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Thread: Mid-term Prognostications 2018 -- Time to Shine like Silver!

  1. #21
    Kicizapi Cetan
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    Re: Mid-term Prognostications 2018 -- Time to Shine like Silver!

    Quote Originally Posted by The Sicatoka View Post
    Calgary Ted beats Robert Francis O'Beto but within the mandatory recount margin.
    Right guy, wrong margin. I thought Beto'd be closer, but that still had Cruz sweating at 11 pm Eastern.
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  2. #22
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    Re: Mid-term Prognostications 2018 -- Time to Shine like Silver!

    Quote Originally Posted by The Sicatoka View Post
    One more:

    Highest mid-term voter turnout (gross numbers or by percentage of electorate) in last 100 years, and by percentage higher than at least one Presidential election year in the last 100.
    I need a ruling from the judges on this one ...

    About 113 million Americans are estimated to have come out to exercise their right to vote on this election, according to an initial turnout estimate from Edison Research. That’s 49 percent of the total population eligible to vote, a record for a midterm election in the U.S.
    https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/elec...ry?id=59028795

    ...
    ...
    ...

    Oh great. I get these guys for the call ...

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  3. #23
    Wind up workin' in a gas station walrus's Avatar
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    Re: Mid-term Prognostications 2018 -- Time to Shine like Silver!

    Ballots going to Secretary of States office for ranked choice voting count in 2nd District. If Poliquin loses in ranked choice count which I think he will, its off to court.
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  4. #24

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    Quote Originally Posted by walrus View Post
    Ballots going to Secretary of States office for ranked choice voting count in 2nd District. If Poliquin loses in ranked choice count which I think he will, its off to court.
    Pls explain.

  5. #25
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    Re: Mid-term Prognostications 2018 -- Time to Shine like Silver!

    Quote Originally Posted by The Sicatoka View Post
    Right guy, wrong margin. I thought Beto'd be closer, but that still had Cruz sweating at 11 pm Eastern.

    HA. I think I'm going to nail the House prediction once those California ballots come in. I said a net of 40 taking into account the 2 or 3 they'd lose (PA, and two in Minny). Right now they've won or are leading in maybe 35 IIRC with 4 races in CA and the ME race still outstanding but with Goopers with a small lead.

    Missed by a couple on Gov's (had 9, ended up 7). Missed on FL and OH but Dems gained KS.

    Senate much worse at a current 3 seat loss unless some recounts go their way. I didn't have Nelson losing and had AZ as a win.
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  6. #26
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    Quote Originally Posted by joecct View Post
    Pls explain.
    Since Maine is the first state to implement ranked choice voting, he's going to sue saying it shouldn't be allowed.

    I doubt he wins, since states can set up their elections play much however they want.

  7. #27
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    Re: Mid-term Prognostications 2018 -- Time to Shine like Silver!

    Quote Originally Posted by unofan View Post
    Since Maine is the first state to implement ranked choice voting, he's going to sue saying it shouldn't be allowed.
    Is that what Fargo, ND, just passed?
    https://ballotpedia.org/Fargo,_North...November_2018)
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  8. #28
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Sicatoka View Post
    Is that what Fargo, ND, just passed?
    https://ballotpedia.org/Fargo,_North...November_2018)
    No.

    Approval voting means you can vote for multiple people, and the one with the most tallies wins. So a conservative could vote for both the GOP and the libertarian, while a liberal could vote for both the Dem and the Green party.

    Ranked choice means you can rank candidates in order of preference. If no one gets 50%+1, the person with fewest votes is eliminated and they go to those voters' second choices. And so on and so forth until someone gets a majority.

  9. #29
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    Quote Originally Posted by unofan View Post
    No.

    Approval voting means you can vote for multiple people, and the one with the most tallies wins. So a conservative could vote for both the GOP and the libertarian, while a liberal could vote for both the Dem and the Green party.

    Ranked choice means you can rank candidates in order of preference. If no one gets 50%+1, the person with fewest votes is eliminated and they go to those voters' second choices. And so on and so forth until someone gets a majority.
    AKA a significantly better system of voting...

  10. #30
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    Re: Mid-term Prognostications 2018 -- Time to Shine like Silver!

    Quote Originally Posted by unofan View Post
    Since Maine is the first state to implement ranked choice voting, he's going to sue saying it shouldn't be allowed.

    I doubt he wins, since states can set up their elections play much however they want.
    The Supremes ruled it wasn't constitutional in the Maine Constitution so it wasn't used for governor or state legislature. They then said they don't have authority over federal office, so they left Senate and House alone.

    So it's a cluster****
    "I went over the facts in my head, and admired how much uglier the situation had just become. Over the years I've learned that ignorance is more than just bliss. It's freaking orgasmic ecstasy".- Harry Dresden, Blood Rites


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  11. #31
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    Re: Mid-term Prognostications 2018 -- Time to Shine like Silver!

    Quote Originally Posted by unofan View Post
    Ranked choice means you can rank candidates in order of preference. If no one gets 50%+1, the person with fewest votes is eliminated and they go to those voters' second choices. And so on and so forth until someone gets a majority.
    Thanks for the info.

    In a ranked system, are you allowed to pick "1" and not pick a "2" or "3" in a three-person race?
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  12. #32
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    Re: Mid-term Prognostications 2018 -- Time to Shine like Silver!

    Quote Originally Posted by The Sicatoka View Post
    Thanks for the info.

    In a ranked system, are you allowed to pick "1" and not pick a "2" or "3" in a three-person race?
    https://www.google.com/search?q=how+...hrome&ie=UTF-8

  13. #33
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    Re: Mid-term Prognostications 2018 -- Time to Shine like Silver!

    What I glean from this (http://www.lwvme.org/RCV.html) is that if I only fill in a dot for first choice and my first choice is lowest in round one (and eliminated) I effectively abstain from round two if I don't make a second choice.


    I can't wait to see how that'll work in Florida when someone picks Candidate X in all three rounds. That'll make hanging chads seem easy.

    Or when someone picks X in round one, no choice for a second choice, but Z as a third choice. That'll be a hoot!
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  14. #34
    Minding the gap MinnesotaNorthStar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Sicatoka View Post
    What I glean from this (http://www.lwvme.org/RCV.html) is that if I only fill in a dot for first choice and my first choice is lowest in round one (and eliminated) I effectively abstain from round two if I don't make a second choice.


    I can't wait to see how that'll work in Florida when someone picks Candidate X in all three rounds. That'll make hanging chads seem easy.

    Or when someone picks X in round one, no choice for a second choice, but Z as a third choice. That'll be a hoot!
    That's the point where we relegate Florida to a commonwealth and promote Puerto Rico to statehood.

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