Results 1 to 7 of 7

Thread: NCHC 2018-2019 Season: Quest to put 4+ into Late March-April Dance

  1. #1
    I got the juice
    Join Date
    Jan 2003
    Location
    Adams County, CO
    Posts
    1,330

    NCHC 2018-2019 Season: Quest to put 4+ into Late March-April Dance

    As we wrap out the early season going into conference play, who will be the disappointment? Who will be the dark horse surprise?
    Last year, the NCHC was only able to get 3 teams in. B1G held the overall best OOC winning % at .678 vs NCHC’s .649 despite B1G going 5-10-2 against NCHC opponents. Currently, teams are tied at 4-4-1 in head to head play with the NCHC leading at .670 with next best .652. We will see how the rest of the season plays out. I remember someone saying “if you want to make the NCAA, schedule like Penn State. If you want to win the NCAA-schedule like Notre Dame.
    Source: https://www.collegehockeynews.com/reports/standings-interconf.php

    I expect UMD to win their first regular season conference title since the early 90s (how surprising is that—2 Nat titles out of 60ish teams—can’t beat out ~10 in regular season).. SCSU looks to be the most relevant challenger thus far despite some key losses and coaching change. Omaha looks like hot garbage.
    CC is my upset pick of the year. Not expecting them to be top 2 or even 3 but definite strides of improvement. Also thinking Denver may surprise people—they looked pretty solid in facing adversity vs Fairbanks. Really hard to expect much of them with as young of a coach as Carle. And every year, we’ve been waiting on WMU to have a break out season—could this be it?

    My picks:
    1. UMD
    2. SCSU
    3. UND
    4. WMU
    5. CC
    6. Denver
    7. Miami
    8. Omaha
    Pretty confident in my top 2 and bottom 2 picks. Middle of the pack will be interesting—but hopefully the middle pack teams score well in pairwise this season
    Last edited by UMD21; 10-28-2018 at 11:28 AM.

  2. #2
    I got the juice
    Join Date
    Jan 2003
    Location
    Adams County, CO
    Posts
    1,330

    Re: NCHC 2018-2019 Season: Quest to put 4+ into Late March-April Dance

    Well, if there is one takeaway from the season it is the importance of recruiting the right team. SCSU and Denver are both doing great despite a coaching change and huge loss of scoring (but f'kng Luko...), Minnesota is as hot pile of trash as they were even with a solid coach behind bench. With UMD off, while I was dozing off with UND-Wisco game on my phone I was flipping the TV between the DU-WMU and OSU-ND games. I noticed the passes were tape to tape in the Denver game, while the puck just seemed to be floating around the ice a lot with the B1G game with very few connecting passes.

    As for talking way too early about post season expectations, one thing that stuck out about last year was despite going 5-10-2 against the NCHC, the B1G got the most teams in the tourney with the leading overall winning % (.678 vs .649). The B1G does a really good job padding their stats against teams from out east. B1G is currently 8-1 against ECAC teams this year as well. Currently the NCHC still leads win % at .684, B1G at .573 and WCHA third with .477 (but WCHA is 7-4-1 vs B1G, 5-15-12 vs NCHC...). We're roughly half way through the season as far as out of conference play goes, so definitely worth looking at those stats

    If Denver can get a few more meaningful wins as the season moves on, they look to definitely be outperforming expectations. Challenge for the top? Not sure, definitely can't rule it out at the moment. They looked great against adversity overcoming a 2-3 goal defecit against UAA a week ago
    Last edited by UMD21; 11-05-2018 at 01:38 PM.
    I wanna go fast!

  3. #3
    Follow me on Twitter: @Biddco Biddco's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2007
    Location
    Crystal, Minnesota
    Posts
    8,773

    Re: NCHC 2018-2019 Season: Quest to put 4+ into Late March-April Dance

    Quote Originally Posted by UMD21 View Post
    Well, if there is one takeaway from the season it is the importance of recruiting the right team. SCSU and Denver are both doing great despite a coaching change and huge loss of scoring (but f'kng Luko...), Minnesota is as hot pile of trash as they were even with a solid coach behind bench. With UMD off, while I was dozing off with UND-Wisco game on my phone I was flipping the TV between the DU-WMU and OSU-ND games. I noticed the passes were tape to tape in the Denver game, while the puck just seemed to be floating around the ice a lot with the B1G game with very few connecting passes.

    As for talking way too early about post season expectations, one thing that stuck out about last year was despite going 5-10-2 against the NCHC, the B1G got the most teams in the tourney with the leading overall winning % (.678 vs .649). The B1G does a really good job padding their stats against teams from out east. B1G is currently 8-1 against ECAC teams this year as well. Currently the NCHC still leads win % at .684, B1G at .573 and WCHA third with .477 (but WCHA is 7-4-1 vs B1G, 5-15-12 vs NCHC...). We're roughly half way through the season as far as out of conference play goes, so definitely worth looking at those stats

    If Denver can get a few more meaningful wins as the season moves on, they look to definitely be outperforming expectations. Challenge for the top? Not sure, definitely can't rule it out at the moment. They looked great against adversity overcoming a 2-3 goal defecit against UAA a week ago
    Nice work on this post.

    I've actually been impressed with how the WCHA has been doing which appears to be very top and bottom heavy.

    UND has been playing well as has DU but UMD and SCSU appear to be the class of the league. Although we shall see how things shake out this season. It's gonna be really fun as league play picks up.
    tUMD Hockey

    "And there is a banana running around the DECC." "Well you don't see that every day..."

  4. #4
    Registered User
    Join Date
    Dec 2012
    Location
    south sioux city, ne
    Posts
    1,097
    Quote Originally Posted by Biddco View Post
    Nice work on this post.

    I've actually been impressed with how the WCHA has been doing which appears to be very top and bottom heavy.

    UND has been playing well as has DU but UMD and SCSU appear to be the class of the league. Although we shall see how things shake out this season. It's gonna be really fun as league play picks up.
    A lot of preseason talk was CC as a dark horse. You buying or selling on that one?

  5. #5
    Registered User
    Join Date
    Feb 2009
    Location
    Duluth, Minnesota
    Posts
    327

    Re: NCHC 2018-2019 Season: Quest to put 4+ into Late March-April Dance

    Quote Originally Posted by Biddco View Post
    Nice work on this post.

    I've actually been impressed with how the WCHA has been doing which appears to be very top and bottom heavy.

    UND has been playing well as has DU but UMD and SCSU appear to be the class of the league. Although we shall see how things shake out this season. It's gonna be really fun as league play picks up.
    I'm back! The 6 year hiatus is over. Finally have a thread to comment on.

    I agree with Biddy, great post on where things stand. It's really interesting to see how the win %'s play out as we know how the B10 likes to schedule easy OOC opponents.

    St. Cloud is solid again this year and will be tough to beat out for the conference championship. UMD's team this year gives me a 2016-2017 Denver vibe. Teams can beat UMD in a single game but if you played a best of 7 series, very few if any teams would get to 4 wins against them. Strong in all areas and wear opposing teams down as the game goes on. I remember heading into the United Center hoping for a win, but not expecting it in 2017.

    Dark horse is definitely going to be CC, there used to be a time when CC was always at the top of the standings. Maybe they're starting to bring that mojo back...
    "In heaven there is no beer. NO BEER! That's why we drink it here. RIGHT HERE!"

  6. #6
    cetihcra's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2000
    Location
    Denver, Colorado -- VT awhile back
    Posts
    2,489

    Re: NCHC 2018-2019 Season: Quest to put 4+ into Late March-April Dance

    Quote Originally Posted by purpleinnebraska View Post
    A lot of preseason talk was CC as a dark horse. You buying or selling on that one?
    I don't think CC is a dark horse to win the league or anything, but I could see them finishing 4th -- Leclerc can steal a lot of games when he's on, but they lack the depth of talent to consistently compete with UMD or SCSU (as shown by a sweep this past weekend). So, maybe neither buy nor sell?

    These next 4 weekends are huge in figuring out the identity of this DU team, as they have @SCSU x2, Providence x2, Duluth x2, @NoDak x2...get through that gauntlet with 4 wins and we can talk about them being up there with UND/UMD/SCSU. They're a hard-working bunch, though not nearly as deep or talented as the past couple of seasons, and Cooley has been a very pleasant surprise.

    r

  7. #7
    Registered User
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
    Location
    Hobeytown
    Posts
    1,170
    Quote Originally Posted by cetihcra View Post

    These next 4 weekends are huge in figuring out the identity of this DU team, as they have @SCSU x2, Providence x2, Duluth x2, @NoDak x2
    Wow... that’s an absurd stretch.

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 1 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 1 guests)

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •