who gets home ice advantage and who will steal the 8th playoff spot?
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ECAC playoff predictions
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Re: ECAC playoff predictions
Originally posted by john0128 View Postwho gets home ice advantage and who will steal the 8th playoff spot?
Eighth place is a really tough call. It is Princeton's to win or lose as they have 5 remaining games against the other 3 contenders (Brown, Colgate, and Yale) but I will go with Colgate who have home ice advantage in the remaining match with the Tigers and still have 2 games left against Union (not that those are gimmes by any means).
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Re: ECAC playoff predictions
Originally posted by hab View PostHarvard, Clarkson and Cornell will have home ice advantage and I'll go with Quinnipiac for the fourth but it may come down to the remaining game between Quinnipiac and SLU. Dartmouth and RPI should battle for sixth and seventh.
Eighth place is a really tough call. It is Princeton's to win or lose as they have 5 remaining games against the other 3 contenders (Brown, Colgate, and Yale) but I will go with Colgate who have home ice advantage in the remaining match with the Tigers and still have 2 games left against Union (not that those are gimmes by any means).
After this weekend, race for the order amongst the top three is wide open. Will all depend on the head to head match-up results.
Harvard visits Cornell
Clarkson visits Harvard
At this point Harvard still has the inside edge with a 2 point lead based on the loss column, but they still have to face SLU as well, so a slightly tougher schedule.
RPI and Darty clearly 6th and 7th, not necessarily in that order.
The last spot is still wide open as well.
Yale and Colgate do have the inside edge, but tiebreakers could get interesting and complicated
Yale still faces Union once and Princeton twice. They are 1 and 1 against both Brown and Colgate
Colgate still faces Union twice and Princeton once. Like Yale they are 1 and 1 against both Brown and Colgate
Brown still faces Union once and Princeton twice. They are 1 and 1 against both Yale and Colgate
Princeton still faces Brown twice, Yale Twice and Colgate. They have a tie against Colgate.
Overall Colgate and Princeton have a slightly easier schedule than Brown and Yale, but at the end it will probably come down how each team fares in their remaining head to head match-ups.
If I were a betting man, would go with Colgate given their recent success against other teams outside of the bottom five.Last edited by OnMAA; 01-28-2013, 07:35 AM.
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ECAC playoff predictions
Dartmouth has seven games remaining- all ECAC. Five are at home. Two may be offered up to the Gods looking the other way...briefly (maybe!)-; take ANY two. Let's say, Crimson (Friday) and Big Red (away). Likely above two and Clarkson will hold their top-three, 'tier'.
D. hard pressed to break into that level at this late date. Nes't-ce pas?
This team defeated New Hamp., tied, B.C. went down only in OT to a desperate hustling Cornell and defeated Northeastern. Are, as so many herein, say, some 'spotty' therefore? Huh. Will the REAL Green stand up (out)?
Come gang, close this thing out in your favor! Decide to! Me thinks they could win all but Friday and one of the away games- far above Cayuga waters, say (as already stated).
Amongst Q., R.P.I. and S.L.U., D. will then...emerge- wrest away slot four. Wahoo! Must come into last two at home...dancing (Clarkson and St Lawrence).
D A N C I N G!!
Tra la, Tra la!
We SURELY CAN dance... We on our toes...We play (our OWN game) and, WE a l w a y s, work, work, work!
We win!
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Re: ECAC playoff predictions
Originally posted by OnMAA View Postat the end it will probably come down how each team fares in their remaining match-ups.Originally posted by hab View PostReally???
P.S.... Quote error in your post messed up my quoted post of yours. had to edit it to correct. Must be a Hab fan
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Re: ECAC playoff predictions
I don't think it will matter who finishes fourth between Quinnipiac and SLU. Both teams are capable of winning on the other team's home sheet. May be a bit tougher to accomplish in Canton, NY but I still think the Bobcats could do it. SLU proved last year that they can win on the road.
Top three look to be locks at this point: Harvard, Cornell and Clarkson. The semis and finals should be awesome if the top four seeds advance.
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Re: ECAC playoff predictions
Originally posted by Skate79 View PostI don't think it will matter who finishes fourth between Quinnipiac and SLU. Both teams are capable of winning on the other team's home sheet. May be a bit tougher to accomplish in Canton, NY but I still think the Bobcats could do it. SLU proved last year that they can win on the road.
Agree with you that the 4/5 order might not matter. Note that last year Quinnipiac also proved they can win on the road, even in the North Country. They knocked off Clarkson in Potsdam.
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Re: ECAC playoff predictions
Originally posted by OnMAA View PostNot surprising you would remember the LSU win(s).
Agree with you that the 4/5 order might not matter. Note that last year Quinnipiac also proved they can win on the road, even in the North Country. They knocked off Clarkson in Potsdam.
Thanks for reminding me about the Bobcats. Forgot about that series. Don't think the Lady Knights will let that happen two years in a row!
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Re: ECAC playoff predictions
Originally posted by OnMAA View Post
Yale and Colgate do have the inside edge, but tiebreakers could get interesting and complicated
Yale still faces Union once and Princeton twice. They are 1 and 1 against both Brown and Colgate
If I were a betting man, would go with Colgate given their recent success against other teams outside of the bottom five.
I would actually be very surprised if Colgate gets the last playoff spot, and would give odds that Yale, Princeton, and Brown will ultimately finish ahead of them in points. I suspect part of the reason Colgate has managed to steal points against top teams is simply that better teams took them too lightly. Given the race for the last playoff seed in the upcoming head to heads against those still gunning for a spot, they'll be hard pressed not to get passed.
As you mention, Princeton may have the best shot, which could well depend on how they fare at home vs Yale and Brown this weekend.
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Originally posted by Trillium View PostActually, Yale is 2-0 versus Colgate and thus Yale currently owns the 8th place over Colgate despite same number of points currently.
I would actually be very surprised if Colgate gets the last playoff spot, and would give odds that Yale, Princeton, and Brown will ultimately finish ahead of them in points. I suspect part of the reason Colgate has managed to steal points against top teams is simply that better teams took them too lightly. Given the race for the last playoff seed in the upcoming head to heads against those still gunning for a spot, they'll be hard pressed not to get passed.
As you mention, Princeton may have the best shot, which could well depend on how they fare at home vs Yale and Brown this weekend.
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Re: ECAC playoff predictions
Originally posted by Trillium View PostActually, Yale is 2-0 versus Colgate and thus Yale currently owns the 8th place over Colgate despite same number of points currently.
I still think it is anyone's to win (or lose) amongst the four contenders for that 8th place. All still have it somewhat in their own hands with the exception of Brown who depend on getting more points than Yale against the same competition.
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Re: ECAC playoff predictions
Originally posted by Trillium View PostActually, Yale is 2-0 versus Colgate and thus Yale currently owns the 8th place over Colgate despite same number of points currently.
I would actually be very surprised if Colgate gets the last playoff spot, and would give odds that Yale, Princeton, and Brown will ultimately finish ahead of them in points. I suspect part of the reason Colgate has managed to steal points against top teams is simply that better teams took them too lightly. Given the race for the last playoff seed in the upcoming head to heads against those still gunning for a spot, they'll be hard pressed not to get passed.
As you mention, Princeton may have the best shot, which could well depend on how they fare at home vs Yale and Brown this weekend.
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Re: Strength of remaining schedule
Let's assume that Harvard, Clarkson and Cornell are in the top tier of the conference, SLU, Quinnipiac and Dartmouth in the second tier and the other six teams below them. For the sake of simplicity, let's also assume that there won't be any upsets of top-tier teams by second-tier teams, although of course in the real world each of the second-tier teams is capable of doing precisely that.
Under these simplified assumptions, the #1 seed will be very important, inasmuch as the #2 and #3 seeds will play each other as well as the winner playing the #1 seed. The #1 seed will have a much easier schedule towards getting the ECAC championship and the NCAA autobid.
There may or may not be room for three ECAC teams in the NCAAs; the many relevant factors include H's performance in the Beanpot, Cornell's result against 'Hurst, and whether two WHCA teams besides Minnesota differentiate themselves from the fourth WHCA tean and surge up into the top eight. Therefore the team that loses the ECAC #2 v. #3 game may be in deep trouble.
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Re: Strength of remaining schedule
Originally posted by Watson Rink View PostLet's assume that Harvard, Clarkson and Cornell are in the top tier of the conference, SLU, Quinnipiac and Dartmouth in the second tier and the other six teams below them. For the sake of simplicity, let's also assume that there won't be any upsets of top-tier teams by second-tier teams, although of course in the real world each of the second-tier teams is capable of doing precisely that.
Under these simplified assumptions, the #1 seed will be very important, inasmuch as the #2 and #3 seeds will play each other as well as the winner playing the #1 seed. The #1 seed will have a much easier schedule towards getting the ECAC championship and the NCAA autobid.
There may or may not be room for three ECAC teams in the NCAAs; the many relevant factors include H's performance in the Beanpot, Cornell's result against 'Hurst, and whether two WHCA teams besides Minnesota differentiate themselves from the fourth WHCA tean and surge up into the top eight. Therefore the team that loses the ECAC #2 v. #3 game may be in deep trouble.Last edited by Skate79; 01-29-2013, 08:20 PM.
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