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Thread: The 2018 midterm elections!

  1. #281
    RIP Liberalism 6/27/2018 ScoobyDoo's Avatar
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    Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

    This is interesting.

    North Dakotans, he said, appreciate the value “of saying what a lot of other people don’t dare say — but think.”

    Asked for an example of what he meant, he ripped into the #MeToo movement.

    “That you’re just supposed to believe somebody because they said it happened,” Mr. Cramer said, alluding to Christine Blasey Ford — who has accused Justice Kavanaugh of sexually assaulting her when they were teenagers — and, more broadly, women who have come forward to claim that they were sexually abused or assaulted.

    Invoking his wife, daughters, mother and mother-in-law, Mr. Cramer said: “They cannot understand this movement toward victimization. They are pioneers of the prairie. These are tough people whose grandparents were tough and great-grandparents were tough.”
    https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/08/u...imes&smtyp=cur

    I think this is similar to the tax cuts. People want to believe trickle down works because they want to believe they'll be rich one day. They also want to believe Kavanaugh cause they don't want to believe that a nice, rich, white, family man could do something like that.

    Going to be very difficult for the Dems to convince people to believe something they don't want to believe.
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  2. #282
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    Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

    Quote Originally Posted by FadeToBlack&Gold View Post

    Is it hedging or projection?

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  3. #283
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    Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

    Quote Originally Posted by ScoobyDoo View Post
    This is interesting.



    https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/08/u...imes&smtyp=cur

    I think this is similar to the tax cuts. People want to believe trickle down works because they want to believe they'll be rich one day. They also want to believe Kavanaugh cause they don't want to believe that a nice, rich, white, family man could do something like that.

    Going to be very difficult for the Dems to convince people to believe something they don't want to believe.
    Translation: "If you're raped, get over it and move on."
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  4. #284
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    Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

    Quote Originally Posted by FadeToBlack&Gold View Post
    Translation: "If you're raped, get over it and move on."
    "And dont get pregnant cause you best take it to term. And then dont ask for any sort of help because you best pull yourself up by your bootstraps!"
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  5. #285
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    Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

    Well, I'm done. Early voting started today and I voted on my lunch break.

    Was a pretty decent crowd. Last few times I've done it there's been 1-2 others at the auditor's office. Today it was a steady stream.

  6. #286
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    Quote Originally Posted by unofan View Post
    Well, I'm done. Early voting started today and I voted on my lunch break.

    Was a pretty decent crowd. Last few times I've done it there's been 1-2 others at the auditor's office. Today it was a steady stream.
    My dad voted last week. Surprised more people don't do it as early as possible.

  7. #287
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    Quote Originally Posted by Handyman View Post
    My dad voted last week. Surprised more people don't do it as early as possible.
    Especially since it cuts back your political mailers and phone calls by a lot, since any campaign worth their salt gets updated voter registries with who has already voted and stops wasting their money on you.

    Knew Obama was going to win in 2012 when we voted early and his mailings stopped 2 days later while Romney's continued to election day.

  8. #288
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    Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

    Ha. That’s interesting.

  9. #289
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    Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

    Not sure if this is good news for the country or not.

    Taylor Swift Causes Surge in Voter Registration After Endorsing Democrats on Instagram

    “We are up to 65,000 registrations in a single 24-hour period since T. Swift’s post,” Kamari Guthrie, director of communications for Vote.org, told Buzzfeed. How big of a spike is that? Precisely 190,178 voters registered on the site in all of September, or roughly 6,000 per day. A small percentage of that uptick in registrations can be attributed to the fact that many voter registration deadlines are this week. But organizers at Vote.org believe that the vast majority of the credit should go to Swift.

    Swift is registered to vote in Tennessee, a state that specifically saw a tremendous spike in new voter registrations. 2,144 people registered to vote in Tennessee during the past 36 hours, almost as many as the entire number of voter registrations in Tennessee during all of September.

    https://gizmodo.com/taylor-swift-cau...r-e-1829618381
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  10. #290
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    Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

    Quote Originally Posted by 5mn_Major View Post
    Not sure if this is good news for the country or not.

    Taylor Swift Causes Surge in Voter Registration After Endorsing Democrats on Instagram

    “We are up to 65,000 registrations in a single 24-hour period since T. Swift’s post,” Kamari Guthrie, director of communications for Vote.org, told Buzzfeed. How big of a spike is that? Precisely 190,178 voters registered on the site in all of September, or roughly 6,000 per day. A small percentage of that uptick in registrations can be attributed to the fact that many voter registration deadlines are this week. But organizers at Vote.org believe that the vast majority of the credit should go to Swift.

    Swift is registered to vote in Tennessee, a state that specifically saw a tremendous spike in new voter registrations. 2,144 people registered to vote in Tennessee during the past 36 hours, almost as many as the entire number of voter registrations in Tennessee during all of September.

    https://gizmodo.com/taylor-swift-cau...r-e-1829618381
    Good. Usually celebrity stuff like that backfires on the Dems. Although, Tennessee looked winnable before Kavanaugh and since Kavanaugh it's been all Blackburn. Maybe this can turn the tide.
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  11. #291
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    Re: The 2018 midterm elections!




    As for the House, as Cook points out, Democrats still have the momentum. Little has changed in the past six months. The Washington Post/Schar School poll of the most competitive 69 seats (overwhelmingly held by Republicans) showed Democrats up four points. The latest CNN generic-ballot poll has Democrats up 13 points, “the widest margin of support for Democrats in a midterm cycle since 2006, when at this point, the party held a whopping 21-point lead over Republicans among likely voters.” And at least in this poll, Kavanaugh did not narrow the enthusiasm gap. (“This year, Democrats’ enthusiasm about their congressional vote has increased and 62% now say they’re extremely or very enthusiastic to vote, up seven points since September among Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents. Among Republicans and Republican leaning independents, enthusiasm has remained relatively steady, going from 50% in September to 52% in the most recent poll.”)

    If you look at individual races, Democrats have plenty to cheer about. If Republicans can hold on in a swing suburban district, you’d think incumbents such as GOP Rep. Barbara Comstock in Virginia’s 10th District would be doing just fine. She’s a workhorse and a pro at constituent services — and even voted against repeal of Obamacare. She is trailing by 12 points in the Post/Schar School’s latest poll. (“The survey finds voters say the president is the most important factor influencing likely voters’ choice for Congress, more so even than the strong economy which would boost the party in power in a typical election year.”) Comstock is losing among independents 60 percent to 36 percent. In 2016, she won reelection by about six points while Trump lost the district by 10 points. Now, she cannot disentangle herself from the president.

    Many who follow politics 24/7 think each event has enormous consequences, especially if we are near an election. Separating Kavanaugh from overall trends will be tough, but so far it looks as thought Trump has poisoned the well for House Republicans, helped stabilize the deepest-red states but not done anything much for purple states (such as Florida and Nevada). Democrats would be happy to return to a pre-2016 map — with an energized base and new strength from women.
    Last edited by Handyman; 10-10-2018 at 10:53 AM.
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  12. #292
    RIP Liberalism 6/27/2018 ScoobyDoo's Avatar
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    Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

    Billy Bush and Comey/Clinton. Those two events defined the 2016 election.

    We have the same playbook going on here. Kavanaugh and Diane Feinstein.

    In each case we have a male with a sex allegation that no one believes did it or no one cares that he did it, and a woman that did not commit a crime that everyone wants to lock up in jail.

    We'll see how it turns out this time. Me? I'm not holding my breath.
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  13. #293
    Kicizapi Cetan
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    Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

    Quote Originally Posted by ScoobyDoo View Post
    And folks wonder why I can't vote for Kevin Cramer.
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  14. #294
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    Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

    Quote Originally Posted by The Sicatoka View Post
    And folks wonder why I can't vote for Kevin Cramer.
    For every 1 of you there are thousands who can.
    Originally Posted by dropthatpuck-Scooby's a lost cause.
    Originally Posted by First Time, Long Time-Always knew you were nothing but a troll.

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  15. #295
    NICKERSON HAS [CENSORED]
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    Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

    Quote Originally Posted by Handyman View Post

    Comstock voting against one thing doesn't help when she voted the other 80 billion. Unfortunately for her she's in NoVa where the voters aren't complete morons and can recognize that. Maybe somewhere in the SW part of the state they might fall for it and continue to vote for the women who so clearly wants to be Paul Ryan.

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  16. #296
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    Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

    Quote Originally Posted by ScoobyDoo View Post
    For every 1 of you there are thousands who can.
    Heitkamp needs to go scorched Earth on him and turn him into this cycle's Todd Akin / Richard Murdoch. No more time to be polite. The guy's basically said he doesn't mind rapists in the Republican party as long as they vote the right way.
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  17. #297
    DYKWIA? FadeToBlack&Gold's Avatar
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    Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

    OK, I laughed.


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  18. #298
    there's a good buck in that racket.
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    Quote Originally Posted by FadeToBlack&Gold View Post
    OK, I laughed.


    What makes anyone think they won’t vote for R again??

  19. #299
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    Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

    Tons of political ads in MN this cycle.

    There are lots of ads on the Radovich/Stauber and Freehan/Hagedorn elections. Strange the vast majority of ads are about the D candidates in both cases. There are a few negative ads on the R candidates...but I have seen absolutely no positive ads on the R candidates. Every single cent must be going towards negative campaigning.

    Also, just saw the two Leutentant governors. The Dem was about how to take the state forwards. The R was about how everything in the state sucks. Somehow starving government spending is going to improve everything?

    The net message is that negativity is the entire campaign strategy here. And it must work with the GOP base - its all about fear.
    Go Gophers!

  20. #300
    RIP Liberalism 6/27/2018 ScoobyDoo's Avatar
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    Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

    So, Democrats are an angry mob now? I thought they were snowflakes? Can't be both.
    Originally Posted by dropthatpuck-Scooby's a lost cause.
    Originally Posted by First Time, Long Time-Always knew you were nothing but a troll.

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