings for games played through Jan 2.


Team Rating RPI.Rank RPI
1 Plattsburgh 3.0841 1 0.7172
2 Middlebury 2.2355 5 0.6275
3 Amherst 2.0576 4 0.6362
4 Elmira 1.9266 7 0.6126
5 Holy Cross 1.8707 6 0.6244
6 RIT 1.8092 2 0.6508
7 Manhattanville 1.4283 10 0.5970
8 Norwich 1.3677 9 0.6040
9 Trinity 1.1332 11 0.5966
10 Lake Forest 1.0734 3 0.6371
11 Wis-River Falls 1.0301 12 0.5828
12 Wis-Stevens Pt. 0.9103 13 0.5798
13 Wis-Superior 0.8488 14 0.5699
14 Neumann 0.8141 17 0.5449
15 St. Catherine 0.7073 8 0.6062
16 Gustavus Adol. 0.6542 24 0.5126
17 St. Olaf 0.5431 19 0.5378
18 Saint Anselm 0.4426 15 0.5552
19 St. Thomas 0.4174 25 0.5110
20 Salve Regina 0.3132 16 0.5543
21 Utica 0.2895 18 0.5447
22 Bowdoin 0.2259 23 0.5167
23 Saint Mary's 0.2059 20 0.5316
24 UMass Boston 0.1852 22 0.5168
25 Adrian 0.0512 31 0.4761
26 Wis-Eau Claire 0.0170 28 0.4900
27 Concordia (MN) -0.0210 30 0.4840
28 Concordia (WI) -0.0780 29 0.4861
29 Williams -0.0809 26 0.4943
30 Oswego -0.1529 21 0.5305
31 Potsdam -0.2893 27 0.4914
32 Hamilton -0.3383 35 0.4432
33 Bethel -0.3890 38 0.4177
34 Buffalo State -0.5759 32 0.4712
35 Colby -0.6284 34 0.4486
36 New England -0.6983 33 0.4688
37 Hamline -0.7284 37 0.4207
38 Augsburg -0.8682 42 0.4102
39 Southern Maine -0.9285 36 0.4229
40 Conn. College -0.9291 44 0.3997
41 St. Benedict -1.0654 47 0.3702
42 Cortland -1.2299 40 0.4114
43 Marian -1.3465 50 0.3371
44 Finlandia -1.3865 48 0.3664
45 Castleton -1.5572 39 0.4157
46 Chatham -1.5719 41 0.4110
47 Nichols -1.7738 43 0.4027
48 Saint Michael's -1.8773 45 0.3862
49 Wesleyan -2.0278 46 0.3839
50 Plymouth State -3.7257 49 0.3378

LakersFan
01-04-2010, 09:31 AM
For games played through Jan 3, 2010



Team Rating RPI.Rank RPI
1 Plattsburgh 2.6306 1 0.6871
2 Amherst 2.4403 2 0.6603
3 Elmira 2.0378 5 0.6212
4 RIT 1.9563 3 0.6539
5 Holy Cross 1.8641 6 0.6200
6 Middlebury 1.6953 11 0.5907
7 Manhattanville 1.4663 10 0.5986
8 Norwich 1.3698 9 0.6032
9 Trinity 1.3015 7 0.6086
10 Lake Forest 1.1417 4 0.6442
11 Wis-River Falls 1.0380 12 0.5827
12 Wis-Stevens Pt. 0.9224 13 0.5790
13 Wis-Superior 0.8852 14 0.5700
14 Neumann 0.8682 18 0.5450
15 St. Catherine 0.7505 8 0.6065
16 Gustavus Adol. 0.6393 23 0.5098
17 St. Thomas 0.4428 22 0.5118
18 Saint Anselm 0.4095 16 0.5527
19 St. Olaf 0.3962 21 0.5179
20 Utica 0.3521 17 0.5472
21 Salve Regina 0.3013 15 0.5533
22 Saint Mary's 0.2455 19 0.5316
23 Wis-Eau Claire 0.1701 24 0.5070
24 Adrian 0.1148 32 0.4784
25 UMass Boston 0.1099 25 0.5066
26 Bowdoin 0.0941 26 0.4988
27 Concordia (WI) 0.0378 27 0.4981
28 Concordia (MN) -0.0280 30 0.4831
29 Oswego -0.1069 20 0.5268
30 Williams -0.1122 29 0.4852
31 Potsdam -0.2424 28 0.4929
32 Hamilton -0.3604 34 0.4372
33 Bethel -0.3746 37 0.4170
34 Buffalo State -0.4701 31 0.4812
35 New England -0.7165 33 0.4689
36 Hamline -0.7585 38 0.4170
37 Colby -0.7688 35 0.4365
38 Augsburg -0.8541 42 0.4101
39 Southern Maine -0.9729 36 0.4206
40 St. Benedict -1.0597 47 0.3727
41 Conn. College -1.1139 46 0.3799
42 Cortland -1.1461 40 0.4140
43 Marian -1.3395 49 0.3426
44 Chatham -1.3673 41 0.4120
45 Finlandia -1.3957 48 0.3659
46 Castleton -1.5629 39 0.4159
47 Nichols -1.7849 43 0.4034
48 Saint Michael's -1.8830 44 0.3950
49 Wesleyan -2.0634 45 0.3869
50 Plymouth State -3.7934 50 0.3247

LakersFan
01-12-2010, 07:14 AM
OK, the webpage is back in business (http://math.bd.psu.edu/faculty/rutter/D3_Rankings.html). Here is the top 11 for games played through Jan 10, 2010.


Team Rating RPI.Rank RPI
1 Plattsburgh 2.3007 1 0.6703
2 Elmira 2.2338 2 0.6400
3 Amherst 2.2006 3 0.6375
4 Holy Cross 1.9252 6 0.6129
5 RIT 1.8176 5 0.6292
6 Manhattanville 1.6492 8 0.6033
7 Trinity 1.4622 7 0.6095
8 Norwich 1.2891 10 0.5944
9 Middlebury 1.2384 13 0.5642
10 Wis-River Falls 1.1820 9 0.5990
11 Lake Forest 1.1126 4 0.6293

obserbear
01-12-2010, 11:05 AM
It will be interesting to see how the game between Holy Cross and Trinity plays out this evening. Trinity had just enough to get past Midd, but a hot goalie can take you a long, long way.