Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

2018 Midterms 1: "Elections aren't just about who votes but who doesn't vote."

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • #16
    Re: 2018 Midterms 1: "Elections aren't just about who votes but who doesn't vote."

    Originally posted by unofan View Post
    No, it didn't. It gave Trump a larger chance than any other predictive site. It gave Clinton a 75% chance of winning, but it consistently predicted it'd be relatively close (to put it in sports terms, it said Clinton was the favorite to win, but it'd probably take 6 games, if not 7). It also understood more than anyone that if the polls missed in one state, they likely missed in similar states in similar ways.
    I was referring a rout in regards to electoral votes. On Nov 8th 538 had Clinton forecast 302 ev's, trump 235. Even their % of winning was 71.4 to 28.6 in favor of Clinton. R-O-U-T.
    A bad cause requires many words.

    Comment


    • #17
      Re: 2018 Midterms 1: "Elections aren't just about who votes but who doesn't vote."

      Originally posted by SonofSouthie View Post
      I was referring a rout in regards to electoral votes. On Nov 8th 538 had Clinton forecast 302 ev's, trump 235. Even their % of winning was 71.4 to 28.6 in favor of Clinton. R-O-U-T.
      33 EVs to spare and 70% likelihood are routs now?

      Cornell '04, Stanford '06


      KDR

      Rover Frenchy, Classic! Great post.
      iwh30 I wish I could be as smart as you. I really do you are the man
      gregg729 I just saw your sig, you do love having people revel in your "intelligence."
      Ritt18 you are the perfect representation of your alma mater.
      Miss Thundercat That's it, you win.
      TBA#2 I want to kill you and dance in your blood.
      DisplacedCornellian Hahaha. Thread over. Frenchy wins.

      Test to see if I can add this.

      Comment


      • #18
        Originally posted by French Rage View Post
        33 EVs to spare and 70% likelihood are routs now?
        Facts don't trump his truthiness (pun intended). A 3:1 underdog never wins.

        Comment


        • #19
          Re: 2018 Midterms 1: "Elections aren't just about who votes but who doesn't vote."

          This is where one remembers that the Warriors and Indians blew 3-1 leads. 2016 was interesting that way. (Silver even had a post about how Clinton and the Indians had the same lead in mid- October)
          "I went over the facts in my head, and admired how much uglier the situation had just become. Over the years I've learned that ignorance is more than just bliss. It's freaking orgasmic ecstasy".- Harry Dresden, Blood Rites


          Western Michigan Bronco Hockey- 2012 Mason Cup Champions

          Comment


          • #20
            Re: 2018 Midterms 1: "Elections aren't just about who votes but who doesn't vote."

            Subscribed because the rats are bailing and sicatoka doesn't understand math.
            Code:
            As of 9/21/10:         As of 9/13/10:
            College Hockey 6       College Football 0
            BTHC 4                 WCHA FC:  1
            Originally posted by SanTropez
            May your paint thinner run dry and the fleas of a thousand camels infest your dead deer.
            Originally posted by bigblue_dl
            I don't even know how to classify magic vagina smoke babies..
            Originally posted by Kepler
            When the giraffes start building radio telescopes they can join too.
            He's probably going to be a superstar but that man has more baggage than North West

            Comment


            • #21
              Re: 2018 Midterms 1: "Elections aren't just about who votes but who doesn't vote."

              I don't math, but I feel like 538 was right about the election. Hilly had a 3-in-4 chance. Trump & Comey pulled off the upset unwittingly. Slight shakeup in turnout and Hilly wins three straight. Trump got less votes than Mitt.
              Huskies are very intelligent and trainable. Huskies make an excellent jogging companion, as long as it is not too hot. Grooming is minimal; bathing is normally unnecessary.
              USCHO Fantasy Baseball Champion 2011 2013 2015

              Comment


              • #22
                Re: 2018 Midterms 1: "Elections aren't just about who votes but who doesn't vote."

                Yep. Their predictions matched the popular vote margin fairly closely.
                Code:
                As of 9/21/10:         As of 9/13/10:
                College Hockey 6       College Football 0
                BTHC 4                 WCHA FC:  1
                Originally posted by SanTropez
                May your paint thinner run dry and the fleas of a thousand camels infest your dead deer.
                Originally posted by bigblue_dl
                I don't even know how to classify magic vagina smoke babies..
                Originally posted by Kepler
                When the giraffes start building radio telescopes they can join too.
                He's probably going to be a superstar but that man has more baggage than North West

                Comment


                • #23
                  Re: 2018 Midterms 1: "Elections aren't just about who votes but who doesn't vote."

                  Originally posted by dxmnkd316 View Post
                  Yep. Their predictions matched the popular vote margin fairly closely.
                  Move 100,000 votes in the midwest (PA,WI,MI)around and Comey would be arriving for Senate discussions on President Clinton's emails today.
                  "I went over the facts in my head, and admired how much uglier the situation had just become. Over the years I've learned that ignorance is more than just bliss. It's freaking orgasmic ecstasy".- Harry Dresden, Blood Rites


                  Western Michigan Bronco Hockey- 2012 Mason Cup Champions

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    Re: 2018 Midterms 1: "Elections aren't just about who votes but who doesn't vote."

                    Originally posted by bronconick View Post
                    Move 100,000 votes in the midwest (PA,WI,MI)around and Comey would be arriving for Senate discussions on President Clinton's emails today.
                    Naw, she would have had him killed by now, obvs!
                    Cornell University
                    National Champion 1967, 1970
                    ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
                    Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      Re: 2018 Midterms 1: "Elections aren't just about who votes but who doesn't vote."

                      Originally posted by Kepler View Post
                      Naw, she would have had him killed by now, obvs!
                      Arkancide!

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        Re: 2018 Midterms 1: "Elections aren't just about who votes but who doesn't vote."

                        Originally posted by FadeToBlack&Gold View Post
                        Arkancide!
                        This needs to become a word.
                        Code:
                        As of 9/21/10:         As of 9/13/10:
                        College Hockey 6       College Football 0
                        BTHC 4                 WCHA FC:  1
                        Originally posted by SanTropez
                        May your paint thinner run dry and the fleas of a thousand camels infest your dead deer.
                        Originally posted by bigblue_dl
                        I don't even know how to classify magic vagina smoke babies..
                        Originally posted by Kepler
                        When the giraffes start building radio telescopes they can join too.
                        He's probably going to be a superstar but that man has more baggage than North West

                        Comment


                        • #27
                          Re: 2018 Midterms 1: "Elections aren't just about who votes but who doesn't vote."

                          Originally posted by dxmnkd316 View Post
                          This needs to become a word.
                          Seconded.
                          Cornell University
                          National Champion 1967, 1970
                          ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
                          Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020

                          Comment


                          • #28
                            Re: 2018 Midterms 1: "Elections aren't just about who votes but who doesn't vote."

                            A glimmer of hope for '18.

                            The chi'ren turned out for Labour after decades of, well, sitting on their dainty little behinds, much like our own. Chi'ren, not behinds. Although...

                            The Beeb had analysts saying Trump may have affected the result, since the International Middle Finger is now anthropomorphized as a rotting orange f-ckweasel rather than someone pretty like, I dunno, this or this or this.

                            Maybe Donald Trump saved democracy. By being not only an epic f-ckup but also the world's most repellent vertebrate, maybe he is helping people turn from the Neo-30s abyss.
                            Cornell University
                            National Champion 1967, 1970
                            ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
                            Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020

                            Comment


                            • #29
                              Re: 2018 Midterms 1: "Elections aren't just about who votes but who doesn't vote."

                              Originally posted by Kepler View Post
                              A glimmer of hope for '18.

                              The chi'ren turned out for Labour after decades of, well, sitting on their dainty little behinds, much like our own. Chi'ren, not behinds. Although...

                              The Beeb had analysts saying Trump may have affected the result, since the International Middle Finger is now anthropomorphized as a rotting orange f-ckweasel rather than someone pretty like, I dunno, this or this or this.

                              Maybe Donald Trump saved democracy. By being not only an epic f-ckup but also the world's most repellent vertebrate, maybe he is helping people turn from the Neo-30s abyss.
                              At best, it's only temporary. Right now there's a young, smart evil Republican who is learning from Trump's mistakes. He's coming, and we'll be wishing for Trump, like we'd rather have Bush right now.
                              "I went over the facts in my head, and admired how much uglier the situation had just become. Over the years I've learned that ignorance is more than just bliss. It's freaking orgasmic ecstasy".- Harry Dresden, Blood Rites


                              Western Michigan Bronco Hockey- 2012 Mason Cup Champions

                              Comment


                              • #30
                                Re: 2018 Midterms 1: "Elections aren't just about who votes but who doesn't vote."

                                Originally posted by bronconick View Post
                                At best, it's only temporary. Right now there's a young, smart evil Republican who is learning from Trump's mistakes. He's coming, and we'll be wishing for Trump, like we'd rather have Bush right now.
                                Definitely. Trump 2 will be younger, smarter, better looking, better spoken, have less baggage, and... and...

                                Oh, sh-t.
                                Cornell University
                                National Champion 1967, 1970
                                ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
                                Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020

                                Comment

                                Working...
                                X