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Federal League
10-11-2009, 02:49 PM
Figured starting this thread was a good way to procrastinate. The Minutemen come in 1-0 after a 5-2 home win over RPI. Marcou had 4 assists and Irwin (2 G, 1 A), Braun (1 G, 2 A) and Wellman (1 G, 2 A) each had 3 points.

The Terriers will officially drop the puck on their national title defense campaign. They've played two exhibition games so far -- a 2-2 tie vs. St. Francis Xavier and a 3-2 win vs. the US U-18 Team. Bonino (2 G) and Glass (2 A) are BU's only multi-point scorers in those two games.

Scarlet
10-11-2009, 03:12 PM
I'll be on a plane to the west coast during the game so I would appreciate a thorough game description so I know what I'm missing. :)

jjmc85
10-11-2009, 09:25 PM
It's homecoming weekend at UMass. I don't really remember how homecoming affects attendence at hockey games, but football seems to get a boost. Add in the fact that BU's the opponent and maybe this'll be a sellout.

You have to like BU in this, especially with the whipping they gave UMass last year in the second to last weekend of the season. However, the last few years the Minutemen have had early season success against the Terriers. Here's hoping it continues.

slurpees
10-11-2009, 09:54 PM
It's homecoming weekend at UMass. I don't really remember how homecoming affects attendence at hockey games, but football seems to get a boost. Add in the fact that BU's the opponent and maybe this'll be a sellout.

You have to like BU in this, especially with the whipping they gave UMass last year in the second to last weekend of the season. However, the last few years the Minutemen have had early season success against the Terriers. Here's hoping it continues.

dont forget 4 of the bu goals in the february game graduated.

umassfan49
10-11-2009, 10:04 PM
UMass always seems to do well at home against good opponents (BU, BC, UNH, etc). With the exception of the pounding by BU last year, I feel UMass might have taken that game as a learning experience. I think they let down a little bit after the 3-0 lead, and you clearly can't do that against good teams like BU. I say one goal game. Predicition: BU 3, UMass 2

jjmc85
10-12-2009, 12:11 AM
dont forget 4 of the bu goals in the february game graduated.

Of the 5 goals UMass scored (both games combined), only Cory Quirk, who scored one of them, graduated, so I guess we got that going for us.

Is BU expected to be significantly less productive offensly this year or are you just being humble? I assume the latter, but maybe I'm still a little shell shocked from last season.

Agganis
10-12-2009, 12:37 AM
Is BU expected to be significantly less productive offensly this year or are you just being humble? I assume the latter, but maybe I'm still a little shell shocked from last season.

Given that last year's team scored 5 or more goals in a game 17 times last year, had a 4th liner with 13 goals, and scored 2 goals in a minute 12 different times, just to name a few stats, I really can't foresee a preseason where I don't expect that years BU team to be significantly less productive offensively than they were in '08-'09.

BUtiful
10-12-2009, 11:00 AM
Given that last year's team scored 5 or more goals in a game 17 times last year, had a 4th liner with 13 goals, and scored 2 goals in a minute 12 different times, just to name a few stats, I really can't foresee a preseason where I don't expect that years BU team to be significantly less productive offensively than they were in '08-'09.

Saying that this year's team will be less productive than last year's team goal-wise could still mean that we'll score goals on command. When you set the bar so high, its easy to come under it, yet still produce.

I don't think we'll be anywhere near last year, though. One of the problems in our two preseason games was our penchant to shoot pucks at the goalie, not making him move to save it. Bonino and Connolly showed good shooting, but aside from that, the shots were mostly into the goalie's chest or wide of the net.

If we can start picking corners, making the goalie move, I think we'll see a good amount of scoring. However, I don't expect that to happen in the first game of the regular season.

I'm gonna say low-scoring, high-shooting game. 3-1 BU.

Bonino13
10-12-2009, 11:53 AM
Lets go BU, I'll be at the game, I say the terriers win 4-2 with 2 goals from Bonino.

Federal League
10-12-2009, 12:06 PM
I'm actually expecting a high-scoring game. I think the Minutemen are gonna be all about offense all year. Their defense leaves something to be desired. Plus, the Terriers have to run into a goalie who doesn't stand on his head at some point, right? They certainly created plenty of chances in their two exhibition games. Can't pick a winner (that whole media thing), but I'd put the over/under on goals at 8.

jjmc85
10-12-2009, 01:57 PM
Can't pick a winner (that whole media thing)

Isn't picking a winner part of the job of the media?

Federal League
10-12-2009, 02:07 PM
Isn't picking a winner part of the job of the media?

Umm... no. Something about compromising our impartiality. If you look at ESPN's NFL picks, no one ever picks the games they're covering. I feel like not picking any BU games all year is going to seriously hurt my chances of winning whatever it is the winner of the HE predictions contest wins.

candycanes99
10-12-2009, 02:16 PM
Umm... no. Something about compromising our impartiality. If you look at ESPN's NFL picks, no one ever picks the games they're covering. I feel like not picking any BU games all year is going to seriously hurt my chances of winning whatever it is the winner of the HE predictions contest wins.

Make another account and don't reveal your identity this time. :p

terrierhockey
10-12-2009, 04:16 PM
Saying that this year's team will be less productive than last year's team goal-wise could still mean that we'll score goals on command. When you set the bar so high, its easy to come under it, yet still produce.

I don't think we'll be anywhere near last year, though. One of the problems in our two preseason games was our penchant to shoot pucks at the goalie, not making him move to save it. Bonino and Connolly showed good shooting, but aside from that, the shots were mostly into the goalie's chest or wide of the net.

If we can start picking corners, making the goalie move, I think we'll see a good amount of scoring. However, I don't expect that to happen in the first game of the regular season.

I'm gonna say low-scoring, high-shooting game. 3-1 BU.

Totally agree with you here. From the very little we've seen so far, if the guys can sharpen up the final touches, better chances will surely be created. But I did want to mention something about the penchant for shooting at the goalie's chest - while shooting accuracy will definitely need to improve, I don't think we had the best indication of the type of goaltending we'll see in HE. As someone had already mentioned elsewhere, SFTX's Perricone already had 5 years of Juniors (whl) under his belt. Jack Campbell, who was in net for the USNDTP U18's, is only 171 lbs. The average for HE goalies is right about 190 lbs. 20 lbs makes a big difference in lateral mobility in setting up for shots...

After all, shooting is shooting...

skatin_terrier
10-12-2009, 04:17 PM
BU has to build a complete game from the first faceoff this year.

Responsible D, consistent special teams play and steady goaltending will be needed to compensate for the loss of firepower on demand that saved their bacon in so many games last year.

I look for Trevino and Connolly to accompany Bonino at the top of the scoring table with Warsofsky asserting himself offensively early in the season.

UMass is a severe test after a less than spectacular early season. To win, or even tie, they'll need to bring the lunch bucket every shift and outwork UMass since they are only their equal in scoring ability.

CHFAN222
10-12-2009, 04:39 PM
UMASS will be at or close to a sell out. The fans show up for the big games as they showed last year against NU, BC, and BU. BU might be looking ahead to its big match up against ND. If UMASS gets a lead early on in the game expect them to take it. If BU holds on and keeps it at least tied up till the third BU wins it.

terrierhockey
10-12-2009, 05:18 PM
Totally agree with you here. From the very little we've seen so far, if the guys can sharpen up the final touches, better chances will surely be created. But I did want to mention something about the penchant for shooting at the goalie's chest - while shooting accuracy will definitely need to improve, I don't think we had the best indication of the type of goaltending we'll see in HE. As someone had already mentioned elsewhere, SFTX's Perricone already had 5 years of Juniors (whl) under his belt. Jack Campbell, who was in net for the USNDTP U18's, is only 171 lbs. The average for HE goalies is right about 190 lbs. 20 lbs makes a big difference in lateral mobility in setting up for shots...

After all, shooting is shooting...

Just wanted to add: I think I've just proven myself wrong haha..
Last year, against HE goalies, in all competitions, the entire campaign...

If I were to use 190 lbs as the mean weight of HE goalies:
59.2% (74/125) of our scoring was against HE goalies that weighed under the mean.

40.8% (51/125) of our scoring was against HE goalies that weighed above the mean.

Sure, we could all do more with the data, but i'm eager to leave the office...this would suggest that, in fact, we should be scoring more against smaller guys.

umassfan49
10-12-2009, 06:09 PM
UMASS will be at or close to a sell out. The fans show up for the big games as they showed last year against NU, BC, and BU. BU might be looking ahead to its big match up against ND. If UMASS gets a lead early on in the game expect them to take it. If BU holds on and keeps it at least tied up till the third BU wins it.

UMass had a 3-0 lead in the 2nd period of last year's game, as we all know how that one ended. This game isn't going to be about who gets the early lead, unless its monumental, but rather what team works and grinds it out til the last whistle.

BU Fan 84
10-12-2009, 08:02 PM
Just wanted to add: I think I've just proven myself wrong haha..
Last year, against HE goalies, in all competitions, the entire campaign...

If I were to use 190 lbs as the mean weight of HE goalies:
59.2% (74/125) of our scoring was against HE goalies that weighed under the mean.

40.8% (51/125) of our scoring was against HE goalies that weighed above the mean.

Sure, we could all do more with the data, but i'm eager to leave the office...this would suggest that, in fact, we should be scoring more against smaller guys.

Well, smaller guys do take up less space blocking the net.

Also, you have to determine if 190lbs is actually the mean. If, in 59.2% of the games, we faced a goalie under 190, then these stats would mean nothing. I know you wanted to leave the office, but get back to work! ;)

Federal League
10-13-2009, 03:50 PM
Bump.

How big of a lead does UMass need to get before the zoo starts chanting "Overrated"?