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Ok, Todd hasn’t posted yet and doesn’t appear to have any activity since last March. So I am going to give it a go as I always liked this post. Since Todd didn’t post it I had to figure it out myself if I wanted to see the information.
BC 31 – 37 [1]
--- Quarter-Final Home Lock - (Top 4) ---
--- Quarter-Final Lock - (Top 5) ---
UML 22-30 [2-7]
ME 20-28 [2-8]
UNH 20-24 [2-7]
--- Quarter-Final Lock - 20 w/ ND tb / 21 w/o (Top 5) ---
NU 19-27[2-8]
--- 1st round Home Lock – 17 w BU tb, 18 /o (6, 7 & 8) ---
PC 16-24 [2-9]
ND 14-20 [5-10]
UVM 14-22[2-11]
--- Top 4 Eligible - ---
--- Top 5 Eligible - ---
UMA 11-15 [7-11]
BU 9-17 [6-11]
MC 6-14 [8-11]
--- 1st round Home Eligible – 14 UVM ---
Remaining LEAGUE schedules:
BC – UML, @UML, ND
UML - @BC, BC, @UVM, @UVM
ME - @NU, @NU, PC, PC
UNH – OFF, OFF,@MC, @MC
NU – ME, ME, @BU, BU
PC – UMA, @UMA, @ME, @ME
ND – BU, BU, BC
UVM - @MC, @MC, UML, UML
UMA - @PC, @PC, OFF, OFF
BU - @ND, @ND, NU, @NU
MC – UVM, UVM, UNH, UNH
First a few rules changes:
1) Everybody gets a trophy and makes the playoffs
2) Top 5 skip the “first” round
3) Bottom 6 play one game elimination at the higher seed, to fill out the quarter finals.
So we get a couple more “lines”. Also since there are 11 teams somebody is off each of the last two weekends. Additionally because of Frozen Fenway there are teams with odd number of games left. It is a nice mess with 2 team having just 2 games, 2 teams with 3 games, and the other 7 with 4.
The easy part – those jackwagons from BC have been kicking all our teams *****e$ this year and have wrapped up the league regular season.
Now the mess – from the bottom up - for now: Nobody is eliminated from hosting some sort of playoff game.
If MC wins out and UVM loses out then MC will take the tie break and can pass UVM. MC can get as far as a tie with ND but has already lost that tie break. In a three way tie ND 2-1-1, MC 2-1-1, UVM 1-3, I think it breaks as follows. Todd has gone into long checks of top down or bottom up, I can’t remember all the conclusions but this looks right with ND winning H2H with MC. So MC can get as far as 8th and host in the first round.
If BU wins out they can get to 17 points. Everybody from PC gets to no more that PC’s current 16, BU can pass them all to get to 6th. However NU 19 points and 5th are already out of reach.
UMA with only two games left is fairly easy they can’t catch PC for 6th.
Therefore BU, MC and UMA are all locked into somewhere in the play in round.
Now we get to the messy middle, where teams can float from home ice in the quarters to on the round in the 1st round.
UVM by points can get to 2nd place tie with UML and that means UVM would have to sweep UML and take the tie breaker. ME, NU and PC play each other so if PC sweeps Maine and drops 2 to UMA they get to 20 but either ME with 1 win or two ties or NU with at least a win and a tie must get to 22 points. So for UVM to tie UML it will be 3-way either UVM 3-1-0, ME 1-2-1, UML 0-3-1 or NU 4-0, UVM 2-2, UML 2-2. In the first with Maine UVM gets 2nd.
ND with only 3 games left can get to 20 and is not able to catch UML, one of NU or ME must exceed the ND 20 max and UNH has the head to head tie break. ME also has the tie break, by virtue of the 3rd tie break record again UML. Head to Head with NU, ND would win 3rd tie break with a better record again BC. There are a bunch of there-way ties UNH-ME-ND, UNH-ND-NU, UNH-ND-PC etc. But the best I can see for ND is to get by NU into 5th. In most ties ND ends up 5th or 6th .
For now I am out of time and will need to spend some time with PC, NU, UNH, ME and UML. A few thoughts – UNH wins out they likely finishes no worse than 5th. PC can tie but would lose tie breaker #2 conference wins. In the PC 3 way ties with UNH I think UNH only is passed by PC in the 3-way with UML… So UNH basically controls its fate to 5th but not exactly…
BC 31 – 37 [1]
--- Quarter-Final Home Lock - (Top 4) ---
--- Quarter-Final Lock - (Top 5) ---
UML 22-30 [2-7]
ME 20-28 [2-8]
UNH 20-24 [2-7]
--- Quarter-Final Lock - 20 w/ ND tb / 21 w/o (Top 5) ---
NU 19-27[2-8]
--- 1st round Home Lock – 17 w BU tb, 18 /o (6, 7 & 8) ---
PC 16-24 [2-9]
ND 14-20 [5-10]
UVM 14-22[2-11]
--- Top 4 Eligible - ---
--- Top 5 Eligible - ---
UMA 11-15 [7-11]
BU 9-17 [6-11]
MC 6-14 [8-11]
--- 1st round Home Eligible – 14 UVM ---
Remaining LEAGUE schedules:
BC – UML, @UML, ND
UML - @BC, BC, @UVM, @UVM
ME - @NU, @NU, PC, PC
UNH – OFF, OFF,@MC, @MC
NU – ME, ME, @BU, BU
PC – UMA, @UMA, @ME, @ME
ND – BU, BU, BC
UVM - @MC, @MC, UML, UML
UMA - @PC, @PC, OFF, OFF
BU - @ND, @ND, NU, @NU
MC – UVM, UVM, UNH, UNH
First a few rules changes:
1) Everybody gets a trophy and makes the playoffs
2) Top 5 skip the “first” round
3) Bottom 6 play one game elimination at the higher seed, to fill out the quarter finals.
So we get a couple more “lines”. Also since there are 11 teams somebody is off each of the last two weekends. Additionally because of Frozen Fenway there are teams with odd number of games left. It is a nice mess with 2 team having just 2 games, 2 teams with 3 games, and the other 7 with 4.
The easy part – those jackwagons from BC have been kicking all our teams *****e$ this year and have wrapped up the league regular season.
Now the mess – from the bottom up - for now: Nobody is eliminated from hosting some sort of playoff game.
If MC wins out and UVM loses out then MC will take the tie break and can pass UVM. MC can get as far as a tie with ND but has already lost that tie break. In a three way tie ND 2-1-1, MC 2-1-1, UVM 1-3, I think it breaks as follows. Todd has gone into long checks of top down or bottom up, I can’t remember all the conclusions but this looks right with ND winning H2H with MC. So MC can get as far as 8th and host in the first round.
If BU wins out they can get to 17 points. Everybody from PC gets to no more that PC’s current 16, BU can pass them all to get to 6th. However NU 19 points and 5th are already out of reach.
UMA with only two games left is fairly easy they can’t catch PC for 6th.
Therefore BU, MC and UMA are all locked into somewhere in the play in round.
Now we get to the messy middle, where teams can float from home ice in the quarters to on the round in the 1st round.
UVM by points can get to 2nd place tie with UML and that means UVM would have to sweep UML and take the tie breaker. ME, NU and PC play each other so if PC sweeps Maine and drops 2 to UMA they get to 20 but either ME with 1 win or two ties or NU with at least a win and a tie must get to 22 points. So for UVM to tie UML it will be 3-way either UVM 3-1-0, ME 1-2-1, UML 0-3-1 or NU 4-0, UVM 2-2, UML 2-2. In the first with Maine UVM gets 2nd.
ND with only 3 games left can get to 20 and is not able to catch UML, one of NU or ME must exceed the ND 20 max and UNH has the head to head tie break. ME also has the tie break, by virtue of the 3rd tie break record again UML. Head to Head with NU, ND would win 3rd tie break with a better record again BC. There are a bunch of there-way ties UNH-ME-ND, UNH-ND-NU, UNH-ND-PC etc. But the best I can see for ND is to get by NU into 5th. In most ties ND ends up 5th or 6th .
For now I am out of time and will need to spend some time with PC, NU, UNH, ME and UML. A few thoughts – UNH wins out they likely finishes no worse than 5th. PC can tie but would lose tie breaker #2 conference wins. In the PC 3 way ties with UNH I think UNH only is passed by PC in the 3-way with UML… So UNH basically controls its fate to 5th but not exactly…
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