You forgot St Cloud is safe, too.CHN simulated the conference tournaments a few hundred times and got Union as the #3 overall seed 100% of the time. So...
#1 Minnesota or Boston College
#2 Boston College or Minnesota
#4 Wisconsin, St Cloud, Ferris State, Quinnipiac, Lowell, Notre Dame, North Dakota
I don't believe anyone from Providence down has a chance at the final #1 seed.
Unless Yale ends up as a hosting 4 seed, Union will be #1 in Bridgeport. Boston College will be #1 in Worcester. Minnesota will be #1 in St Paul. One of the seven teams listed above will be the top seed in Cincinnati.
Should be safe:
In with a sweep this weekend:
Can play their way in without autobid:
I don't see anyone else getting in without the autobid. Even Duluth is an outside shot. Yale sweeps this weekend and they could move all the way up to 12.
Now Jim Dahl will come in with his supercomputers and tell me what I screwed up