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2018 Atlantic Hurricane Thread - the Cat is out of the bag!

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  • #46
    Re: 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Thread - the Cat is out of the bag!

    And Mike's Spaghetti Models has the Euro for the next 10 days. Just hit the play button.
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    • #47
      Re: 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Thread - the Cat is out of the bag!

      Originally posted by joecct View Post
      And Mike's Spaghetti Models has the Euro for the next 10 days. Just hit the play button.
      The European model has done a horrendous job with this system so far. It can't even initialize the storm properly, so I don't trust anything it does with the system beyond that. None of the other models have done well either. Two days ago were nearly unanimous that when it barely became a hurricane, it would weaken a bit, then maybe, MAYBE, get back to hurricane strength later this week. Instead, it became a Category 4. If these models can't even get the first 48 hours right (or in the case of the European, an analysis), why would you ever think that a forecast for 7-10 days out would be remotely correct? Especially when the average error on these models for any storm (not just this one) is over 300 miles at Day 5 alone.
      Charter Member of darin's "UML Seven"

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      • #48
        Re: 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Thread - the Cat is out of the bag!

        TS Helene https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at...?cone#contents
        Last edited by Ralph Baer; 09-09-2018, 05:23 AM.
        sigpic

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        • #49
          Re: 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Thread - the Cat is out of the bag!

          TS Isaac https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at...?cone#contents
          sigpic

          Let's Go 'Tute!

          Maxed out at 2,147,483,647 at 10:00 AM EDT 9/17/07.

          2012 Poser Of The Year

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          • #50
            Re: 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Thread - the Cat is out of the bag!

            Originally posted by Ralph Baer View Post
            TS Helen https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at...?cone#contents
            Helene, not Helen.
            Charter Member of darin's "UML Seven"

            "I just hate Boston College to be perfectly honest'' -Ken Dorsey
            "It's time for my favorite NCAA tradition ... that's right, rooting against BC!" -Bill Simmons

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            • #51
              Re: 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Thread - the Cat is out of the bag!

              Originally posted by ScottK View Post
              Helene, not Helen.
              fixed.

              Thankfully, turk181 didn't see that.
              sigpic

              Let's Go 'Tute!

              Maxed out at 2,147,483,647 at 10:00 AM EDT 9/17/07.

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              • #52
                Re: 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Thread - the Cat is out of the bag!

                Florence is picking up and barreling toward the East coast.
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                • #53
                  Re: 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Thread - the Cat is out of the bag!

                  The Jim Reaper is on site in Wilmington, NC. Evacuation orders going out.

                  Stay safe, and remember, it ain't THAT the wind is blowing, it's WHAT the wind is blowing. If you get hit by a Volvo...
                  Michigan Tech Huskies Pep Band: There's No Use Trying To Talk. No Human Sound Can Stand Up To This. Loud Enough To Knock You Down.

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                  • #54
                    Re: 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Thread - the Cat is out of the bag!

                    Sounds like I'll be home Thursday and Friday while the hurricane dumps a foot of rain on us.

                    Im more inland NC. So not likely to get as much of the wind.
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                    • #55
                      Re: 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Thread - the Cat is out of the bag!

                      They're predicting Florence will continue to strengthen over the next 24-48 hours. It jumped back up to a major hurricane this morning.

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                      • #56
                        Re: 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Thread - the Cat is out of the bag!

                        The headline is going to be how powerful it is when it comes ashore, but it's also predicted to slow down considerably once it moves inland. The potential is there for some pretty devastating flooding.

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                        • #57
                          Re: 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Thread - the Cat is out of the bag!

                          I expect this to be a busy week at work for me....
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                          • #58
                            Re: 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Thread - the Cat is out of the bag!

                            Originally posted by MinnesotaNorthStar View Post
                            I expect this to be a busy week at work for me....
                            Only send planes west. So far west they end up in Guam. See if the island will sink or capsize.
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                            • #59
                              Re: 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Thread - the Cat is out of the bag!

                              Originally posted by St. Clown View Post
                              Only send planes west. So far west they end up in Guam. See if the island will sink or capsize.
                              Guam got hit by a typhoon this morning.
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                              "I just hate Boston College to be perfectly honest'' -Ken Dorsey
                              "It's time for my favorite NCAA tradition ... that's right, rooting against BC!" -Bill Simmons

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                              • #60
                                Re: 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Thread - the Cat is out of the bag!

                                I LOLed
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BTHC 4                 WCHA FC:  1
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