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ECAC Projected Standings 2017-18

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  • ECAC Projected Standings 2017-18

    Another year, another season of simulated KRACH standings. The first week of the season had five league games, so this is a more legitimate first post than most years have been. Anyway, it's crazy early, so we have to throw in the fake tie to keep KRACH real and finite. Usually I hold off until like January to start posting the playoff matchup possibilities, but I generate them immediately anyway, so whatever. Look at those way too early numbers too.

    Simulated Final Standings (Monte Carlo simulation of 10^60.59 possibilites; n=1,000,000):
    1. Princeton
    2. Cornell
    3. Quinnipiac
    4. Harvard
      —————
    5. Clarkson
    6. Colgate
    7. Yale
    8. Brown
      —————
    9. Union
    10. RPI
    11. SLU
    12. Dartmouth

    Reminder: KRACH doesn't do ties. KRACH doesn't do prediction, it does retrodiction. KRACH cares not about your momentum, injuries, home-ice, etc. KRACH thinks you're exactly as good as your record. This early in the season, it is necessary to have the aforementioned hypothetical tie to keep all of the ratings finite and non-zero.

    Rank and Points breakdown:
    Code:
       |  KRACH |     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Pr |  322.7 |  41.4  25.0  15.3   9.0   4.9   2.5   1.2   0.5   0.2   0.0   0.0     x |  2.27 | 31.42
    Cr |  271.3 |  27.2  25.4  18.8  12.5   7.8   4.4   2.3   1.1   0.4   0.1   0.0   0.0 |  2.79 | 30.09
    Qu |  225.4 |  16.2  20.3  20.4  16.3  11.6   7.3   4.3   2.3   1.0   0.2   0.0   0.0 |  3.46 | 28.58
    Ha |  168.3 |   6.9  11.8  16.0  18.0  16.4  12.6   8.7   5.6   3.0   0.8   0.1   0.0 |  4.50 | 26.41
    Ck |  164.3 |   5.6  10.1  14.2  17.1  16.9  13.8  10.1   6.8   3.9   1.2   0.2   0.0 |  4.79 | 25.84
    Cg |  119.2 |   1.4   3.5   6.5  10.2  14.0  16.7  16.3  14.6  11.1   4.5   0.9   0.1 |  6.27 | 22.96
    Ya |  100.0 |   0.5   1.5   3.4   6.2  10.0  14.5  18.1  19.5  16.8   7.7   1.7   0.3 |  7.07 | 21.37
    Br |  100.0 |   0.5   1.5   3.3   6.1  10.0  14.5  18.2  19.5  16.9   7.6   1.7   0.3 |  7.08 | 21.37
    Un |   73.1 |   0.2   0.8   2.1   4.2   7.6  11.9  16.6  20.8  23.9   9.2   2.2   0.4 |  7.54 | 20.40
    RP |   59.5 |   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.7   1.7   3.6   7.4  16.3  42.3  19.8   7.8 |  9.81 | 14.98
    SL |   26.6 |   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.4   1.2   3.9  15.1  39.7  39.5 | 11.10 | 10.73
    Da |   24.6 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.7   2.5  11.2  33.8  51.5 | 11.32 |  9.87
    
       |  KRACH |     0     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12    13    14    15    16    17    18    19    20    21    22    23    24    25    26    27    28    29    30    31    32    33    34    35    36    37    38    39    40    41    42    43    44 |AvgPts
    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Pr |  322.7 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.3   0.6   1.0   1.6   2.5   3.7   5.1   6.7   8.2   9.6  10.4  10.5  10.0   8.8   7.2   5.4   3.7   2.3   1.3   0.6   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0 | 31.42
    Cr |  271.3 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.7   1.2   2.0   3.0   4.2   5.7   7.2   8.6   9.7  10.2  10.1   9.4   8.1   6.5   4.9   3.3   2.1   1.2   0.6   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0 | 30.09
    Qu |  225.4 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.3   0.6   1.0   1.6   2.5   3.7   5.1   6.5   7.9   9.1   9.8  10.0   9.6   8.6   7.2   5.6   4.1   2.8   1.7   1.0   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0 | 28.58
    Ha |  168.3 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.3   0.7   1.1   1.8   2.7   4.0   5.4   6.8   8.2   9.3   9.9   9.8   9.3   8.2   6.9   5.3   3.9   2.6   1.6   0.9   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0 | 26.41
    Ck |  164.3 |     x     x     x     x     x   0.0     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.3   0.5   1.0   1.6   2.4   3.5   4.8   6.2   7.6   8.7   9.5   9.8   9.5   8.6   7.4   6.0   4.5   3.2   2.1   1.3   0.7   0.4   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x | 25.84
    Cg |  119.2 |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.3   0.5   0.9   1.5   2.3   3.4   4.7   6.1   7.5   8.6   9.4   9.7   9.4   8.6   7.4   6.0   4.6   3.3   2.3   1.4   0.8   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x | 22.96
    Ya |  100.0 |     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.5   1.0   1.7   2.7   4.1   5.5   7.1   8.5   9.6  10.2  10.1   9.3   8.1   6.6   5.1   3.6   2.4   1.5   0.9   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x | 21.37
    Br |  100.0 |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.5   1.0   1.7   2.7   4.0   5.5   7.1   8.6   9.7  10.2  10.1   9.3   8.1   6.6   5.1   3.6   2.4   1.5   0.9   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x | 21.37
    Un |   73.1 |     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.9   1.6   2.6   4.0   5.6   7.2   8.8   9.8  10.3  10.2   9.4   8.1   6.5   5.0   3.6   2.4   1.5   0.9   0.5   0.3   0.1   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x | 20.40
    RP |   59.5 |   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.5   1.0   1.9   3.1   4.6   6.3   8.1   9.4  10.4  10.5  10.1   8.9   7.4   5.8   4.2   2.9   1.9   1.2   0.7   0.3   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 14.98
    SL |   26.6 |   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.8   1.7   3.1   5.0   7.0   9.0  10.5  11.3  11.1  10.2   8.7   6.8   5.1   3.6   2.4   1.5   0.8   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 10.73
    Da |   24.6 |   0.0   0.2   0.6   1.3   2.7   4.5   6.7   8.9  10.7  11.6  11.6  10.6   9.1   7.2   5.3   3.6   2.4   1.4   0.8   0.4   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x |  9.87
    
    Bold is each team's most likely outcome.
    0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times.
    x means the outcome never occurred.
    Playoff Matchups:
    Code:
       |    Pr    Cr    Qu    Ha    Ck    Cg    Ya    Br    Un    RP    SL    Da |   BYE
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Pr |         0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.2   0.3   1.5   3.1   3.5 |  90.7
    Cr |   0.0         0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.4   0.7   2.7   5.2   5.8 |  83.9
    Qu |   0.0   0.0         0.1   0.1   0.5   0.8   0.8   1.3   4.7   8.2   9.0 |  73.2
    Ha |   0.0   0.0   0.1         0.3   1.1   1.8   1.8   2.7   8.7  13.1  13.8 |  52.7
    Ck |   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3         1.3   2.2   2.2   3.3   9.7  13.9  14.6 |  47.1
    Cg |   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.6   0.8         4.4   4.5   6.8  14.1  15.2  15.1 |  21.7
    Ya |   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.7   1.0   3.5         6.2   8.9  15.2  13.3  12.7 |  11.5
    Br |   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.8   1.0   3.5   6.3         9.0  15.1  13.4  12.7 |  11.4
    Un |   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.9   1.3   4.3   7.0   7.1        14.1  11.2  10.4 |   7.4
    RP |   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.4   0.6   1.7   2.7   2.7   2.2         1.6   1.3 |   0.4
    SL |   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.3   0.3   0.4   0.3         0.1 |   0.0
    Da |   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.2   0.2   0.1   0.0       |   0.0
    
    Hosts on the left, visitors across the top.
    RPI Pep Band
    GO GO GO YOU RED RED RED!!! and I guess Yale?
    🎶🎺🎺🎺 LET'S GO BLUES!

    2017-2018 RPI Pick to Click – Champion
    2013-2016 RPI Pick to Click – Back-to-Back-to-Back Runner-Up
    2014-15, 2018-19 ECAC Pick the Standings – Last Place

  • #2
    Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2017-18

    We're still crazy early in the season, but at least everyone has played a couple league games now. Cornell is apparently going to win everything forever and SLU is gonna do real bad.

    Simulated Final Standings (Monte Carlo simulation of 10^54.87 possibilites; n=1,000,000):
    1. Cornell
    2. Clarkson
    3. Colgate
    4. Princeton
      —————
    5. Quinnipiac
    6. Harvard
    7. Union
    8. Dartmouth
      —————
    9. Yale
    10. RPI
    11. Brown
    12. SLU

    Reminder: KRACH doesn't do ties. KRACH doesn't do prediction, it does retrodiction. KRACH cares not about your momentum, injuries, home-ice, etc. KRACH thinks you're exactly as good as your record. This early in the season, it is necessary to have a hypothetical tie to keep all of the ratings finite and non-zero.

    Rank and Points breakdown:
    Code:
       |  KRACH |     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Cr |  876.8 |  92.2   7.0   0.7   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x |  1.09 | 38.07
    Ck |  243.3 |   6.3  53.0  21.3  10.7   5.2   2.3   0.9   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0     x |  2.68 | 30.71
    Cg |  146.1 |   0.8  15.1  25.4  22.5  15.8  10.1   5.8   3.0   1.2   0.3   0.0   0.0 |  4.15 | 26.80
    Pr |  171.9 |   0.5  14.4  24.6  22.2  16.5  10.7   6.3   3.2   1.3   0.3   0.1   0.0 |  4.23 | 26.60
    Qu |  146.2 |   0.1   5.9  13.4  18.1  20.6  17.1  12.2   7.6   3.7   1.1   0.3   0.0 |  5.23 | 24.37
    Ha |  104.4 |   0.1   3.1   8.6  13.3  17.8  20.1  16.8  11.6   6.2   1.8   0.5   0.1 |  5.86 | 23.00
    Un |   67.2 |   0.0   0.6   2.9   6.1  10.7  16.2  20.7  21.0  15.1   5.0   1.3   0.2 |  7.02 | 20.67
    Da |   71.4 |   0.0   0.7   2.5   5.3   9.3  14.7  20.6  22.4  15.7   6.2   2.1   0.5 |  7.21 | 20.28
    Ya |   60.4 |   0.0   0.1   0.6   1.7   3.8   7.6  13.2  21.0  29.3  14.8   6.1   1.8 |  8.34 | 17.86
    RP |   42.1 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.7   1.8   5.0  12.6  28.4  30.3  21.0 | 10.40 | 12.84
    Br |   32.7 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.4   1.2   3.5  10.1  27.8  31.9  24.9 | 10.59 | 12.39
    SL |   23.4 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.4   1.5   4.7  14.4  27.5  51.4 | 11.21 | 10.43
    
       |  KRACH |     0     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12    13    14    15    16    17    18    19    20    21    22    23    24    25    26    27    28    29    30    31    32    33    34    35    36    37    38    39    40    41    42    43    44 |AvgPts
    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Cr |  876.8 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.3   0.7   1.5   2.7   4.5   7.0   9.8  12.6  14.4  14.7  12.9   9.6   5.8   2.6   0.7 | 38.07
    Ck |  243.3 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.3   0.7   1.2   2.0   3.1   4.6   6.2   8.0   9.6  10.7  11.1  10.6   9.4   7.7   5.7   3.9   2.4   1.3   0.6   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0 | 30.71
    Cg |  146.1 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.7   1.3   2.1   3.2   4.6   6.2   7.8   9.2  10.3  10.7  10.2   9.2   7.6   5.9   4.2   2.7   1.7   0.9   0.4   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x | 26.80
    Pr |  171.9 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.8   1.4   2.3   3.4   4.9   6.4   8.1   9.5  10.4  10.7  10.1   9.0   7.4   5.6   3.9   2.5   1.4   0.8   0.3   0.1   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x | 26.60
    Qu |  146.2 |     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.3   0.5   1.0   1.6   2.6   3.8   5.3   6.9   8.5   9.6  10.4  10.3   9.7   8.5   6.9   5.2   3.6   2.3   1.4   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x | 24.37
    Ha |  104.4 |     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.3   0.6   1.1   1.9   3.0   4.4   6.1   7.8   9.1  10.2  10.6  10.2   9.2   7.8   6.0   4.5   3.0   1.9   1.1   0.6   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x | 23.00
    Un |   67.2 |     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.6   1.1   2.1   3.3   5.0   6.8   8.6   9.9  10.8  10.8  10.1   8.8   7.1   5.3   3.7   2.5   1.5   0.8   0.4   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 20.67
    Da |   71.4 |     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.9   1.6   2.6   4.0   5.7   7.4   9.0  10.1  10.7  10.4   9.5   8.1   6.5   4.8   3.3   2.1   1.3   0.7   0.4   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 20.28
    Ya |   60.4 |     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.9   1.7   3.0   4.6   6.5   8.3   9.9  10.9  11.2  10.4   9.1   7.4   5.6   3.9   2.6   1.5   0.9   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 17.86
    RP |   42.1 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.8   1.6   2.9   4.6   6.6   8.6  10.4  11.2  11.3  10.5   9.1   7.2   5.4   3.8   2.5   1.5   0.8   0.4   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 12.84
    Br |   32.7 |     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.8   1.9   3.3   5.4   7.6   9.8  11.3  11.9  11.5  10.3   8.4   6.3   4.4   2.9   1.7   1.0   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 12.39
    SL |   23.4 |     x   0.1   0.2   0.8   1.7   3.4   5.4   7.8   9.9  11.4  11.9  11.4  10.2   8.3   6.3   4.5   3.0   1.8   1.0   0.6   0.3   0.1   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 10.43
    
    Bold is each team's most likely outcome.
    0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times.
    x means the outcome never occurred.
    Playoff Matchups:
    Code:
       |    Cr    Ck    Cg    Pr    Qu    Ha    Un    Da    Ya    RP    Br    SL |   BYE
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Cr |           x     x     x     x     x   0.0     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0 | 100.0
    Ck |     x         0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.2   0.5   2.2   2.3   3.4 |  91.2
    Cg |     x   0.0         0.1   0.2   0.3   0.9   1.1   2.8   8.5   9.1  11.9 |  63.8
    Pr |     x   0.0   0.1         0.2   0.3   1.0   1.2   3.0   9.0   9.6  12.5 |  61.7
    Qu |     x   0.0   0.1   0.1         0.7   2.0   2.4   6.0  14.0  14.8  17.3 |  37.6
    Ha |     x   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.5         2.9   3.8   8.1  16.4  16.7  17.7 |  25.0
    Un |     x   0.0   0.3   0.3   1.0   1.7         5.7  13.5  15.9  16.2  14.1 |   9.7
    Da |     x   0.0   0.3   0.3   1.0   1.6   5.1        14.3  15.9  15.5  13.1 |   8.5
    Ya |     x   0.0   0.4   0.5   1.4   2.8   7.4   7.0         9.6   9.5   6.9 |   2.5
    RP |     x   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.4   0.7   0.9   1.9   2.0         0.9   0.7 |   0.1
    Br |     x   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.3   0.3   1.1   1.0   1.4   0.7         0.3 |   0.0
    SL |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.3   0.5   0.5   0.3   0.2       |   0.0
    
    Hosts on the left, visitors across the top.
    RPI Pep Band
    GO GO GO YOU RED RED RED!!! and I guess Yale?
    🎶🎺🎺🎺 LET'S GO BLUES!

    2017-2018 RPI Pick to Click – Champion
    2013-2016 RPI Pick to Click – Back-to-Back-to-Back Runner-Up
    2014-15, 2018-19 ECAC Pick the Standings – Last Place

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2017-18

      Cornell should go ahead and lose a game. There are a few sizeable gaps opening up, but the 6-10 range is pretty tight, with less than 2 points separating Harvard from RPI.

      Simulated Final Standings (Monte Carlo simulation of 1049.14 possibilites; n=1,000,000):
      1. Cornell
      2. Clarkson
      3. Colgate
      4. Union
        —————
      5. Princeton
      6. Harvard
      7. Quinnipiac
      8. Yale
        —————
      9. Dartmouth
      10. RPI
      11. Brown
      12. SLU

      Reminder: KRACH doesn't do ties. KRACH doesn't do prediction, it does retrodiction. KRACH cares not about your momentum, injuries, home-ice, etc. KRACH thinks you're exactly as good as your record. This early in the season, it is necessary to have a tie against a hypothetical average team to keep all of the ratings finite and non-zero.

      Rank and Points breakdown:
      Code:
         |  KRACH |     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts
      -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Cr |  992.9 |  88.2  10.9   0.8   0.1   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x |  1.13 | 38.89
      Ck |  296.1 |  10.6  65.2  17.3   5.1   1.5   0.2   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x |  2.22 | 33.36
      Cg |  155.2 |   0.9  14.7  39.3  26.8  13.6   3.3   1.0   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0 |  3.54 | 28.70
      Un |  109.3 |   0.3   6.4  28.5  34.9  20.6   6.2   2.2   0.8   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0 |  4.02 | 27.15
      Pr |  134.9 |   0.0   2.7  12.2  24.4  35.1  14.0   6.3   3.0   1.4   0.6   0.2   0.0 |  4.88 | 24.96
      Ha |   64.2 |   0.0   0.1   0.7   3.0   8.8  20.0  20.0  17.5  14.2  10.3   4.7   0.7 |  7.50 | 18.96
      Qu |   83.4 |   0.0   0.0   0.5   2.3   7.9  18.7  18.7  17.1  14.9  11.9   6.9   1.2 |  7.72 | 18.52
      Ya |   55.2 |     x   0.0   0.3   1.5   5.1  13.6  17.4  18.8  18.6  16.1   7.6   0.8 |  8.09 | 17.74
      Da |   50.4 |     x   0.0   0.2   1.3   4.5  12.2  16.4  18.4  18.8  16.9   9.4   1.8 |  8.27 | 17.41
      RP |   59.4 |     x   0.0   0.1   0.5   2.7  10.4  14.6  17.4  19.0  19.2  13.6   2.5 |  8.62 | 16.72
      Br |   33.5 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.3   1.3   3.2   6.2  11.5  21.5  44.8  11.1 | 10.26 | 13.20
      SL |   17.9 |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.4   1.2   3.5  12.8  81.8 | 11.74 |  8.38
      
         |  KRACH |     0     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12    13    14    15    16    17    18    19    20    21    22    23    24    25    26    27    28    29    30    31    32    33    34    35    36    37    38    39    40    41    42    43    44 |AvgPts
      ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Cr |  992.9 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.6   1.3   2.5   4.5   7.3  10.6  13.8  15.8  15.6  13.0   8.8   4.3   1.4 | 38.89
      Ck |  296.1 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.3   0.6   1.1   1.9   3.2   4.8   6.8   8.9  10.8  12.0  12.1  11.2   9.5   7.0   4.8   2.7   1.4   0.6   0.2   0.0   0.0 | 33.36
      Cg |  155.2 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.3   0.5   1.1   1.8   3.0   4.5   6.4   8.2  10.0  11.0  11.5  10.8   9.5   7.5   5.6   3.7   2.2   1.2   0.6   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x | 28.70
      Un |  109.3 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.3   0.7   1.3   2.3   3.8   5.5   7.6   9.5  11.0  11.6  11.5  10.2   8.5   6.3   4.4   2.7   1.5   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x | 27.15
      Pr |  134.9 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.5   1.0   1.7   2.7   4.2   5.9   7.7   9.4  10.6  11.2  10.8   9.8   8.1   6.2   4.2   2.7   1.5   0.8   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x | 24.96
      Ha |   64.2 |     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.9   1.7   2.8   4.4   6.1   8.1   9.7  10.8  11.1  10.7   9.4   7.7   5.8   4.1   2.7   1.6   0.9   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 18.96
      Qu |   83.4 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.7   1.3   2.3   3.5   5.1   6.9   8.6   9.9  10.7  10.7  10.1   8.7   7.1   5.2   3.7   2.3   1.3   0.7   0.4   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 18.52
      Ya |   55.2 |     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.8   1.5   2.9   4.6   6.8   8.8  10.7  11.5  11.7  10.7   9.2   7.2   5.3   3.5   2.2   1.2   0.6   0.3   0.1   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 17.74
      Da |   50.4 |     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.5   1.2   2.1   3.6   5.3   7.4   9.2  10.6  11.2  11.1  10.1   8.5   6.6   4.8   3.2   2.0   1.1   0.6   0.3   0.1   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 17.41
      RP |   59.4 |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.4   0.9   1.7   3.0   4.6   6.6   8.5  10.4  11.3  11.6  10.7   9.3   7.4   5.4   3.5   2.2   1.2   0.6   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 16.72
      Br |   33.5 |     x     x     x     x   0.1   0.2   0.8   1.7   3.5   5.6   8.2  10.4  12.1  12.4  11.9  10.1   8.1   5.9   4.0   2.4   1.4   0.7   0.4   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 13.20
      SL |   17.9 |     x   0.3   1.0   2.6   5.0   8.0  10.7  12.8  13.2  12.5  10.6   8.3   5.9   3.9   2.4   1.3   0.7   0.4   0.1   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x |  8.38
      Bold is each team's most likely outcome.
      0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times.
      x means the outcome never occurred.
      Playoff Matchups:
      Code:
         |    Cr    Ck    Cg    Un    Pr    Ha    Qu    Ya    Da    RP    Br    SL |   BYE
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Cr |           x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0 | 100.0
      Ck |     x           x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   1.2 |  98.3
      Cg |     x     x         0.0   0.0   0.4   0.6   0.5   0.9   1.0   3.3  11.5 |  81.7
      Un |     x     x   0.0         0.0   0.6   1.1   1.0   1.4   2.2   5.6  17.7 |  70.0
      Pr |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0         1.9   2.4   2.9   3.6   4.9  12.1  30.6 |  39.4
      Ha |     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.4         7.3   9.0  10.6  11.6  16.5  10.8 |   3.8
      Qu |     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.4   6.4         9.4  10.0  10.4  15.8   9.8 |   2.8
      Ya |     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.4   6.9   7.5         9.3  11.0  12.8   6.9 |   1.9
      Da |     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.4   5.8   7.1   9.5        10.5  12.2   6.0 |   1.5
      RP |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.3   6.1   6.7   8.5   8.8        10.2   4.4 |   0.6
      Br |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   1.6   2.0   2.1   2.1   2.4         0.5 |   0.1
      SL |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.1   0.1   0.1   0.1       |   0.0
      Hosts on the left, visitors across the top.
      RPI Pep Band
      GO GO GO YOU RED RED RED!!! and I guess Yale?
      🎶🎺🎺🎺 LET'S GO BLUES!

      2017-2018 RPI Pick to Click – Champion
      2013-2016 RPI Pick to Click – Back-to-Back-to-Back Runner-Up
      2014-15, 2018-19 ECAC Pick the Standings – Last Place

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2017-18

        Originally posted by lugnut92 View Post
        Cornell should go ahead and lose a game.
        No need, you have that dummy tie to make the math work.
        Cornell University
        National Champion 1967, 1970
        ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
        Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2017-18

          Cornell lost! Hooray! No more hypothetical tie! Generally this means that things will seem more dire for a while for those teams who don't have many wins. Everything to do with the Ivies remains a little screwy because of their low games played, but it'll work itself out eventually. Anyway, we're now past the quarter pole (yes I'm using that wrong I don't care) and no one plays any league games for a couple weekends (not counting stupid Tuesday games), so this information will have to tide us over for a bit.

          Simulated Final Standings (Monte Carlo simulation of 1045.33 possibilites; n=1,000,000):
          1. Clarkson
          2. Cornell
          3. Union
          4. Colgate
            —————
          5. Quinnipiac
          6. Princeton
          7. RPI
          8. Harvard
            —————
          9. Dartmouth
          10. Yale
          11. Brown
          12. SLU

          Reminder: KRACH doesn't do ties. KRACH doesn't do prediction, it does retrodiction. KRACH cares not about your momentum, injuries, home-ice, etc. KRACH thinks you're exactly as good as your record.

          Rank and Points breakdown:
          Code:
             |  KRACH |     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts
          -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Ck |  605.2 |  73.9  25.1   0.9   0.1   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x |  1.27 | 39.07
          Cr |  596.2 |  25.6  68.2   5.5   0.6   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x |  1.81 | 36.85
          Un |   98.0 |   0.3   3.5  46.4  37.8   9.3   2.2   0.4   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x |  3.61 | 29.08
          Cg |  119.0 |   0.2   3.1  42.6  39.5  10.9   3.0   0.6   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x |  3.70 | 28.83
          Qu |   91.9 |   0.0   0.0   2.5  11.3  37.8  29.2  12.4   4.4   1.6   0.5   0.2   0.0 |  5.61 | 22.89
          Pr |   70.3 |   0.0   0.0   2.0   9.2  31.4  33.9  14.3   5.7   2.3   0.9   0.3   0.0 |  5.82 | 22.35
          RP |   43.5 |     x   0.0   0.1   0.9   5.9  15.6  29.4  20.2  13.4   8.5   5.3   0.7 |  7.67 | 18.05
          Ha |   27.2 |     x     x   0.0   0.3   2.4   7.4  16.9  22.9  20.1  15.6  11.8   2.6 |  8.57 | 16.01
          Da |   24.9 |     x     x   0.0   0.2   1.8   5.8  14.1  21.1  22.2  17.7  13.8   3.4 |  8.81 | 15.52
          Ya |   20.9 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   1.4   6.1  12.8  19.8  26.2  28.4   5.1 |  9.68 | 13.71
          Br |   20.9 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.3   1.5   5.7  12.0  19.1  26.8  29.5   5.2 |  9.72 | 13.71
          SL |   10.7 |     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.6   1.6   3.9  10.8  82.9 | 11.73 |  7.92
          
             |  KRACH |     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12    13    14    15    16    17    18    19    20    21    22    23    24    25    26    27    28    29    30    31    32    33    34    35    36    37    38    39    40    41    42    43    44 |AvgPts
          ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Ck |  605.2 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.9   2.0   3.8   6.7  10.2  13.9  16.3  16.5  13.8   9.3   4.4   1.6 | 39.07
          Cr |  596.2 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.5   1.2   2.5   4.6   7.4  11.0  14.3  16.2  15.9  12.6   8.3   3.8   1.3     x     x | 36.85
          Un |   98.0 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.5   1.1   2.0   3.5   5.3   7.7   9.8  11.7  12.5  12.3  10.7   8.7   6.1   3.9   2.1   1.1   0.4   0.2   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x | 29.08
          Cg |  119.0 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.6   1.3   2.4   3.8   5.9   8.1  10.4  12.0  12.7  11.9  10.5   8.0   5.5   3.3   1.8   0.8   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x | 28.83
          Qu |   91.9 |     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.6   1.3   2.3   3.8   5.8   8.1  10.2  11.9  12.4  12.1  10.3   8.2   5.6   3.5   1.9   0.9   0.4   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 22.89
          Pr |   70.3 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.5   1.0   1.8   3.2   4.9   7.1   9.3  11.2  12.0  12.2  10.9   9.0   6.7   4.6   2.7   1.5   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 22.35
          RP |   43.5 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.6   1.3   2.3   3.9   5.7   7.9   9.8  11.4  11.9  11.6  10.1   8.2   6.0   4.0   2.4   1.3   0.6   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 18.05
          Ha |   27.2 |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.6   1.2   2.4   4.0   6.1   8.2  10.3  11.6  12.0  11.2   9.8   7.8   5.7   3.8   2.4   1.4   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 16.01
          Da |   24.9 |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.8   1.6   3.1   4.9   7.3   9.4  11.1  11.9  11.7  10.6   8.8   6.7   4.7   3.1   1.8   1.0   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 15.52
          Ya |   20.9 |     x     x     x     x     x   0.2   0.5   1.8   3.6   6.7   9.4  12.5  13.7  13.8  12.0   9.6   6.8   4.4   2.5   1.4   0.6   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 13.71
          Br |   20.9 |     x     x     x     x     x   0.2   0.6   1.8   3.6   6.6   9.5  12.5  13.7  13.7  11.9   9.6   6.8   4.4   2.6   1.4   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 13.71
          SL |   10.7 |   0.4   1.3   3.3   6.0   9.3  12.0  13.7  13.6  12.3   9.9   7.2   4.8   2.9   1.6   0.8   0.4   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x |  7.92
          Bold is each team's most likely outcome.
          0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times.
          x means the outcome never occurred.
          Playoff Matchups:
          Code:
             |    Ck    Cr    Un    Cg    Qu    Pr    RP    Ha    Da    Ya    Br    SL |   BYE
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Ck |     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0 | 100.0
          Cr |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0 | 100.0
          Un |     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.3   0.6   0.7   1.1   1.2   8.1 |  88.1
          Cg |     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.8   1.0   1.5   1.5   9.4 |  85.4
          Qu |     x     x   0.0   0.0     x   0.2   3.2   7.4   8.7  14.5  14.9  35.0 |  13.8
          Pr |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1     x   4.0   8.4   9.8  16.2  16.6  30.3 |  11.1
          RP |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.5   0.6     x  12.4  14.0  17.7  17.8   8.2 |   1.0
          Ha |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.5   0.8   6.4     x  13.3  12.1  12.8   3.7 |   0.3
          Da |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.5   0.8   6.2   9.8     x  11.4  11.0   2.9 |   0.2
          Ya |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.3   0.4   3.7   5.9   4.8     x   4.6   0.8 |   0.0
          Br |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.3   0.6   3.7   4.6   4.6   4.8     x   0.8 |   0.0
          SL |     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.2   0.1   0.1     x |    NO
          Hosts on the left, visitors across the top.
          RPI Pep Band
          GO GO GO YOU RED RED RED!!! and I guess Yale?
          🎶🎺🎺🎺 LET'S GO BLUES!

          2017-2018 RPI Pick to Click – Champion
          2013-2016 RPI Pick to Click – Back-to-Back-to-Back Runner-Up
          2014-15, 2018-19 ECAC Pick the Standings – Last Place

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2017-18

            So we have the top two teams that will fight it out, the other two teams that for the time being look pretty locked into byes, and then just a mess where pretty much everyone is a little less than a win away from their neighbors. Clarkson and Cornell are basically projected to run the table from here in, but their KRACHs are pretty high right now and that's not necessarily going to last forever (though this is circular reasoning: Eventually they'll look like they might lose a few games once they've lost a few games).

            Simulated Final Standings (Monte Carlo simulation of 1044.85 possibilites; n=1,000,000):
            1. Clarkson
            2. Cornell
            3. Colgate
            4. Union
              —————
            5. Quinnipiac
            6. Princeton
            7. Harvard
            8. RPI
              —————
            9. Brown
            10. Dartmouth
            11. Yale
            12. SLU

            Reminder: KRACH doesn't do ties. KRACH doesn't do prediction, it does retrodiction. KRACH cares not about your momentum, injuries, home-ice, etc. KRACH thinks you're exactly as good as your record.

            Rank and Points breakdown:
            Code:
               |  KRACH |     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Ck |  669.4 |  68.8  29.7   1.4   0.1   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x |  1.33 | 38.95
            Cr |  864.0 |  30.6  63.6   5.2   0.6   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x |  1.76 | 37.30
            Cg |  167.0 |   0.3   3.6  48.2  41.0   5.6   1.0   0.2   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x |  3.52 | 29.68
            Un |  127.0 |   0.3   3.1  43.4  45.1   6.6   1.2   0.2   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x |  3.59 | 29.35
            Qu |   82.5 |   0.0   0.0   1.4   8.9  49.5  23.0  10.2   4.4   1.8   0.7   0.2   0.0 |  5.57 | 22.57
            Pr |   64.1 |   0.0   0.0   0.3   2.7  20.9  33.9  20.8  11.4   5.9   2.9   1.2   0.1 |  6.52 | 20.31
            Ha |   42.2 |     x   0.0   0.1   1.2   9.9  18.5  23.3  19.1  13.1   8.7   5.2   0.8 |  7.54 | 18.03
            RP |   39.4 |     x     x   0.0   0.3   4.3  10.7  18.5  20.3  17.6  14.5  11.8   1.8 |  8.35 | 16.53
            Br |   33.3 |     x     x   0.0   0.1   1.3   5.1  11.2  17.5  22.1  22.6  17.8   2.2 |  9.04 | 15.13
            Da |   22.6 |     x     x   0.0   0.1   1.4   4.4   9.3  14.9  19.9  21.7  22.5   5.8 |  9.31 | 14.51
            Ya |   23.6 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.4   2.1   6.2  11.7  18.3  25.5  31.0   4.8 |  9.70 | 13.82
            SL |   11.7 |     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.5   1.2   3.3  10.4  84.4 | 11.77 |  7.81
            
               |  KRACH |     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12    13    14    15    16    17    18    19    20    21    22    23    24    25    26    27    28    29    30    31    32    33    34    35    36    37    38    39    40    41    42    43    44 |AvgPts
            ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Ck |  669.4 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   1.0   2.1   4.1   7.0  10.8  14.4  16.7  16.3  13.1   8.6   3.8   1.3 | 38.95
            Cr |  864.0 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.7   1.6   3.2   5.8   9.3  13.3  16.2  17.0  14.8  10.4   5.2   1.9     x     x | 37.30
            Cg |  167.0 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.7   1.3   2.3   4.0   6.1   8.5  10.7  12.5  13.0  12.3  10.2   7.7   5.0   2.9   1.4   0.6   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0     x     x     x | 29.68
            Un |  127.0 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.9   1.7   3.0   4.7   7.0   9.3  11.4  12.5  12.7  11.3   9.4   6.7   4.4   2.4   1.3   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x | 29.35
            Qu |   82.5 |     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.7   1.4   2.6   4.3   6.4   9.0  11.1  12.6  12.7  11.9   9.7   7.3   4.7   2.8   1.4   0.6   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 22.57
            Pr |   64.1 |     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.9   1.7   3.1   4.9   7.3   9.5  11.6  12.5  12.5  11.1   9.1   6.5   4.3   2.4   1.3   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 20.31
            Ha |   42.2 |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.7   1.3   2.4   4.0   6.0   8.0  10.0  11.2  11.7  11.1   9.9   7.9   5.9   4.0   2.6   1.5   0.8   0.4   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 18.03
            RP |   39.4 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.9   1.7   3.1   4.8   7.0   9.0  10.9  11.8  12.0  10.8   9.1   7.0   4.9   3.1   1.8   0.9   0.4   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 16.53
            Br |   33.3 |     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.6   1.4   3.1   5.2   8.3  10.8  12.9  13.3  12.7  10.6   8.2   5.5   3.5   1.9   1.0   0.4   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 15.13
            Da |   22.6 |     x     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.7   1.6   2.9   5.0   7.2   9.6  11.3  12.3  11.9  10.7   8.8   6.7   4.6   3.0   1.7   0.9   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 14.51
            Ya |   23.6 |     x     x     x     x     x   0.2   0.5   1.6   3.3   6.3   9.1  12.3  13.6  13.9  12.3  10.0   7.1   4.6   2.7   1.4   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 13.82
            SL |   11.7 |   0.4   1.3   3.6   6.3   9.7  12.3  13.9  13.6  12.1   9.6   6.9   4.5   2.7   1.5   0.8   0.4   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x |  7.81
            Bold is each team's most likely outcome.
            0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times.
            x means the outcome never occurred.
            Playoff Matchups:
            Code:
               |    Ck    Cr    Cg    Un    Qu    Pr    Ha    RP    Br    Da    Ya    SL |   BYE
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Ck |           x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0     x     x     x   0.0 | 100.0
            Cr |     x           x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0 | 100.0
            Cg |     x     x           x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.3   0.7   0.6   4.9 |  93.1
            Un |     x     x     x         0.0   0.0   0.1   0.4   0.4   0.7   0.7   5.7 |  91.9
            Qu |     x     x   0.0   0.0         0.8   2.8   5.8   8.9  11.4  13.1  44.5 |  10.2
            Pr |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.3         5.1   9.8  14.1  16.5  19.2  22.0 |   3.0
            Ha |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.5   1.9        10.3  15.0  15.4  16.5  11.3 |   1.3
            RP |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.6   1.9   6.3        13.1  12.9  13.4   5.7 |   0.3
            Br |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.5   2.4   5.2   8.2         8.0   8.7   2.3 |   0.1
            Da |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.5   1.9   4.1   6.4   7.8         7.3   2.0 |   0.1
            Ya |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.3   1.2   4.0   4.7   5.1   4.3         0.9 |   0.0
            SL |     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.1   0.1   0.1   0.1       |    NO
            Hosts on the left, visitors across the top.
            RPI Pep Band
            GO GO GO YOU RED RED RED!!! and I guess Yale?
            🎶🎺🎺🎺 LET'S GO BLUES!

            2017-2018 RPI Pick to Click – Champion
            2013-2016 RPI Pick to Click – Back-to-Back-to-Back Runner-Up
            2014-15, 2018-19 ECAC Pick the Standings – Last Place

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2017-18

              I shouldn't have laughed at this, but in the BYE column, KRACH doesn't even give SLU a 0.0 chance. It literally just says "NO".

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2017-18

                Originally posted by StayPuftMMcu View Post
                I shouldn't have laughed at this, but in the BYE column, KRACH doesn't even give SLU a 0.0 chance. It literally just says "NO".
                Mathematically, they have a shot at it. Probably just didn't happen in any of the 1,000,000 simulations.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2017-18

                  Originally posted by FlagDUDE08 View Post
                  Mathematically, they have a shot at it. Probably just didn't happen in any of the 1,000,000 simulations.
                  This is accurate.
                  RPI Pep Band
                  GO GO GO YOU RED RED RED!!! and I guess Yale?
                  🎶🎺🎺🎺 LET'S GO BLUES!

                  2017-2018 RPI Pick to Click – Champion
                  2013-2016 RPI Pick to Click – Back-to-Back-to-Back Runner-Up
                  2014-15, 2018-19 ECAC Pick the Standings – Last Place

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2017-18

                    With everyone except the North Country done with the league schedule for 2017, the most action is happening at the home-road line, with positions 8 through 11 separated by just over two points. Elsewhere, Cornell is Clarkson's only real competition for the Cleary, Harvard is locked in fifth, and the Princeton-Quinnipiac travel pair is wonderfully mediocre.

                    Simulated Final Standings (Monte Carlo simulation of 1041.03 possibilites; n=1,000,000):
                    1. Clarkson
                    2. Cornell
                    3. Colgate
                    4. Union
                      —————
                    5. Harvard
                    6. Quinnipiac
                    7. Princeton
                    8. Brown
                      —————
                    9. Yale
                    10. RPI
                    11. Dartmouth
                    12. SLU

                    Reminder: KRACH doesn't do ties. KRACH doesn't do prediction, it does retrodiction. KRACH cares not about your momentum, injuries, home-ice, etc. KRACH thinks you're exactly as good as your record.

                    Rank and Points breakdown:
                    Code:
                       |  KRACH |     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts
                    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    Ck |  627.7 |  78.0  21.3   0.6   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x |  1.23 | 38.99
                    Cr |  522.7 |  21.6  71.9   5.7   0.7   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x |  1.86 | 36.18
                    Cg |  127.8 |   0.2   4.1  47.5  33.7  11.0   2.4   0.7   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0     x |  3.63 | 28.38
                    Un |  112.2 |   0.1   2.5  37.8  39.0  16.3   3.1   0.8   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0 |  3.83 | 27.58
                    Ha |   82.0 |   0.0   0.2   7.7  21.5  44.6  15.2   6.3   2.7   1.2   0.5   0.2   0.0 |  5.07 | 23.82
                    Qu |   66.2 |     x   0.0   0.3   2.5  12.6  31.3  22.8  14.2   8.7   5.1   2.3   0.2 |  6.92 | 19.66
                    Pr |   57.8 |     x   0.0   0.2   1.7   9.0  24.0  25.3  17.7  11.6   7.0   3.2   0.3 |  7.28 | 19.04
                    Br |   43.1 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.3   2.5   9.5  16.3  20.8  20.8  17.6  11.4   0.7 |  8.49 | 16.70
                    Ya |   32.7 |     x     x   0.0   0.2   1.3   4.9   9.8  16.1  21.3  24.3  20.6   1.5 |  9.14 | 15.71
                    RP |   38.1 |     x     x   0.0   0.2   1.8   6.0  10.6  15.6  18.9  21.4  22.5   3.0 |  9.12 | 15.56
                    Da |   25.2 |     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.8   3.5   7.4  12.3  16.6  22.0  31.4   5.9 |  9.61 | 14.62
                    SL |   12.9 |     x     x   0.0     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.7   2.1   8.4  88.4 | 11.84 |  7.76
                    
                       |  KRACH |     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12    13    14    15    16    17    18    19    20    21    22    23    24    25    26    27    28    29    30    31    32    33    34    35    36    37    38    39    40    41    42    43    44 |AvgPts
                    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    Ck |  627.7 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.5   1.1   2.2   4.2   7.0  10.5  13.9  16.2  16.1  13.3   9.0   4.3   1.5 | 38.99
                    Cr |  522.7 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.5   1.2   2.3   4.0   6.7   9.8  12.8  14.9  15.1  13.5   9.7   5.9   2.5   0.8     x     x | 36.18
                    Cg |  127.8 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.5   1.0   1.9   3.2   4.9   7.0   9.1  10.9  11.9  12.1  11.0   9.3   6.9   4.7   2.8   1.5   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x | 28.38
                    Un |  112.2 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.7   1.4   2.6   4.3   6.6   8.8  11.2  12.3  12.9  11.5   9.8   7.1   4.9   2.8   1.5   0.6   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x | 27.58
                    Ha |   82.0 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.6   1.3   2.5   4.0   6.2   8.3  10.6  11.8  12.4  11.6  10.1   7.7   5.5   3.4   2.0   0.9   0.4   0.1   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x | 23.82
                    Qu |   66.2 |     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.4   1.1   2.2   4.1   6.2   9.1  11.3  13.3  13.1  12.3   9.8   7.4   4.6   2.7   1.3   0.6   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 19.66
                    Pr |   57.8 |     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.7   1.7   3.2   5.5   7.9  10.8  12.4  13.5  12.5  11.0   8.2   5.7   3.3   1.8   0.8   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 19.04
                    Br |   43.1 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.2   0.7   1.6   3.8   6.1   9.6  11.9  14.1  13.6  12.6   9.7   7.1   4.3   2.5   1.2   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 16.70
                    Ya |   32.7 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.1   0.4   1.6   3.2   6.5   9.2  12.8  13.9  14.4  12.3  10.0   6.8   4.3   2.3   1.2   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 15.71
                    RP |   38.1 |     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.5   1.3   2.5   4.6   6.8   9.6  11.4  12.9  12.5  11.5   9.2   6.9   4.5   2.8   1.5   0.8   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 15.56
                    Da |   25.2 |     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.5   1.1   2.5   4.3   7.0   9.4  11.8  12.7  12.7  11.2   9.3   6.9   4.7   2.8   1.6   0.8   0.4   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 14.62
                    SL |   12.9 |   0.5   1.4   3.7   6.5  10.0  12.5  13.9  13.5  11.9   9.4   6.8   4.4   2.7   1.5   0.7   0.3   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x |  7.76
                    Bold is each team's most likely outcome.
                    0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times.
                    x means the outcome never occurred.
                    Playoff Matchups:
                    Code:
                       |    Ck    Cr    Cg    Un    Ha    Qu    Pr    Br    Ya    RP    Da    SL |   BYE
                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    Ck |           x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0     x   0.0   0.0   0.0 | 100.0
                    Cr |     x           x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0 | 100.0
                    Cg |     x     x         0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.5   0.8   1.0   1.7  10.0 |  85.6
                    Un |     x     x   0.0         0.0   0.1   0.2   0.7   1.1   1.6   2.0  14.7 |  79.5
                    Ha |     x     x   0.0   0.0         0.9   1.3   3.9   6.0   6.4   9.4  40.7 |  29.3
                    Qu |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.2         4.4  11.8  16.2  15.5  18.3  14.5 |   2.8
                    Pr |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.3   3.2        11.8  16.5  15.9  17.6  10.7 |   1.9
                    Br |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.4   3.5   5.7        12.1  12.4  11.3   3.6 |   0.4
                    Ya |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.4   3.0   4.0   8.1         7.3   7.3   2.0 |   0.2
                    RP |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.4   3.3   3.6   7.5   8.8         8.1   2.4 |   0.2
                    Da |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   2.2   2.6   6.3   6.1   5.5         1.1 |   0.1
                    SL |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.1   0.1   0.1       |   0.0
                    Hosts on the left, visitors across the top.
                    RPI Pep Band
                    GO GO GO YOU RED RED RED!!! and I guess Yale?
                    🎶🎺🎺🎺 LET'S GO BLUES!

                    2017-2018 RPI Pick to Click – Champion
                    2013-2016 RPI Pick to Click – Back-to-Back-to-Back Runner-Up
                    2014-15, 2018-19 ECAC Pick the Standings – Last Place

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2017-18

                      Originally posted by FlagDUDE08 View Post
                      Mathematically, they have a shot at it. Probably just didn't happen in any of the 1,000,000 simulations.
                      lugnut92 hit upon at least one this time.
                      sigpic

                      Let's Go 'Tute!

                      Maxed out at 2,147,483,647 at 10:00 AM EDT 9/17/07.

                      2012 Poser Of The Year

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2017-18

                        Originally posted by Ralph Baer View Post
                        lugnut92 hit upon at least one this time.
                        Yup, exactly once they ended up in third. I imagine that was the one time the simulator got them up to 27 points.
                        RPI Pep Band
                        GO GO GO YOU RED RED RED!!! and I guess Yale?
                        🎶🎺🎺🎺 LET'S GO BLUES!

                        2017-2018 RPI Pick to Click – Champion
                        2013-2016 RPI Pick to Click – Back-to-Back-to-Back Runner-Up
                        2014-15, 2018-19 ECAC Pick the Standings – Last Place

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2017-18

                          Just out of curiosity, how long does it take to run 1,000,000 simulations? Not that we'd expect you to run 100 dodectillion simulations, mind you...

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2017-18

                            Originally posted by FlagDUDE08 View Post
                            Just out of curiosity, how long does it take to run 1,000,000 simulations? Not that we'd expect you to run 100 dodectillion simulations, mind you...
                            This one took 412.2 seconds, but we're also a little over a third of the way into the season. At its longest, it takes about ten minutes. When I tried to do an exhaustive sim of the last two weeks of the season, it took over a week.
                            RPI Pep Band
                            GO GO GO YOU RED RED RED!!! and I guess Yale?
                            🎶🎺🎺🎺 LET'S GO BLUES!

                            2017-2018 RPI Pick to Click – Champion
                            2013-2016 RPI Pick to Click – Back-to-Back-to-Back Runner-Up
                            2014-15, 2018-19 ECAC Pick the Standings – Last Place

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2017-18

                              Only a pair of ECAC games this week, but a bunch of other games led to a rejiggering of each team's KRACH. No one changed position, so whatever.

                              Simulated Final Standings (Monte Carlo simulation of 1040.08 possibilites; n=1,000,000):
                              1. Clarkson
                              2. Cornell
                              3. Colgate
                              4. Union
                                —————
                              5. Harvard
                              6. Quinnipiac
                              7. Princeton
                              8. Brown
                                —————
                              9. Yale
                              10. RPI
                              11. Dartmouth
                              12. SLU

                              Reminder: KRACH doesn't do ties. KRACH doesn't do prediction, it does retrodiction. KRACH cares not about your momentum, injuries, home-ice, etc. KRACH thinks you're exactly as good as your record.

                              Rank and Points breakdown:
                              Code:
                                 |  KRACH |     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts
                              -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Ck |  589.4 |  80.9  18.7   0.3   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x |  1.19 | 39.50
                              Cr |  497.4 |  18.9  75.9   4.7   0.5   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x |  1.87 | 36.42
                              Cg |  103.4 |   0.1   2.8  43.4  37.3  12.3   2.9   0.9   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0     x |  3.73 | 27.91
                              Un |  101.4 |   0.1   2.5  43.7  36.7  13.8   2.4   0.6   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x |  3.72 | 27.85
                              Ha |   68.8 |   0.0   0.1   7.4  20.5  45.0  15.3   6.5   3.1   1.5   0.6   0.2   0.0 |  5.12 | 23.59
                              Qu |   52.3 |     x   0.0   0.2   2.0  11.2  28.2  22.6  15.5  10.4   6.6   3.0   0.2 |  7.12 | 19.22
                              Pr |   50.4 |     x   0.0   0.2   1.9   9.9  24.9  23.9  16.9  11.6   7.2   3.1   0.3 |  7.24 | 19.05
                              Br |   34.4 |     x     x   0.0   0.3   2.3   8.7  14.7  19.4  21.2  19.7  12.9   0.8 |  8.62 | 16.46
                              Ya |   34.2 |     x     x   0.0   0.4   2.5   7.8  13.3  18.7  21.4  20.9  14.2   0.9 |  8.71 | 16.44
                              RP |   34.6 |     x     x   0.0   0.3   2.4   7.3  11.9  16.0  18.6  21.3  19.8   2.3 |  8.95 | 15.87
                              Da |   19.6 |     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.5   2.6   5.6   9.8  14.5  21.5  37.9   7.5 |  9.88 | 14.05
                              SL |   11.6 |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.6   2.0   9.0  88.0 | 11.84 |  7.66
                              
                                 |  KRACH |     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12    13    14    15    16    17    18    19    20    21    22    23    24    25    26    27    28    29    30    31    32    33    34    35    36    37    38    39    40    41    42    43    44 |AvgPts
                              ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Ck |  589.4 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.6   1.3   2.7   5.2   8.6  12.5  15.9  17.5  15.6  11.5   5.9   2.4 | 39.50
                              Cr |  497.4 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.9   1.9   3.4   5.9   9.0  12.3  14.9  15.6  14.2  10.7   6.7   2.9   1.0     x     x | 36.42
                              Cg |  103.4 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.3   0.7   1.4   2.4   4.0   5.8   8.0   9.9  11.5  12.0  11.8  10.2   8.2   5.8   3.8   2.1   1.1   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x | 27.91
                              Un |  101.4 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.5   1.1   2.2   3.7   5.9   8.2  10.7  12.2  13.1  12.1  10.5   7.8   5.5   3.1   1.7   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x | 27.85
                              Ha |   68.8 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.3   0.8   1.5   2.8   4.4   6.7   8.8  11.0  12.1  12.4  11.3   9.7   7.2   5.0   3.0   1.7   0.8   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x | 23.59
                              Qu |   52.3 |     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.6   1.5   2.8   5.1   7.4  10.4  12.1  13.5  12.7  11.4   8.6   6.2   3.7   2.0   0.9   0.4   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 19.22
                              Pr |   50.4 |     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.8   1.7   3.1   5.5   7.8  10.8  12.4  13.6  12.5  11.1   8.1   5.7   3.3   1.9   0.8   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 19.05
                              Br |   34.4 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.1   0.2   0.9   1.9   4.4   6.8  10.4  12.5  14.4  13.5  12.1   9.0   6.3   3.8   2.1   1.0   0.4   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 16.46
                              Ya |   34.2 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.1   0.2   0.9   2.0   4.4   6.8  10.5  12.5  14.4  13.5  12.0   9.0   6.3   3.7   2.1   1.0   0.4   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 16.44
                              RP |   34.6 |     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.4   1.1   2.1   3.9   6.0   8.8  10.8  12.6  12.6  12.0   9.9   7.6   5.2   3.3   1.9   1.0   0.4   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 15.87
                              Da |   19.6 |     x     x     x     x   0.1   0.2   0.8   1.6   3.5   5.7   8.6  10.9  12.8  12.9  12.2  10.1   7.9   5.4   3.5   2.0   1.1   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 14.05
                              SL |   11.6 |   0.6   1.5   4.0   6.7  10.3  12.6  14.1  13.4  11.8   9.2   6.5   4.2   2.5   1.3   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x |  7.66
                              Bold is each team's most likely outcome.
                              0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times.
                              x means the outcome never occurred.
                              Playoff Matchups:
                              Code:
                                 |    Ck    Cr    Cg    Un    Ha    Qu    Pr    Br    Ya    RP    Da    SL |   BYE
                              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Ck |           x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0 | 100.0
                              Cr |     x           x     x     x     x   0.0     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0 | 100.0
                              Cg |     x     x         0.0   0.0   0.2   0.2   0.7   0.7   1.1   2.3  11.1 |  83.5
                              Un |     x     x   0.0         0.0   0.1   0.1   0.6   0.6   1.1   1.9  12.5 |  83.0
                              Ha |     x     x   0.0   0.0         1.3   1.4   4.6   4.6   5.9  11.2  40.9 |  27.9
                              Qu |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.3         4.7  12.9  13.4  14.2  19.0  12.9 |   2.2
                              Pr |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.3   4.0        12.6  13.8  14.9  18.4  11.6 |   2.2
                              Br |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.4   4.1   5.5        10.3  11.1  10.1   3.3 |   0.3
                              Ya |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.6   4.2   4.7  10.3         9.5   9.6   3.4 |   0.4
                              RP |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.4   4.1   3.7   8.3   9.2         8.8   3.1 |   0.3
                              Da |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   2.2   2.0   4.8   4.6   4.1         0.8 |   0.1
                              SL |     x     x   0.0     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.1   0.1   0.0       |   0.0
                              Hosts on the left, visitors across the top.
                              RPI Pep Band
                              GO GO GO YOU RED RED RED!!! and I guess Yale?
                              🎶🎺🎺🎺 LET'S GO BLUES!

                              2017-2018 RPI Pick to Click – Champion
                              2013-2016 RPI Pick to Click – Back-to-Back-to-Back Runner-Up
                              2014-15, 2018-19 ECAC Pick the Standings – Last Place

                              Comment

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