Mid-term Prognostications 2018 -- Time to Shine like Silver!

[The Sicatoka]

Re: Mid-term Prognostications 2018 -- Time to Shine like Silver!

One more:

Highest mid-term voter turnout (gross numbers or by percentage of electorate) in last 100 years, and by percentage higher than at least one Presidential election year in the last 100.

I'm thinking I'm in good shape with these predictions.

[joecct]

One more:

Highest mid-term voter turnout (gross numbers or by percentage of electorate) in last 100 years, and by percentage higher than at least one Presidential election year in the last 100.

Judging from when I voted (11 am & a 50 minute wait), I think it's a safe bet.

[walrus]

Re: Mid-term Prognostications 2018 -- Time to Shine like Silver!

Maine stays the same, with weasel boy Poliquin barely getting by Dem Golden. Ranked choice voting may screw that prediction up ?? Governor goes to Dem Mills.. Every bond issue passes like they always do

Like I thought, except the home health care didn't pass. 2nd District too close to call with 72% in

[The Sicatoka]

Re: Mid-term Prognostications 2018 -- Time to Shine like Silver!

I think Heitkamp finishes far closer to Cramer in ND than the polling so far, say within 4 points.

So, ah, um, er, uh, ... let's just say I missed on this one badly.

[The Sicatoka]

Re: Mid-term Prognostications 2018 -- Time to Shine like Silver!

ND Measure 1 passes (because it has the word "ethics" in it; it's a reasonable proposal with a horrible supremacy clause).
ND Measure 3 fails (no legalized marijuana this time around).

Two for two here (and Measure 1 is still terrible with that supremacy clause).

[The Sicatoka]

Re: Mid-term Prognostications 2018 -- Time to Shine like Silver!

Calgary Ted beats Robert Francis O'Beto but within the mandatory recount margin.

Right guy, wrong margin. I thought Beto'd be closer, but that still had Cruz sweating at 11 pm Eastern.

[The Sicatoka]

Re: Mid-term Prognostications 2018 -- Time to Shine like Silver!

One more:

Highest mid-term voter turnout (gross numbers or by percentage of electorate) in last 100 years, and by percentage higher than at least one Presidential election year in the last 100.

I need a ruling from the judges on this one ...

About 113 million Americans are estimated to have come out to exercise their right to vote on this election, according to an initial turnout estimate from Edison Research. That’s 49 percent of the total population eligible to vote, a record for a midterm election in the U.S.

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/elec...ry?id=59028795

...
...
...

Oh great. I get these guys for the call ...

[walrus]

Re: Mid-term Prognostications 2018 -- Time to Shine like Silver!

Ballots going to Secretary of States office for ranked choice voting count in 2nd District. If Poliquin loses in ranked choice count which I think he will, its off to court.

[joecct]

Ballots going to Secretary of States office for ranked choice voting count in 2nd District. If Poliquin loses in ranked choice count which I think he will, its off to court.

Pls explain.

[Rover]

Re: Mid-term Prognostications 2018 -- Time to Shine like Silver!

Right guy, wrong margin. I thought Beto'd be closer, but that still had Cruz sweating at 11 pm Eastern.

HA. I think I'm going to nail the House prediction once those California ballots come in. I said a net of 40 taking into account the 2 or 3 they'd lose (PA, and two in Minny). Right now they've won or are leading in maybe 35 IIRC with 4 races in CA and the ME race still outstanding but with Goopers with a small lead.

Missed by a couple on Gov's (had 9, ended up 7). Missed on FL and OH but Dems gained KS.

Senate much worse at a current 3 seat loss unless some recounts go their way. I didn't have Nelson losing and had AZ as a win.

[unofan]

Pls explain.

Since Maine is the first state to implement ranked choice voting, he's going to sue saying it shouldn't be allowed.

I doubt he wins, since states can set up their elections play much however they want.

[The Sicatoka]

Re: Mid-term Prognostications 2018 -- Time to Shine like Silver!

Since Maine is the first state to implement ranked choice voting, he's going to sue saying it shouldn't be allowed.

Is that what Fargo, ND, just passed?
https://ballotpedia.org/Fargo,_North...November_2018)

[unofan]

Is that what Fargo, ND, just passed?
https://ballotpedia.org/Fargo,_North...November_2018)

No.

Approval voting means you can vote for multiple people, and the one with the most tallies wins. So a conservative could vote for both the GOP and the libertarian, while a liberal could vote for both the Dem and the Green party.

Ranked choice means you can rank candidates in order of preference. If no one gets 50%+1, the person with fewest votes is eliminated and they go to those voters' second choices. And so on and so forth until someone gets a majority.

[Jimjamesak]

No.

Approval voting means you can vote for multiple people, and the one with the most tallies wins. So a conservative could vote for both the GOP and the libertarian, while a liberal could vote for both the Dem and the Green party.

Ranked choice means you can rank candidates in order of preference. If no one gets 50%+1, the person with fewest votes is eliminated and they go to those voters' second choices. And so on and so forth until someone gets a majority.

AKA a significantly better system of voting...

[bronconick]

Re: Mid-term Prognostications 2018 -- Time to Shine like Silver!

Since Maine is the first state to implement ranked choice voting, he's going to sue saying it shouldn't be allowed.

I doubt he wins, since states can set up their elections play much however they want.

The Supremes ruled it wasn't constitutional in the Maine Constitution so it wasn't used for governor or state legislature. They then said they don't have authority over federal office, so they left Senate and House alone.

So it's a cluster****