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LakersFan
11-05-2012, 02:20 PM
Sorry for the delay in starting these, but I have been out of internet range for the last two+ weeks (long bicycling trip). However, my D3 rankings are up and running now, and here are the results for the week ending November 4, 2012


Team Rating
1 Norwich 2.2935
2 Plattsburgh 2.2125
3 Elmira 2.1690
4 Wis-River F. 1.8212
5 Middlebury 1.7824
6 Gustavus Adol. 1.7697
7 Amherst 1.7383
8 Holy Cross 0.9799
9 Saint Anselm 0.8247
10 Salve Regina 0.7869

The list of all the teams can be found here: http://math.bd.psu.edu/faculty/rutter/D3_Rankings.html

For a detailed, mathematical explination of the model, there are slides of a talk I gave at the web page. There is also an article I had published in Chance magazine that contains good information, if you would be interested in that.

Q: Why is Norwich number 1 when they they have two ties?
A: They tied Plattsburgh and Elmira, so that just brings those teams closer together in rating. They are not number 1 by much, but this early in the season, last season's rating still has a lot of influence. At the end of last season, Norwich was rated higher than Platsburgh and Elmira, so until one of those teams loses or beats another highly rated team, that will likely stay the ranking.

Q: Why are Saint Michael's, Holy Cross, and Saint Anselm in the rankings? They are not D3 teams.
A: But they play a D3 schedules. So while they will never make the NCAA D3 tourney, I think it is important to see how results against those teams effect the rankings. If this really troubles you, I can send you the code and you can run the ratings without those teams.

Q: There is no way team X should be ranked so high/low. Don't you follow D3 hockey?
A: No, not very much. With all the new teams in D3 this year, it is possible that I am assigning wins and losses to the wrong teams. If you think I may be making a mistake, please let me know.

LakersFan
11-12-2012, 12:54 PM
For games played through November 11, 2012


Team Rating
1 Norwich 2.3662
2 Plattsburgh 2.2805
3 Elmira 2.2788
4 Gustavus Adol. 2.1245
5 Middlebury 1.7801
6 Amherst 1.7466
7 Wis-River F. 1.2935
8 St. Thomas 0.9185
9 Holy Cross 0.8739
10 Saint Anselm 0.8376

HockeyDman
11-13-2012, 10:18 AM
LakersFan...just wanted to say thank you for the Computer Rankings, it's greatly appreciated and I imagine it takes some time and energy to put this together. Thanks again!

LakersFan
11-19-2012, 03:50 PM
For games played through November 18, 2012


Team Rating
1 Gustavus Adol. 2.3902
2 Plattsburgh 2.2930
3 Elmira 2.2892
4 Norwich 1.9971
5 Middlebury 1.9492
6 Saint Anselm 1.4107
7 Manhattanville 1.3319
8 Amherst 1.1366
9 Holy Cross 0.8920
10 Wis-River F. 0.8593

Congrats to GA for being the new number 1.

gojackets
11-19-2012, 04:16 PM
For games played through November 18, 2012


Team Rating
1 Gustavus Adol. 2.3902
2 Plattsburgh 2.2930
3 Elmira 2.2892
4 Norwich 1.9971
5 Middlebury 1.9492
6 Saint Anselm 1.4107
7 Manhattanville 1.3319
8 Amherst 1.1366
9 Holy Cross 0.8920
10 Wis-River F. 0.8593

Congrats to GA for being the new number 1.

Out of curiosity what's that significance of the 2.39 vs 2.29 are they essentially equal when its only a .1 difference? Obviously the 2.29 vs 2.28 of Platt/elmira is essentialy equal...but is .1 a big difference or is it small?

Mr. Kitty
11-19-2012, 04:25 PM
Son of a Gunder, Ander and Paul -- the Swedes are supreme!

LakersFan
11-26-2012, 02:30 PM
Out of curiosity what's that significance of the 2.39 vs 2.29 are they essentially equal when its only a .1 difference? Obviously the 2.29 vs 2.28 of Platt/elmira is essentialy equal...but is .1 a big difference or is it small?

From a probability standpoint, a team with a rating of .1 higher than its opponent would win 54% of the time (threfore losing 46% of the time). This assumes a tie is not possible, like in a playoff game. I would say that is not much of a difference.

LakersFan
11-26-2012, 02:37 PM
For games played through November 25, 2012


Team Rating
1 Plattsburgh 2.6616
2 Gustavus Ad. 2.3928
3 Middlebury 2.2466
4 Elmira 2.0869
5 Norwich 1.9982
6 Saint Anselm 1.3652
7 Manhattanville 1.3095
8 Trinity 1.0356
9 Wis-River Falls 0.9601
10 Amherst 0.8294

LakersFan
12-03-2012, 12:16 PM
For games played through December 2, 2012


Team Rating
1 Plattsburgh 2.6727
2 Gustavus Adol. 2.4405
3 Elmira 2.1094
4 Middlebury 2.0564
5 Norwich 2.0305
6 Manhattanville 1.2877
7 Trinity 1.1931
8 Bowdoin 1.1826
9 Saint Anselm 1.1393
10 Amherst 1.0608

LakersFan
12-10-2012, 03:16 PM
For games played through December 9, 2012


Team Rating
1 Plattsburgh 2.7198
2 Gustavus Adol. 2.5060
3 Elmira 2.0371
4 Middlebury 1.9999
5 Norwich 1.9355
6 Bowdoin 1.6108
7 Manhattanville 1.1952
8 Amherst 1.0070
9 Wis-River Falls 0.9277
10 Saint Anselm 0.9022

LakersFan
12-17-2012, 07:26 AM
For game played through December 16, 2012


Team Rating
1 Plattsburgh 2.7235
2 Gustavus Adol. 2.6675
3 Elmira 2.0382
4 Middlebury 2.0017
5 Norwich 1.9404
6 Bowdoin 1.6164
7 Manhattanville 1.1953
8 Amherst 1.0072
9 Saint Anselm 0.9062
10 Hamilton 0.8816

LakersFan
01-07-2013, 06:10 PM
For games played through January 6, 2013


Team Rating
1 Plattsburgh 2.8281
2 Gustavus Adolp. 2.6670
3 Elmira 2.2184
4 Middlebury 1.9905
5 Norwich 1.9174
6 Bowdoin 1.8235
7 Amherst 1.2015
8 Hamilton 0.8815
9 Wis-River Falls 0.8705
10 Saint Anselm 0.8704

LakersFan
01-14-2013, 07:45 PM
For games played through January 13, 2013


Team Rating
1 Plattsburgh 2.8472
2 Gustavus Adolp. 2.6106
3 Elmira 2.1957
4 Norwich 1.9335
5 Bowdoin 1.9085
6 Middlebury 1.8777
7 Amherst 1.2086
8 Hamilton 1.0369
9 Wis-River Falls 0.9398
10 Adrian 0.9389

LakersFan
01-21-2013, 12:02 PM
For games played through January 2, 2013


Team Rating
1 Plattsburgh 2.9988
2 Gustavus Adol. 2.6577
3 Elmira 2.0956
4 Norwich 2.0494
5 Bowdoin 1.9313
6 Middlebury 1.9021
7 Amherst 1.1300
8 Wis-River Falls 1.0042
9 Manhattanville 0.8691
10 Hamilton 0.8142

LakersFan
01-28-2013, 06:25 PM
For games played through January 27, 2013


Team Rating
1 Plattsburgh 3.0432
2 Gustavus Adol. 2.7131
3 Norwich 2.0161
4 Elmira 2.0093
5 Middlebury 1.9634
6 Bowdoin 1.7480
7 Amherst 1.0408
8 Wis-River Falls 0.9927
9 Hamilton 0.7940
10 Manhattanville 0.7298

LakersFan
02-04-2013, 08:53 PM
For games played through February 3, 2013


Team Rating
1 Gustavus Adol. 2.6970
2 Plattsburgh 2.6413
3 Elmira 1.9462
4 Norwich 1.9028
5 Middlebury 1.7204
6 Bowdoin 1.3984
7 Amherst 1.1460
8 Wis-River Falls 0.9776
9 Trinity 0.9358
10 Manhattanville 0.8243

SeymoreHockey
02-05-2013, 05:04 AM
Ha..this is a joke, right?


For games played through February 3, 2013


Team Rating
1 Gustavus Adol. 2.6970
2 Plattsburgh 2.6413
3 Elmira 1.9462
4 Norwich 1.9028
5 Middlebury 1.7204
6 Bowdoin 1.3984
7 Amherst 1.1460
8 Wis-River Falls 0.9776
9 Trinity 0.9358
10 Manhattanville 0.8243

LakersFan
02-08-2013, 06:49 PM
Ha..this is a joke, right?

Depends on what you think is funny. When the numbers were run, GA was undefeated and had no ties. Next week, the rankings will be different.

LakersFan
02-11-2013, 06:55 PM
For games played through Feb. 10, 2013


Rank Team Rating
1 Plattsburgh 2.6325
2 Gustavus Adol. 2.2525
3 Norwich 1.9914
4 Elmira 1.9572
5 Middlebury 1.5848
6 Bowdoin 1.4634
7 Amherst 1.1136
8 Wis-River Falls 1.0817
9 Manhattanville 0.9230
10 Trinity 0.8452

LakersFan
02-18-2013, 02:06 PM
For Games played trough Feb 17th, 2013


Team Rating
1 Plattsburgh 2.5895
2 Gustavus Adol. 2.2675
3 Norwich 1.8489
4 Elmira 1.7826
5 Middlebury 1.6037
6 Bowdoin 1.5703
7 Wis-River Falls 1.0651
8 Amherst 1.0625
9 Trinity 0.8480
10 Manhattanville 0.8462