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Thread: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

  1. #361
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    Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

    My dad's sister lives in Punta Gorda. I texted my cousin earlier in the week - she lives there with her mom. Her brother lives in a different house, my uncle is in a VA nursing home. Initially it was tracking west coast, then on Thursday it looked like it was going to hook east and slam Miami. Now it appears they're going to get a direct hit. They aren't evacuating. I'm really worried about them. I have another cousin that lives in Tarpon Springs, my parents' goddaughter lives in Tampa....this is so ridiculously frightening

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    Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

    Never been a fan of Rick Scott, but he seems to be on point this week. Good to see.

    Sister seems to be out of the worst zone which is good (for me).

    Parents' place in Naples is now under the gun, but they're not there.
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    Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

    Quote Originally Posted by dxmnkd316 View Post
    Thanks, that's good to know.

    Keep us posted about your situation. If you need anything let us know.

    Good luck man...
    Thanks, I think we will be just fine ourselves, but the possible storm surge and wind back home in Cape Coral - Ft Myers area (as well as Naples to Tampa) looks truly apocalyptic. Talking tens of thousands of homes possibly (likely) going underwater. I used to live about 6 feet above sea level but fortunately moved to higher ground a couple years back and will likely avoid the surge... but not the winds as it stands. Watching people trying to get into Germain Arena (Home of the Everblades) to take shelter... Whole thing giving us a sick feeling...


    Quote Originally Posted by hockeyplayer1015 View Post
    Hoping for the best for you and those around you, Wisko.

    Fortunately, it should weaken to a Cat 2 (ish) before it gets to my neck of the woods. Hoping my place will be alright, but it's still stressful not being there and not knowing.
    Hopefully the winds drop... Tampa is also looking like massive inundation. I know Brandon is a little higher... hopefully you're not too close to the river south? Fingers crossed and wishing Good luck to you and yours, and all of us


    I'm sure we will see lots of reports of people being jerks, but I have to say that while all of us 6 million (that's hard to grasp in itself) refugees are under a lot of stress, people have all been handling it very well. Everyone I've met and has been quiet, but very kind, generous, and concerned for each other. Pettiness has been left behind and everyone is conducting themselves admirably under the circumstances.
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    Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

    Quote Originally Posted by Gurtholfin View Post
    Never been a fan of Rick Scott, but he seems to be on point this week. Good to see.

    Sister seems to be out of the worst zone which is good (for me).

    Parents' place in Naples is now under the gun, but they're not there.
    Regardless of his politics, organization is right in Scott's wheelhouse and the government has performed great thus far. They also are on top of prepping a massive response for after. I've been impressed.


    Edit: A little slowing down over Cuba, but SW Floridians recall well that Charley went from a 1 to a massive 4 in 3 hours over the Florida Straights after leaving Cuba.
    Last edited by Wisko McBadgerton; 09-09-2017 at 10:26 AM.
    Quote Originally Posted by WiscTJK View Post
    I'm with Wisko and Tim.
    Quote Originally Posted by Timothy A View Post
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  5. #365
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    Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

    Quote Originally Posted by alfablue View Post
    Pretty soon, TWC is going to have to start talking about Jose. Puerto Rico news is- it should turn north Sunday morning, but still to hit the leeward islands. There's SO much heat in the water- it's going to at least stay a Cat4.
    Jose is going to pass north and east of the Leeward Islands. Some of the outer bands are going to clip Antigua and Barbuda, but that's about it.
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    Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

    Fortunately my grandparents are still in Michigan, and not back in Port Charlotte. They rode out Wilma when they lived on Marco Island, and said that was the last time they would do that.
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    Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

    FWIW, this thread has the post posts of any Atlantic Hurricane thread which still exist. The 2012 one had 344 replies. My recollection is that we filled a thread back in 2005.

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    Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

    Quote Originally Posted by ScottK View Post
    Jose is going to pass north and east of the Leeward Islands. Some of the outer bands are going to clip Antigua and Barbuda, but that's about it.
    That would be a good thing- but as you've posted before, it can change.

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    Quote Originally Posted by alfablue View Post
    That would be a good thing- but as you've posted before, it can change.
    Don't believe any model

  10. #370
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    Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

    Quote Originally Posted by mookie1995 View Post
    Don't believe any model
    Except Gisele, right?

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    Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

    Quote Originally Posted by alfablue View Post
    That would be a good thing- but as you've posted before, it can change.
    Except that it's already passing by the islands.
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    Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

    Heading to Orlando on Thursday for vacation. Friday was supposed to be a day at Universal but may turn into a volunteer day with helping hurricane/flood recovery.

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    Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

    Natural selection at work...



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  14. #374
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    Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

    Quote Originally Posted by dxmnkd316 View Post
    Except Gisele, right?
    Especially, Gisele...

    Quote Originally Posted by FadeToBlack&Gold View Post
    Natural selection at work...



    Gotta get that hurricane selfie!!!

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7Fu-v490-c (language NSFW)

    Work has been done in MIA since early afternoon yesterday, and we only had a couple JAX trips today (which should all be done). We're supposed to start up again in MIA Monday afternoon, but that may be optimistic. Running a lot of extra flights to help get people out the last few days, including our MIA based crews and their families...

    Still have a few friends down there in FL though. Most concerned about one in St. Petersburg...

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  15. #375
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    Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

    Quote Originally Posted by ScottK View Post
    Except that it's already passing by the islands.
    It still could turn west to the Bahamas and into Florida. The predictions now says that it will just hang out and die in the Atlantic. But the water is so warm there, there's plenty of fuel.

    Again, you posted that the predictions have a 200mile range. It's got a long way to go before it's not a hurricane.

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    Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

    I don't know Fla, but daughter's long time roommate and folks live on the water on Sanibel island. Doesn't look too good for them.

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    Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

    Quote Originally Posted by burd View Post
    I don't know Fla, but daughter's long time roommate and folks live on the water on Sanibel island. Doesn't look too good for them.
    I know Sanibel had mandatory evacuation -- I believe it was yesterday, although my days are running together a bit. There's storm surge, but they also worry about the bridge bases out there. Hope they are safely away, burd.

    We are tucked in Navarre, FL near the Alabama line. Funny how we go North to get to "the South" but once we cross the Suwanee we were north far enough to be south.
    Quote Originally Posted by WiscTJK View Post
    I'm with Wisko and Tim.
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    Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

    Quote Originally Posted by alfablue View Post
    It still could turn west to the Bahamas and into Florida. The predictions now says that it will just hang out and die in the Atlantic. But the water is so warm there, there's plenty of fuel.

    Again, you posted that the predictions have a 200mile range. It's got a long way to go before it's not a hurricane.
    Actually, several models show an East Coast threat next week with Jose, but enough others also show it stalling, then just heading out to sea. Safe to say though that it is not a threat to any land areas for at least another 5-6 days.

    Also, I said that the models have a 200 mile average error at 4 days, not a range of 200 miles.
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    Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

    NBC just showed some idiot on key west trying to get a pic at the southern most point in US marker. Wave crushed him. They also have Mike seidel out at Miami beach being an idiot

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    Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

    Quote Originally Posted by ScottK View Post
    Also, I said that the models have a 200 mile average error at 4 days, not a range of 200 miles.
    No, you said that the cone has a 200 mile error without the 4 day qualification. You should be clearer to start with. It helps.

    It's also interesting that your prediction isn't what TWC has- since they have it stalling in the Atlantic. Considering the temp of the water, that doesn't make sense- keeping strong and continuing makes more sense.

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