Re: An Experiment: A Literal Political Thread
Some of y'all have raised a very interesting question, whether you intended to or not....
Suppose you are Russia. You have a choice:
(a) No sanctions, oil at $25 / barrel
(b) Continue sanctions, oil at $75 / barrel
Which do you choose?
I'd have to do more research to find out how much sanctions are costing Russia compared to how much oil they are selling. There likely is some breakeven point at which they would be neutral.
It seems like, implicitly, most people here have assumed that Russia, by "supporting" Trump's election, would choose (a), while I implicitly assumed that they would choose (b).
Trusting that Trump would remove sanctions would be a gamble of sorts: maybe he would, maybe he wouldn't.
Knowing that Trump would increase US oil production was much more certain.
I doubt Russia really cared very much who won the election, actually.....
Some of y'all have raised a very interesting question, whether you intended to or not....
Suppose you are Russia. You have a choice:
(a) No sanctions, oil at $25 / barrel
(b) Continue sanctions, oil at $75 / barrel
Which do you choose?
I'd have to do more research to find out how much sanctions are costing Russia compared to how much oil they are selling. There likely is some breakeven point at which they would be neutral.
It seems like, implicitly, most people here have assumed that Russia, by "supporting" Trump's election, would choose (a), while I implicitly assumed that they would choose (b).
Trusting that Trump would remove sanctions would be a gamble of sorts: maybe he would, maybe he wouldn't.
Knowing that Trump would increase US oil production was much more certain.
I doubt Russia really cared very much who won the election, actually.....
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